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What the markets expect
Above $6.40 95%
Next is Above $6.42 at 94%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Above $6.4095%95%95¢ bid, 97¢ askpolled, 30s ago97¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $103 (1.03x)Above $6.4095%Kalshi 95%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Above $6.40
95%
95%
95¢ bid, 97¢ ask
polled, 30s ago
97¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Above $6.40
95%
Kalshi 95%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above $6.40
- Last price
- 95%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 97¢
- Sell Yes
- 95¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $103 (1.03x)
- Volume
- $1
Above $6.4294%94%93¢ bid, 94¢ askpolled, 30s ago94¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $106 (1.06x)Above $6.4294%Kalshi 94%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 94¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Above $6.42
94%
94%
93¢ bid, 94¢ ask
polled, 30s ago
94¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Above $6.42
94%
Kalshi 94%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 94¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above $6.42
- Last price
- 94%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 94¢
- Sell Yes
- 93¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $106 (1.06x)
- Volume
- $390
Above $6.4491.5%91.5%91¢ bid, 92¢ askpolled, 30s ago92¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $109 (1.09x)Above $6.4491.5%Kalshi 91.5%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 92¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Above $6.44
91.5%
91.5%
91¢ bid, 92¢ ask
polled, 30s ago
92¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Above $6.44
91.5%
Kalshi 91.5%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 92¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above $6.44
- Last price
- 91.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 92¢
- Sell Yes
- 91¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $109 (1.09x)
Above $6.4689%89%89¢ bid, 90¢ askpolled, 30s ago90¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $111 (1.11x)Above $6.4689%Kalshi 89%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 90¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Above $6.46
89%
89%
89¢ bid, 90¢ ask
polled, 30s ago
90¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Above $6.46
89%
Kalshi 89%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 90¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above $6.46
- Last price
- 89%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 90¢
- Sell Yes
- 89¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $111 (1.11x)
- Volume
- $39
Above $6.4884%84%84¢ bid, 87¢ askpolled, 30s ago87¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $115 (1.15x)Above $6.4884%Kalshi 84%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 87¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $115 (1.15x)
Above $6.48
84%
84%
84¢ bid, 87¢ ask
polled, 30s ago
87¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $115 (1.15x)
Above $6.48
84%
Kalshi 84%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 87¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $115 (1.15x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above $6.48
- Last price
- 84%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 87¢
- Sell Yes
- 84¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $115 (1.15x)
- Volume
- $529
Above $6.5079%79%79¢ bid, 81¢ askpolled, 30s ago81¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $123 (1.23x)Above $6.5079%Kalshi 79%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 81¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $123 (1.23x)
Above $6.50
79%
79%
79¢ bid, 81¢ ask
polled, 30s ago
81¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $123 (1.23x)
Above $6.50
79%
Kalshi 79%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 81¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $123 (1.23x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above $6.50
- Last price
- 79%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 81¢
- Sell Yes
- 79¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $123 (1.23x)
- Volume
- $201
Above $6.5272.5%72.5%71¢ bid, 74¢ askpolled, 30s ago74¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $135 (1.35x)Above $6.5272.5%Kalshi 72.5%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 74¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Above $6.52
72.5%
72.5%
71¢ bid, 74¢ ask
polled, 30s ago
74¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Above $6.52
72.5%
Kalshi 72.5%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 74¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above $6.52
- Last price
- 72.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 74¢
- Sell Yes
- 71¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $135 (1.35x)
Above $6.5465%65%63¢ bid, 65¢ askpolled, 30s ago65¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $154 (1.54x)Above $6.5465%Kalshi 65%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 65¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $154 (1.54x)
Above $6.54
65%
65%
63¢ bid, 65¢ ask
polled, 30s ago
65¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $154 (1.54x)
Above $6.54
65%
Kalshi 65%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 65¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $154 (1.54x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above $6.54
- Last price
- 65%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 65¢
- Sell Yes
- 63¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $154 (1.54x)
- Volume
- $59
Above $6.5654%54%53¢ bid, 54¢ askpolled, 30s ago54¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $185 (1.85x)Above $6.5654%Kalshi 54%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 54¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $185 (1.85x)
Above $6.56
54%
54%
53¢ bid, 54¢ ask
polled, 30s ago
54¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $185 (1.85x)
Above $6.56
54%
Kalshi 54%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 54¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $185 (1.85x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above $6.56
- Last price
- 54%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 54¢
- Sell Yes
- 53¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $185 (1.85x)
- Volume
- $237
Above $6.5844%44%42¢ bid, 44¢ askpolled, 30s ago44¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $227 (2.27x)Above $6.5844%Kalshi 44%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 44¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Above $6.58
44%
44%
42¢ bid, 44¢ ask
polled, 30s ago
44¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Above $6.58
44%
Kalshi 44%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 44¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above $6.58
- Last price
- 44%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 44¢
- Sell Yes
- 42¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $227 (2.27x)
- Volume
- $6
Show 40 more outcomesHide 40 outcomes
Above $6.6034%34%32¢ bid, 34¢ askpolled, 30s ago34¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $294 (2.94x)Above $6.6034%Kalshi 34%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Above $6.60
34%
34%
32¢ bid, 34¢ ask
polled, 30s ago
34¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Above $6.60
34%
Kalshi 34%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above $6.60
- Last price
- 34%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 34¢
- Sell Yes
- 32¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $294 (2.94x)
- Volume
- $68
Above $6.6224%24%23¢ bid, 25¢ askpolled, 30s ago25¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $400 (4.00x)Above $6.6224%Kalshi 24%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Above $6.62
24%
24%
23¢ bid, 25¢ ask
polled, 30s ago
25¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Above $6.62
24%
Kalshi 24%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above $6.62
- Last price
- 24%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 25¢
- Sell Yes
- 23¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $400 (4.00x)
Above $6.6417%17%16¢ bid, 18¢ askpolled, 30s ago18¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $556 (5.56x)Above $6.6417%Kalshi 17%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Above $6.64
17%
17%
16¢ bid, 18¢ ask
polled, 30s ago
18¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Above $6.64
17%
Kalshi 17%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above $6.64
- Last price
- 17%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 18¢
- Sell Yes
- 16¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $556 (5.56x)
Above $6.6611.5%11.5%10¢ bid, 13¢ askpolled, 30s ago13¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $769 (7.69x)Above $6.6611.5%Kalshi 11.5%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Above $6.66
