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What the markets expect
Texas Tech 91%
Next is Miami (FL) at 76%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Texas Tech91%91%59¢ bid, 96¢ askpolled, 44s ago96¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $104 (1.04x)Texas Tech91%Kalshi 91%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 96¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Texas Tech
91%
91%
59¢ bid, 96¢ ask
polled, 44s ago
96¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Texas Tech
91%
Kalshi 91%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 96¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Texas Tech
- Last price
- 91%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 96¢
- Sell Yes
- 59¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $104 (1.04x)
- Volume
- $2K
Miami (FL)76%76%76¢ bid, — askpolled, 44s agoNo askMiami (FL)76%Kalshi 76%polled, 44s ago
Miami (FL)
76%
76%
76¢ bid, — ask
polled, 44s ago
No ask
Miami (FL)
76%
Kalshi 76%polled, 44s ago
Kalshi
- Contract
- Miami (FL)
- Last price
- 76%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 76¢
- Volume
- $134
Notre Dame72%72%46¢ bid, 75¢ askpolled, 44s ago75¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $133 (1.33x)Notre Dame72%Kalshi 72%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 75¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $133 (1.33x)
Notre Dame
72%
72%
46¢ bid, 75¢ ask
polled, 44s ago
75¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $133 (1.33x)
Notre Dame
72%
Kalshi 72%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 75¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $133 (1.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Notre Dame
- Last price
- 72%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 75¢
- Sell Yes
- 46¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $133 (1.33x)
- Volume
- $597
BYU69%69%69¢ bid, 98¢ askpolled, 44s ago98¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $102 (1.02x)BYU69%Kalshi 69%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
BYU
69%
69%
69¢ bid, 98¢ ask
polled, 44s ago
98¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $102 (1.02x)
BYU
69%
Kalshi 69%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- BYU
- Last price
- 69%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 98¢
- Sell Yes
- 69¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $102 (1.02x)
- Volume
- $38
Boise St.61%61%61¢ bid, 79¢ askpolled, 44s ago79¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $127 (1.27x)Boise St.61%Kalshi 61%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 79¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $127 (1.27x)
Boise St.
61%
61%
61¢ bid, 79¢ ask
polled, 44s ago
79¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $127 (1.27x)
Boise St.
61%
Kalshi 61%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 79¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $127 (1.27x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Boise St.
- Last price
- 61%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 79¢
- Sell Yes
- 61¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $127 (1.27x)
- Volume
- $6K
James Madison60%60%60¢ bid, — askpolled, 44s agoNo askJames Madison60%Kalshi 60%polled, 44s ago
James Madison
60%
60%
60¢ bid, — ask
polled, 44s ago
No ask
James Madison
60%
Kalshi 60%polled, 44s ago
Kalshi
- Contract
- James Madison
- Last price
- 60%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 60¢
- Volume
- $4K
Ohio St.57%57%57¢ bid, — askpolled, 44s agoNo askOhio St.57%Kalshi 57%polled, 44s ago
Ohio St.
57%
57%
57¢ bid, — ask
polled, 44s ago
No ask
Ohio St.
57%
Kalshi 57%polled, 44s ago
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ohio St.
- Last price
- 57%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 57¢
- Volume
- $353
Utah57%57%38¢ bid, — askpolled, 44s agoNo askUtah57%Kalshi 57%polled, 44s ago
Utah
57%
57%
38¢ bid, — ask
polled, 44s ago
No ask
Utah
57%
Kalshi 57%polled, 44s ago
North Texas56%56%— bid, 60¢ askpolled, 44s ago60¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $167 (1.67x)North Texas56%Kalshi 56%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 60¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $167 (1.67x)
North Texas
56%
56%
— bid, 60¢ ask
polled, 44s ago
60¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $167 (1.67x)
North Texas
56%
Kalshi 56%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 60¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $167 (1.67x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- North Texas
- Last price
- 56%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 60¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $167 (1.67x)
- Volume
- $1K
Arizona50%50%No order bookpolled, 44s agoNo askArizona50%Kalshi 50%polled, 44s ago
Arizona
50%
50%
No order book
polled, 44s ago
No ask
Arizona
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 44s ago
Show 8 more outcomesHide 8 outcomes
Missouri50%50%No order bookpolled, 44s agoNo askMissouri50%Kalshi 50%polled, 44s ago
Missouri
50%
50%
No order book
polled, 44s ago
No ask
Missouri
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 44s ago
Tulane50%50%No order bookpolled, 44s agoNo askTulane50%Kalshi 50%polled, 44s ago
Tulane
50%
50%
No order book
polled, 44s ago
No ask
Tulane
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 44s ago
Houston49%49%48¢ bid, — askpolled, 44s agoNo askHouston49%Kalshi 49%polled, 44s ago
Houston
49%
49%
48¢ bid, — ask
polled, 44s ago
No ask
Houston
49%
Kalshi 49%polled, 44s ago
Kalshi
- Contract
- Houston
- Last price
- 49%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 48¢
- Volume
- $137
Virginia48%48%18¢ bid, — askpolled, 44s agoNo askVirginia48%Kalshi 48%polled, 44s ago
Virginia
48%
48%
18¢ bid, — ask
polled, 44s ago
No ask
Virginia
48%
Kalshi 48%polled, 44s ago
Kalshi
- Contract
- Virginia
- Last price
- 48%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 18¢
- Volume
- $4
Ohio St.Kalshi: “Oklahoma St.”46%46%23¢ bid, — askpolled, 44s agoNo askOhio St.46%Kalshi 46%polled, 44s ago
Ohio St.
Kalshi: “Oklahoma St.”
46%
46%
23¢ bid, — ask
polled, 44s ago
No ask
Ohio St.
46%
Kalshi 46%polled, 44s ago
Kalshi
- Contract
- Oklahoma St.
- Last price
- 46%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 23¢
- Volume
- $161
SMU34%34%30¢ bid, — askpolled, 44s agoNo askSMU34%Kalshi 34%polled, 44s ago
SMU
34%
34%
30¢ bid, — ask
polled, 44s ago
No ask
SMU
34%
Kalshi 34%polled, 44s ago
Ole Miss30%30%17¢ bid, — askpolled, 44s agoNo askOle Miss30%Kalshi 30%polled, 44s ago
Ole Miss
30%
30%
17¢ bid, — ask
polled, 44s ago
No ask
Ole Miss
30%
Kalshi 30%polled, 44s ago
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ole Miss
- Last price
- 30%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 17¢
- Volume
- $70
LSU26%26%26¢ bid, 89¢ askpolled, 44s ago89¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $112 (1.12x)LSU26%Kalshi 26%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 89¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $112 (1.12x)
LSU
26%
26%
26¢ bid, 89¢ ask
polled, 44s ago
89¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $112 (1.12x)
LSU
26%
Kalshi 26%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 89¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- LSU
- Last price
- 26%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 89¢
- Sell Yes
- 26¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $112 (1.12x)
- Volume
- $673
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ESPN, Kalshi using information originating from the NCAA
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Texas Tech
- Miami (FL)
- Notre Dame
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "College Football Teams to go Undefeated at Home". Texas Tech leads at 91%. Next is Miami (FL) at 76%. $19K has traded across 18 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 8, 2027.
Kalshi event status: open
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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