The Prediction Markets

Concacaf 2027 Gold Cup Winner

Closes
Jul 12, 2027, in 9 months
Traded
$10K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
1 h ago
Share

What the markets expect

Mexico 39%

Next is USA at 31%. The venues differ most on Haiti (Polymarket 0.2%, Kalshi 32%), a 32-point gap.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 h ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Mexico
39%
Polymarket 40.5%polled, 1 h agoKalshi 38%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 41¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $244 (2.44x)
Polymarket
Contract
Mexico
Last price
40.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
41¢
Sell Yes
40¢
$100 on Yes pays
$244 (2.44x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Mexico
Last price
38%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
45¢
Sell Yes
33¢
$100 on Yes pays
$222 (2.22x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Indicative only, prices are 1 h old: No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 40¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 45¢.

USA
31%
Kalshi 31%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 51¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Kalshi
Contract
USA
Last price
31%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
51¢
Sell Yes
19¢
$100 on Yes pays
$196 (1.96x)
Volume
$345
Trade this on Kalshi
United States
28.5%
Polymarket 28.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 29¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Polymarket
Contract
United States
Last price
28.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
29¢
Sell Yes
28¢
$100 on Yes pays
$345 (3.45x)
Volume
$560
Trade this on Polymarket
Canada
11.3%
Polymarket 13.4%polled, 1 h agoKalshi 5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 15¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Polymarket
Contract
Canada
Last price
13.4%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
11.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Volume
$310
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Canada
Last price
5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
28¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$357 (3.57x)
Volume
$25
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Indicative only, prices are 1 h old: No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 4¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 15¢.

Haiti
10.9%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 1 h agoKalshi 32%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
Contract
Haiti
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$175
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Haiti
Last price
32%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
32¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$313 (3.13x)
Volume
$89
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Indicative only, prices are 1 h old: Buying on Polymarket at 0.2¢ and selling on Kalshi at 1¢ nets 80 bps before fees.

Curacao
8.8%
Polymarket 11%polled, 1 h agoKalshi 2%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 21.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $457 (4.57x)
Polymarket
Contract
Curacao
Last price
11%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
21.9¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$457 (4.57x)
Volume
$217
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Curacao
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
35¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$286 (2.86x)
Volume
$5
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Indicative only, prices are 1 h old: No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 21.9¢.

Dominican Republic
4.4%
Polymarket 5.3%polled, 1 h agoKalshi 2%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 10.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $962 (9.62x)
Polymarket
Contract
Dominican Republic
Last price
5.3%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
10.4¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$962 (9.62x)
Volume
$292
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Dominican Republic
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
35¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$286 (2.86x)
Volume
$5
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Indicative only, prices are 1 h old: No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 10.4¢.

Nicaragua
4.2%
Polymarket 5.3%polled, 1 h agoKalshi 1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 10.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $962 (9.62x)
Polymarket
Contract
Nicaragua
Last price
5.3%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
10.4¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$962 (9.62x)
Volume
$108
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Nicaragua
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
34¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$294 (2.94x)
Volume
$5
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Indicative only, prices are 1 h old: No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 10.4¢.

Honduras
3.4%
Polymarket 4.3%polled, 1 h agoKalshi 1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 7.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,333 (13.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Honduras
Last price
4.3%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
7.5¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,333 (13.3x)
Volume
$115
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Honduras
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
35¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$286 (2.86x)
Volume
$32
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Indicative only, prices are 1 h old: No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 7.5¢.

Costa Rica
3.2%
Polymarket 3.7%polled, 1 h agoKalshi 2%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 7.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,408 (14.1x)
Polymarket
Contract
Costa Rica
Last price
3.7%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
7.1¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,408 (14.1x)
Volume
$97
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Costa Rica
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
34¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$294 (2.94x)
Volume
$5
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Indicative only, prices are 1 h old: No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.2¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 34¢.

Show 14 more outcomes
Martinique
3.2%
Polymarket 4%polled, 1 h agoKalshi 1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 5.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,724 (17.2x)
Polymarket
Contract
Martinique
Last price
4%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
5.8¢
Sell Yes
2.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,724 (17.2x)
Volume
$593
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Martinique
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
34¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$294 (2.94x)
Volume
$5
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Indicative only, prices are 1 h old: No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 5.8¢.