11.5%
11.5%
10¢ bid, 13¢ ask
polled, 30s ago
13¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Above $6.66
11.5%
Kalshi 11.5%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above $6.66
- Last price
- 11.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 13¢
- Sell Yes
- 10¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $769 (7.69x)
Above $7.1611%11%— bid, 22¢ askpolled, 30s ago22¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $455 (4.55x)Above $7.1611%Kalshi 11%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 22¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Above $7.16
11%
11%
— bid, 22¢ ask
polled, 30s ago
22¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Above $7.16
11%
Kalshi 11%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 22¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above $7.16
- Last price
- 11%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 22¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $455 (4.55x)
Above $7.1410.5%10.5%— bid, 21¢ askpolled, 30s ago21¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $476 (4.76x)Above $7.1410.5%Kalshi 10.5%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 21¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Above $7.14
10.5%
10.5%
— bid, 21¢ ask
polled, 30s ago
21¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Above $7.14
10.5%
Kalshi 10.5%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 21¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above $7.14
- Last price
- 10.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 21¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $476 (4.76x)
Above $7.129.5%9.5%— bid, 19¢ askpolled, 30s ago19¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $526 (5.26x)Above $7.129.5%Kalshi 9.5%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Above $7.12
9.5%
9.5%
— bid, 19¢ ask
polled, 30s ago
19¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Above $7.12
9.5%
Kalshi 9.5%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above $7.12
- Last price
- 9.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 19¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $526 (5.26x)
Above $7.189.5%9.5%— bid, 19¢ askpolled, 30s ago19¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $526 (5.26x)Above $7.189.5%Kalshi 9.5%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Above $7.18
9.5%
9.5%
— bid, 19¢ ask
polled, 30s ago
19¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Above $7.18
9.5%
Kalshi 9.5%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above $7.18
- Last price
- 9.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 19¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $526 (5.26x)
Above $7.209.5%9.5%— bid, 19¢ askpolled, 30s ago19¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $526 (5.26x)Above $7.209.5%Kalshi 9.5%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Above $7.20
9.5%
9.5%
— bid, 19¢ ask
polled, 30s ago
19¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Above $7.20
9.5%
Kalshi 9.5%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above $7.20
- Last price
- 9.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 19¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $526 (5.26x)
Above $7.229.5%9.5%— bid, 19¢ askpolled, 30s ago19¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $526 (5.26x)Above $7.229.5%Kalshi 9.5%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Above $7.22
9.5%
9.5%
— bid, 19¢ ask
polled, 30s ago
19¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Above $7.22
9.5%
Kalshi 9.5%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above $7.22
- Last price
- 9.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 19¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $526 (5.26x)
Above $7.249.5%9.5%— bid, 19¢ askpolled, 30s ago19¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $526 (5.26x)Above $7.249.5%Kalshi 9.5%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Above $7.24
9.5%
9.5%
— bid, 19¢ ask
polled, 30s ago
19¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Above $7.24
9.5%
Kalshi 9.5%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above $7.24
- Last price
- 9.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 19¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $526 (5.26x)
Above $7.069%9%— bid, 18¢ askpolled, 30s ago18¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $556 (5.56x)Above $7.069%Kalshi 9%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Above $7.06
9%
9%
— bid, 18¢ ask
polled, 30s ago
18¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Above $7.06
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above $7.06
- Last price
- 9%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 18¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $556 (5.56x)
Above $7.089%9%— bid, 18¢ askpolled, 30s ago18¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $556 (5.56x)Above $7.089%Kalshi 9%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Above $7.08
9%
9%
— bid, 18¢ ask
polled, 30s ago
18¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Above $7.08
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above $7.08
- Last price
- 9%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 18¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $556 (5.56x)
Above $7.109%9%— bid, 18¢ askpolled, 30s ago18¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $556 (5.56x)Above $7.109%Kalshi 9%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Above $7.10
9%
9%
— bid, 18¢ ask
polled, 30s ago
18¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Above $7.10
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above $7.10
- Last price
- 9%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 18¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $556 (5.56x)
Above $7.048%8%— bid, 16¢ askpolled, 30s ago16¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $625 (6.25x)Above $7.048%Kalshi 8%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Above $7.04
8%
8%
— bid, 16¢ ask
polled, 30s ago
16¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Above $7.04
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above $7.04
- Last price
- 8%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 16¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $625 (6.25x)
Above $6.687.5%7.5%6¢ bid, 9¢ askpolled, 30s ago9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)Above $6.687.5%Kalshi 7.5%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Above $6.68
7.5%
7.5%
6¢ bid, 9¢ ask
polled, 30s ago
9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Above $6.68
7.5%
Kalshi 7.5%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above $6.68
- Last price
- 7.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
Above $6.745%5%1¢ bid, 5¢ askpolled, 30s ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Above $6.745%Kalshi 5%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Above $6.74
5%
5%
1¢ bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 30s ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Above $6.74
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above $6.74
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $10
Above $6.704%4%3¢ bid, 6¢ askpolled, 30s ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)Above $6.704%Kalshi 4%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Above $6.70
4%
4%
3¢ bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 30s ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Above $6.70
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above $6.70
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
- Volume
- $3
Above $6.724%4%2¢ bid, 5¢ askpolled, 30s ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Above $6.724%Kalshi 4%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Above $6.72
4%
4%
2¢ bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 30s ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Above $6.72
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above $6.72
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $10
Above $6.763%3%1¢ bid, 5¢ askpolled, 30s ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Above $6.763%Kalshi 3%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Above $6.76
3%
3%
1¢ bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 30s ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Above $6.76
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above $6.76
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
Above $6.782%2%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 30s ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Above $6.782%Kalshi 2%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Above $6.78
2%
2%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 30s ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Above $6.78
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above $6.78
