Top of book
ConnectingBest bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—
Waiting for the first live quote…
What the markets expect
Boebert, 2+ pts 59%
Next is Boebert, 5+ pts at 42%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 4 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Polymarket
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Polymarket
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Boebert, 2+ pts59%Not listed59%59¢ bid, 68¢ askpolled, just now68¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $147 (1.47x)Boebert, 2+ pts59%Kalshi 59%polled, just nowBest Yes 68¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $147 (1.47x)
Boebert, 2+ pts
59%
Not listed
59%
59¢ bid, 68¢ ask
polled, just now
68¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $147 (1.47x)
Boebert, 2+ pts
59%
Kalshi 59%polled, just nowBest Yes 68¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $147 (1.47x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Boebert, 2+ pts
- Last price
- 59%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 68¢
- Sell Yes
- 59¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $147 (1.47x)
- Volume
- $1K
Boebert, 5+ pts42%Not listed42%42¢ bid, 48¢ askpolled, just now48¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $208 (2.08x)Boebert, 5+ pts42%Kalshi 42%polled, just nowBest Yes 48¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Boebert, 5+ pts
42%
Not listed
42%
42¢ bid, 48¢ ask
polled, just now
48¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Boebert, 5+ pts
42%
Kalshi 42%polled, just nowBest Yes 48¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Boebert, 5+ pts
- Last price
- 42%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 48¢
- Sell Yes
- 42¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $208 (2.08x)
- Volume
- $2K
Laubacher, 1+ pts27%Not listed27%16¢ bid, 27¢ askpolled, 4 min ago27¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $370 (3.70x)Laubacher, 1+ pts27%Kalshi 27%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 27¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Laubacher, 1+ pts
27%
Not listed
27%
16¢ bid, 27¢ ask
polled, 4 min ago
27¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Laubacher, 1+ pts
27%
Kalshi 27%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 27¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Laubacher, 1+ pts
- Last price
- 27%
- As of
- Polled 4 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 27¢
- Sell Yes
- 16¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $370 (3.70x)
- Volume
- $117
Boebert, 8+ pts26%Not listed26%26¢ bid, 36¢ askpolled, just now36¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $278 (2.78x)Boebert, 8+ pts26%Kalshi 26%polled, just nowBest Yes 36¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Boebert, 8+ pts
26%
Not listed
26%
26¢ bid, 36¢ ask
polled, just now
36¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Boebert, 8+ pts
26%
Kalshi 26%polled, just nowBest Yes 36¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Boebert, 8+ pts
- Last price
- 26%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 36¢
- Sell Yes
- 26¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $278 (2.78x)
- Volume
- $403
Republican 3-6%21%21%19¢ bid, 23¢ askpolled, 2 min agoNot listed23¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $435 (4.35x)Republican 3-6%21%Polymarket 21%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 23¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Republican 3-6%
21%
21%
19¢ bid, 23¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
Not listed
23¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Republican 3-6%
21%
Polymarket 21%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 23¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Republican 3-6%
- Last price
- 21%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 23¢
- Sell Yes
- 19¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $435 (4.35x)
- Volume
- $4K
Democrat 0-3%20.8%20.8%20¢ bid, 21.6¢ askpolled, 2 min agoNot listed21.6¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $463 (4.63x)Democrat 0-3%20.8%Polymarket 20.8%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 21.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $463 (4.63x)
Democrat 0-3%
20.8%
20.8%
20¢ bid, 21.6¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
Not listed
21.6¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $463 (4.63x)
Democrat 0-3%
20.8%
Polymarket 20.8%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 21.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $463 (4.63x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Democrat 0-3%
- Last price
- 20.8%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 21.6¢
- Sell Yes
- 20¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $463 (4.63x)
- Volume
- $3K
Democrat 0-3%Polymarket: “Republican 0-3%”15%15%13¢ bid, 17¢ askpolled, 2 min agoNot listed17¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $588 (5.88x)Democrat 0-3%15%Polymarket 15%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 17¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Democrat 0-3%
Polymarket: “Republican 0-3%”
15%
15%
13¢ bid, 17¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
Not listed
17¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Democrat 0-3%
15%
Polymarket 15%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 17¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Republican 0-3%
- Last price
