The Prediction Markets

Copa do Brasil: 2026 Champion

Closes
Dec 6, 2026, in 44 days
Traded
$68K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
33 min ago
Share

What the markets expect

Palmeiras 59%

Next is Barcelona at 41%. The venues differ most on Vasco da Gama (Polymarket 14%, Kalshi 24%), a 10.0-point gap.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 36 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Palmeiras
59%
Polymarket 45.5%polled, 34 min agoKalshi 65%polled, 36 min agoKalshi 62%polled, 33 min agoBest Yes 46¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $217 (2.17x)
Polymarket
Contract
Palmeiras
Last price
45.5%
As of
Polled 34 min ago
Buy Yes
46¢
Sell Yes
45¢
$100 on Yes pays
$217 (2.17x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Palmeiras
Last price
65%
As of
Polled 36 min ago
Buy Yes
65¢
Sell Yes
45¢
$100 on Yes pays
$154 (1.54x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Palmeiras
Last price
62%
As of
Polled 33 min ago
Buy Yes
62¢
Sell Yes
49¢
$100 on Yes pays
$161 (1.61x)
Volume
$692
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Indicative only, prices are 36 min old: Buying on Polymarket at 46¢ and selling on Kalshi at 49¢ nets 300 bps before fees.

Barcelona
41%
Kalshi 41%polled, 33 min agoBest Yes 44¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Kalshi
Contract
Barcelona
Last price
41%
As of
Polled 33 min ago
Buy Yes
44¢
Sell Yes
40¢
$100 on Yes pays
$227 (2.27x)
Volume
$10K
Trade this on Kalshi
Atletico Mineiro
30%
Kalshi 30%polled, 33 min agoBest Yes 30¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Atletico Mineiro
Last price
30%
As of
Polled 33 min ago
Buy Yes
30¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$333 (3.33x)
Volume
$444
Trade this on Kalshi
Estudiantes de La Plata
24%
Kalshi 24%polled, 36 min agoBest Yes 33¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $303 (3.03x)
Kalshi
Contract
Estudiantes de La Plata
Last price
24%
As of
Polled 36 min ago
Buy Yes
33¢
Sell Yes
22¢
$100 on Yes pays
$303 (3.03x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Real Madrid
23%
Kalshi 23%polled, 33 min agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Kalshi
Contract
Real Madrid
Last price
23%
As of
Polled 33 min ago
Buy Yes
24¢
Sell Yes
18¢
$100 on Yes pays
$417 (4.17x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Gremio
20%
Kalshi 20%polled, 33 min agoBest Yes 20¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
Gremio
Last price
20%
As of
Polled 33 min ago
Buy Yes
20¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$500 (5.00x)
Volume
$842
Trade this on Kalshi
Vasco da Gama
19.1%
Polymarket 14%polled, 34 min agoKalshi 24%polled, 33 min agoBest Yes 15¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Polymarket
Contract
Vasco da Gama
Last price
14%
As of
Polled 34 min ago
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
13¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Vasco da Gama
Last price
24%
As of
Polled 33 min ago
Buy Yes
24¢
Sell Yes
15¢
$100 on Yes pays
$417 (4.17x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Indicative only, prices are 34 min old: No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 15¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 15¢.