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Above $6.802%2%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 30s ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Above $6.802%Kalshi 2%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Above $6.80
2%
2%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 30s ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Above $6.80
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above $6.80
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Above $6.822%2%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 30s ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Above $6.822%Kalshi 2%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Above $6.82
2%
2%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 30s ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Above $6.82
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above $6.82
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Above $6.842%2%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 30s ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Above $6.842%Kalshi 2%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Above $6.84
2%
2%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 30s ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Above $6.84
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above $6.84
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Above $6.862%2%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 30s ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Above $6.862%Kalshi 2%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Above $6.86
2%
2%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 30s ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Above $6.86
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above $6.86
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Above $6.882%2%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 30s ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Above $6.882%Kalshi 2%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Above $6.88
2%
2%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 30s ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Above $6.88
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above $6.88
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Above $6.902%2%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 30s ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Above $6.902%Kalshi 2%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Above $6.90
2%
2%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 30s ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Above $6.90
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above $6.90
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Above $6.922%2%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 30s ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Above $6.922%Kalshi 2%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Above $6.92
2%
2%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 30s ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Above $6.92
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above $6.92
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Above $6.942%2%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 30s ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Above $6.942%Kalshi 2%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Above $6.94
2%
2%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 30s ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Above $6.94
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above $6.94
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Above $6.962%2%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 30s ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Above $6.962%Kalshi 2%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Above $6.96
2%
2%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 30s ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Above $6.96
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above $6.96
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Above $6.982%2%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 30s ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Above $6.982%Kalshi 2%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Above $6.98
2%
2%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 30s ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Above $6.98
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above $6.98
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Above $72%2%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 30s ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Above $72%Kalshi 2%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Above $7
2%
2%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 30s ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Above $7
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above $7
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Above $7.022%2%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 30s ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Above $7.022%Kalshi 2%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Above $7.02
2%
2%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 30s ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Above $7.02
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above $7.02
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Above $7.260.5%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 30s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Above $7.260.5%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Above $7.26
0.5%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 30s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Above $7.26
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above $7.26
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Above $7.280.5%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 30s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Above $7.280.5%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Above $7.28
0.5%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 30s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Above $7.28
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above $7.28
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Above $7.300.5%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 30s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Above $7.300.5%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Above $7.30
0.5%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 30s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Above $7.30
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above $7.30
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Above $7.320.5%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 30s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Above $7.320.5%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Above $7.32
0.5%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 30s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Above $7.32
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above $7.32
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Above $7.340.5%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 30s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Above $7.340.5%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Above $7.34
0.5%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 30s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Above $7.34
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above $7.34
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Above $7.360.5%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 30s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Above $7.360.5%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Above $7.36
0.5%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 30s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Above $7.36
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above $7.36
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Above $7.380.5%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 30s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Above $7.380.5%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Above $7.38
0.5%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 30s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Above $7.38
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above $7.38
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Pyth - Copper
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Above $6.40
- Above $6.42
- Above $6.44
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (other / general rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Copper price on Oct 26, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?". Above $6.40 leads at 95%. Next is Above $6.42 at 94%. $2K has traded across 50 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 26, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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