- 15%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 17¢
- Sell Yes
- 13¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $588 (5.88x)
- Volume
- $2K
Republican 6-9%14.8%14.8%13.7¢ bid, 15.8¢ askpolled, 2 min agoNot listed15.8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $633 (6.33x)Republican 6-9%14.8%Polymarket 14.8%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 15.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $633 (6.33x)
Republican 6-9%
14.8%
14.8%
13.7¢ bid, 15.8¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
Not listed
15.8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $633 (6.33x)
Republican 6-9%
14.8%
Polymarket 14.8%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 15.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $633 (6.33x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Republican 6-9%
- Last price
- 14.8%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 15.8¢
- Sell Yes
- 13.7¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $633 (6.33x)
- Volume
- $3K
Boebert, 11+ pts13%Not listed13%13¢ bid, 23¢ askpolled, just now23¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $435 (4.35x)Boebert, 11+ pts13%Kalshi 13%polled, just nowBest Yes 23¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Boebert, 11+ pts
13%
Not listed
13%
13¢ bid, 23¢ ask
polled, just now
23¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Boebert, 11+ pts
13%
Kalshi 13%polled, just nowBest Yes 23¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Boebert, 11+ pts
- Last price
- 13%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 23¢
- Sell Yes
- 13¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $435 (4.35x)
- Volume
- $2K
Republican 3-6%Polymarket: “Democrat 3-6%”11.1%11.1%9.8¢ bid, 12.4¢ askpolled, 2 min agoNot listed12.4¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $806 (8.06x)Republican 3-6%11.1%Polymarket 11.1%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 12.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $806 (8.06x)
Republican 3-6%
Polymarket: “Democrat 3-6%”
11.1%
11.1%
9.8¢ bid, 12.4¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
Not listed
12.4¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $806 (8.06x)
Republican 3-6%
11.1%
Polymarket 11.1%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 12.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $806 (8.06x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Democrat 3-6%
- Last price
- 11.1%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 12.4¢
- Sell Yes
- 9.8¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $806 (8.06x)
- Volume
- $2K
Show 9 more outcomesHide 9 outcomes
Laubacher, 4+ pts11%Not listed11%6¢ bid, 17¢ askpolled, 4 min ago17¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $588 (5.88x)Laubacher, 4+ pts11%Kalshi 11%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Laubacher, 4+ pts
11%
Not listed
11%
6¢ bid, 17¢ ask
polled, 4 min ago
17¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Laubacher, 4+ pts
11%
Kalshi 11%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Laubacher, 4+ pts
- Last price
- 11%
- As of
- Polled 4 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 17¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $588 (5.88x)
- Volume
- $318
Republican 9-12%8.5%8.5%5¢ bid, 12¢ askpolled, 2 min agoNot listed12¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $833 (8.33x)Republican 9-12%8.5%Polymarket 8.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 12¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Republican 9-12%
8.5%
8.5%
5¢ bid, 12¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
Not listed
12¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Republican 9-12%
8.5%
Polymarket 8.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 12¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Republican 9-12%
- Last price
- 8.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 12¢
- Sell Yes
- 5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $833 (8.33x)
- Volume
- $1K
Laubacher, 7+ pts6.5%Not listed6.5%0.1¢ bid, 10¢ askpolled, 4 min ago10¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)Laubacher, 7+ pts6.5%Kalshi 6.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Laubacher, 7+ pts
6.5%
Not listed
6.5%
0.1¢ bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 4 min ago
10¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Laubacher, 7+ pts
6.5%
Kalshi 6.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Laubacher, 7+ pts
- Last price
- 6.5%
- As of
- Polled 4 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
- Volume
- $870
Republican 6-9%Polymarket: “Democrat 6-9%”6%6%4.6¢ bid, 7.4¢ askpolled, 2 min agoNot listed7.4¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,351 (13.5x)Republican 6-9%6%Polymarket 6%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 7.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,351 (13.5x)
Republican 6-9%
Polymarket: “Democrat 6-9%”
6%
6%
4.6¢ bid, 7.4¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
Not listed
7.4¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,351 (13.5x)
Republican 6-9%
6%
Polymarket 6%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 7.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,351 (13.5x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Democrat 6-9%
- Last price
- 6%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 7.4¢
- Sell Yes
- 4.6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,351 (13.5x)
- Volume
- $330