Saudi Arabia
3.2%
Polymarket 3.6%polled, 1 h agoKalshi 2%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Saudi Arabia
Last price
3.6%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$422
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Saudi Arabia
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
35¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$286 (2.86x)
Volume
$5
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Indicative only, prices are 1 h old: No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 7¢.

Panama
3%
Polymarket 3.6%polled, 1 h agoKalshi 1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 6.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,639 (16.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Panama
Last price
3.6%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
6.1¢
Sell Yes
1.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,639 (16.4x)
Volume
$133
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Panama
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
35¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$286 (2.86x)
Volume
$5
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Indicative only, prices are 1 h old: No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 6.1¢.

Jamaica
2.9%
Polymarket 3.2%polled, 1 h agoKalshi 2%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 6.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,639 (16.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jamaica
Last price
3.2%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
6.1¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,639 (16.4x)
Volume
$84
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Jamaica
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
35¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$286 (2.86x)
Volume
$5
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Indicative only, prices are 1 h old: No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 6.1¢.

El Salvador
2.8%
Polymarket 3.5%polled, 1 h agoKalshi 1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 6.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,493 (14.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
El Salvador
Last price
3.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
6.7¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,493 (14.9x)
Volume
$89
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
El Salvador
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
34¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$294 (2.94x)
Volume
$5
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Indicative only, prices are 1 h old: No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 6.7¢.

Guatemala
2.2%
Polymarket 2.2%polled, 1 h agoKalshi 2%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Guatemala
Last price
2.2%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
0.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$85
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Guatemala
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
35¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$286 (2.86x)
Volume
$5
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Indicative only, prices are 1 h old: No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 4¢.

Belize
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 35¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Kalshi
Contract
Belize
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
35¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$286 (2.86x)
Volume
$5
Trade this on Kalshi
Bermuda
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 33¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $303 (3.03x)
Kalshi
Contract
Bermuda
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
33¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$303 (3.03x)
Volume
$5
Trade this on Kalshi
Cuba
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 35¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Kalshi
Contract
Cuba
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
35¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$286 (2.86x)
Volume
$5
Trade this on Kalshi
Guadeloupe
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 35¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Kalshi
Contract
Guadeloupe
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
35¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$286 (2.86x)
Volume
$5
Trade this on Kalshi
Guyana
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 35¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Kalshi
Contract
Guyana
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
35¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$286 (2.86x)
Volume
$5
Trade this on Kalshi
Trinidad and Tobago
1.1%
Polymarket 1.1%polled, 1 h agoKalshi 1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Trinidad and Tobago
Last price
1.1%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$84
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Trinidad and Tobago
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
34¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$294 (2.94x)
Volume
$5
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Indicative only, prices are 1 h old: No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 2¢.

Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 35¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Kalshi
Contract
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
35¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$286 (2.86x)
Volume
$5
Trade this on Kalshi
Suriname
0.8%
Polymarket 0.7%polled, 1 h agoKalshi 1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 1.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $8,333 (83.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Suriname
Last price
0.7%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
1.2¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$8,333 (83.3x)
Volume
$227
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Suriname
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
33¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$303 (3.03x)
Volume
$5
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Indicative only, prices are 1 h old: No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1.2¢.

Indicative gap, prices are 1 h old: Haiti asks 0.2¢ on Polymarket and bids 1¢ on Kalshi (80 bps). Recheck both venues before trading. See all spreads

Mostly the same bet: one difference

Where they differ

  • Trading closes at different times: Jul 12, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC on Polymarket and Aug 15, 2027, 2:00 PM UTC on Kalshi.
Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ESPN, Fox Sports
Show full rule comparison
  • Trading closes Jul 12, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC on Polymarket and Aug 15, 2027, 2:00 PM UTC on Kalshi.

Summarized from each venue’s published rules; the venue’s own rules page is the final word.

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Mexico
  • USA
  • United States

Live prices for Mexico

What it costs to buy Yes, what you would get selling it, and the last trade on each exchange, updating as orders change. Hover a status for timing details.

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Combined depth · both venues

Loading both order books…

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

Loading snapshot…

Recent trades

Loading…

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

Loading snapshot…

Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Concacaf 2027 Gold Cup Winner". Mexico leads at 39%. Next is USA at 31%. $10K has traded across 24 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Jul 12, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2027 CONCACAF Gold Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2027 CONCACAF Gold Cup per the rules of CONCACAF (e.g., they are eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2027 CONCACAF Gold Cup is cancelled, postponed after July 25, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from CONCACAF; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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