Atletico Mineiro
18.5%
Polymarket 18.5%polled, 34 min agoBest Yes 26¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $385 (3.85x)
Polymarket
Contract
Atlético Mineiro
Last price
18.5%
As of
Polled 34 min ago
Buy Yes
26¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$385 (3.85x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Cruzeiro
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, 33 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
Contract
Cruzeiro
Last price
9%
As of
Polled 33 min ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$135
Trade this on Kalshi
Internacional
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, 33 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
Contract
Internacional
Last price
9%
As of
Polled 33 min ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$680
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 33 more outcomes
Grêmio
7.5%
Polymarket 7.5%polled, 34 min agoBest Yes 11¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Polymarket
Contract
Grêmio
Last price
7.5%
As of
Polled 34 min ago
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Atletico Madrid
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 33 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Atletico Madrid
Last price
5%
As of
Polled 33 min ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Betis
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 33 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Betis
Last price
4%
As of
Polled 33 min ago
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Corinthians
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 33 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Corinthians
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 33 min ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$215
Trade this on Kalshi
Fortaleza
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 33 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Fortaleza
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 33 min ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$137
Trade this on Kalshi
Fluminense
2%
Kalshi 1%polled, 36 min agoKalshi 5%polled, 33 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Fluminense
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 36 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Fluminense
Last price
5%
As of
Polled 33 min ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$233
Trade this on Kalshi
Sevilla
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 33 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Sevilla
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 33 min ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Chapecoense
1.5%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 33 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Chapecoense
Last price
1.5%
As of
Polled 33 min ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Juventude RS
1.5%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 33 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Juventude RS
Last price
1.5%
As of
Polled 33 min ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Mirassol
1.5%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 33 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Mirassol
Last price
1.5%
As of
Polled 33 min ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Remo
1.5%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 33 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Remo
Last price
1.5%
As of
Polled 33 min ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Vitoria
1.5%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 33 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Vitoria
Last price
1.5%
As of
Polled 33 min ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Alaves
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 33 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Alaves
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 33 min ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Athletic Bilbao
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 33 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Athletic Bilbao
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 33 min ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Celta Vigo
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 33 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Celta Vigo
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 33 min ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$975
Trade this on Kalshi
Deportivo De La Coruna
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 33 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Deportivo De La Coruna
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 33 min ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Elche
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 33 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Elche
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 33 min ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Espanyol
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 33 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Espanyol
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 33 min ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Flamengo
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 36 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Flamengo
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 36 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Getafe
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 33 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Getafe
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 33 min ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$975
Trade this on Kalshi
Girona
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 33 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Girona
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 33 min ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Levante
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 33 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Levante
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 33 min ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$975
Trade this on Kalshi
Malaga
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 33 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Malaga
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 33 min ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Mallorca
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 33 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Mallorca
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 33 min ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Osasuna
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 33 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Osasuna
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 33 min ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Oviedo
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 33 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Oviedo
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 33 min ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Paranaense
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 33 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Paranaense
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 33 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$371
Trade this on Kalshi
Racing Santander
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 33 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Racing Santander
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 33 min ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Rayo Vallecano
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 33 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Rayo Vallecano
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 33 min ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$975
Trade this on Kalshi
Real Sociedad
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 33 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Real Sociedad
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 33 min ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Santos
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 33 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Santos
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 33 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$59
Trade this on Kalshi
Valencia
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 33 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Valencia
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 33 min ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$975
Trade this on Kalshi
Villarreal
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 33 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Villarreal
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 33 min ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$975
Trade this on Kalshi

Indicative gap, prices are 36 min old: Palmeiras asks 46¢ on Polymarket and bids 49¢ on Kalshi (300 bps). Recheck both venues before trading. See all spreads

Mostly the same bet: one difference

Where they differ

  • Trading closes at different times: Dec 6, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC on Polymarket and May 8, 2027, 7:00 PM UTC on Kalshi.
Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ESPN, Fox Sports
Show full rule comparison
  • Trading closes Dec 6, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC on Polymarket and May 8, 2027, 7:00 PM UTC on Kalshi.

Summarized from each venue’s published rules; the venue’s own rules page is the final word.

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Palmeiras
  • Barcelona
  • Atletico Mineiro

Live prices for Palmeiras

What it costs to buy Yes, what you would get selling it, and the last trade on each exchange, updating as orders change. Hover a status for timing details.

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Combined depth · both venues

Loading both order books…

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Copa do Brasil: 2026 Champion". Palmeiras leads at 59%. Next is Barcelona at 41%. $68K has traded across 43 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 6, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the club that wins the 2026 Copa do Brasil. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed club to win the 2026 Copa do Brasil per the rules of the competition (e.g., they are eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 Copa do Brasil is cancelled, postponed after December 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from the Confederação Brasileira de Futebol (CBF); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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