Republican 12%+Polymarket: “Democrat 12%+”5.5%5.5%0.7¢ bid, 10.2¢ askpolled, 2 min agoNot listed10.2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $980 (9.80x)Republican 12%+5.5%Polymarket 5.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 10.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $980 (9.80x)
Republican 12%+
Polymarket: “Democrat 12%+”
5.5%
5.5%
0.7¢ bid, 10.2¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
Not listed
10.2¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $980 (9.80x)
Republican 12%+
5.5%
Polymarket 5.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 10.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $980 (9.80x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Democrat 12%+
- Last price
- 5.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 10.2¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.7¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $980 (9.80x)
- Volume
- $187
Boebert, 14+ pts5.4%Not listed5.4%4.2¢ bid, 15¢ askpolled, just now15¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $667 (6.67x)Boebert, 14+ pts5.4%Kalshi 5.4%polled, just nowBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Boebert, 14+ pts
5.4%
Not listed
5.4%
4.2¢ bid, 15¢ ask
polled, just now
15¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Boebert, 14+ pts
5.4%
Kalshi 5.4%polled, just nowBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Boebert, 14+ pts
- Last price
- 5.4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 15¢
- Sell Yes
- 4.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $667 (6.67x)
- Volume
- $595
Republican 12%+5.4%5.4%0.9¢ bid, 9.8¢ askpolled, 2 min agoNot listed9.8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,020 (10.2x)Republican 12%+5.4%Polymarket 5.4%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 9.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,020 (10.2x)
Republican 12%+
5.4%
5.4%
0.9¢ bid, 9.8¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
Not listed
9.8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,020 (10.2x)
Republican 12%+
5.4%
Polymarket 5.4%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 9.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,020 (10.2x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Republican 12%+
- Last price
- 5.4%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 9.8¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.9¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,020 (10.2x)
- Volume
- $247
Laubacher, 10+ pts4.9%Not listed4.9%— bid, 8.3¢ askpolled, 4 min ago8.3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,205 (12.0x)Laubacher, 10+ pts4.9%Kalshi 4.9%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 8.3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,205 (12.0x)
Laubacher, 10+ pts
4.9%
Not listed
4.9%
— bid, 8.3¢ ask
polled, 4 min ago
8.3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,205 (12.0x)
Laubacher, 10+ pts
4.9%
Kalshi 4.9%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 8.3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,205 (12.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Laubacher, 10+ pts
- Last price
- 4.9%
- As of
- Polled 4 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 8.3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,205 (12.0x)
- Volume
- $318
Republican 9-12%Polymarket: “Democrat 9-12%”3.2%3.2%0.5¢ bid, 5.8¢ askpolled, 2 min agoNot listed5.8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,724 (17.2x)Republican 9-12%3.2%Polymarket 3.2%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 5.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,724 (17.2x)
Republican 9-12%
Polymarket: “Democrat 9-12%”
3.2%
3.2%
0.5¢ bid, 5.8¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
Not listed
5.8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,724 (17.2x)
Republican 9-12%
3.2%
Polymarket 3.2%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 5.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,724 (17.2x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Democrat 9-12%
- Last price
- 3.2%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 5.8¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,724 (17.2x)
- Volume
- $272
Who resolves this market
- Polymarket resolves via:
- UMA optimistic oracle
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: official election authority responsible for certifying results in
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Boebert, 2+ pts
- Boebert, 5+ pts
- Laubacher, 1+ pts
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
Polymarket
Polymarket doesn’t list Boebert, 2+ pts for this event.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (other / general rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Colorado's 4th District margin of victory". Boebert, 2+ pts leads at 59%. Next is Boebert, 5+ pts at 42%. $24K has traded across 19 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 3, 2027.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
More other markets
See all other markets- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?December 318.5%$76.5M traded
- Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?Yes1.4%$66.6M traded
- Which party will win the U.S. House?Democratic Party91.3%$65.7M traded
- Los Angeles Mayor winner?Nithya Raman51%$42.5M traded
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?October 2493.5%$38.5M traded
- Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Before Jan 20, 202922%$36.8M traded