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Best ask
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What the markets expect
Above 0.0% 98%
Next is Above -0.1% at 90%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Polymarket
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Polymarket
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Above 0.0%98%Not listed98%97¢ bid, 98¢ askpolled, 29s ago98¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $102 (1.02x)Above 0.0%98%Kalshi 98%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Above 0.0%
98%
Not listed
98%
97¢ bid, 98¢ ask
polled, 29s ago
98¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Above 0.0%
98%
Kalshi 98%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 0.0%
- Last price
- 98%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 98¢
- Sell Yes
- 97¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $102 (1.02x)
- Volume
- $72K
Above -0.1%Kalshi: “Above 0.1%”90%Not listed87%87¢ bid, 88¢ askpolled, 29s ago88¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $114 (1.14x)Above -0.1%90%Kalshi 99%polled, 29s agoKalshi 87%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 88¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Above -0.1%
Kalshi: “Above 0.1%”
90%
Not listed
87%
87¢ bid, 88¢ ask
polled, 29s ago
88¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Above -0.1%
90%
Kalshi 99%polled, 29s agoKalshi 87%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 88¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above -0.1%
- Last price
- 99%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 98¢
- Volume
- $35K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 0.1%
- Last price
- 87%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 88¢
- Sell Yes
- 87¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $114 (1.14x)
- Volume
- $192K
2.6%76.5%76.5%76¢ bid, 77¢ askpolled, 29s agoNot listed77¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $130 (1.30x)2.6%76.5%Polymarket 76.5%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 77¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $130 (1.30x)
2.6%
76.5%
76.5%
76¢ bid, 77¢ ask
polled, 29s ago
Not listed
77¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $130 (1.30x)
2.6%
76.5%
Polymarket 76.5%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 77¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $130 (1.30x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 2.6%
- Last price
- 76.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 77¢
- Sell Yes
- 76¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $130 (1.30x)
- Volume
- $3K
Above 0.2%59%Not listed59%58¢ bid, 63¢ askpolled, 29s ago63¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $159 (1.59x)Above 0.2%59%Kalshi 59%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 63¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $159 (1.59x)
Above 0.2%
59%
Not listed
59%
58¢ bid, 63¢ ask
polled, 29s ago
63¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $159 (1.59x)
Above 0.2%
59%
Kalshi 59%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 63¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $159 (1.59x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 0.2%
- Last price
- 59%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 63¢
- Sell Yes
- 58¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $159 (1.59x)
- Volume
- $252K
0.2%32.5%32.5%32¢ bid, 33¢ askpolled, 29s agoNot listed33¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $303 (3.03x)0.2%32.5%Polymarket 32.5%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 33¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $303 (3.03x)
0.2%
32.5%
32.5%
32¢ bid, 33¢ ask
polled, 29s ago
Not listed
33¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $303 (3.03x)
0.2%
32.5%
Polymarket 32.5%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 33¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $303 (3.03x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 0.2%
- Last price
- 32.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 33¢
- Sell Yes
- 32¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $303 (3.03x)
- Volume
- $2K
0.3%31.5%31.5%31¢ bid, 32¢ askpolled, 29s agoNot listed32¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $313 (3.13x)0.3%31.5%Polymarket 31.5%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 32¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
0.3%
31.5%
31.5%
31¢ bid, 32¢ ask
polled, 29s ago
Not listed
32¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $313 (3.13x)
0.3%
31.5%
Polymarket 31.5%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 32¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 0.3%
- Last price
- 31.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 32¢
- Sell Yes
- 31¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $313 (3.13x)
- Volume
- $884
Above 0.3%26%Not listed26%26¢ bid, 28¢ askpolled, 29s ago28¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $357 (3.57x)Above 0.3%26%Kalshi 26%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 28¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Above 0.3%
26%
Not listed
26%
26¢ bid, 28¢ ask
polled, 29s ago
28¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Above 0.3%
26%
Kalshi 26%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 28¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 0.3%
- Last price
- 26%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 28¢
- Sell Yes
- 26¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $357 (3.57x)
- Volume
- $87K
0.1%18.5%18.5%18¢ bid, 19¢ askpolled, 29s agoNot listed19¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $526 (5.26x)0.1%18.5%Polymarket 18.5%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 19¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
0.1%
18.5%
18.5%
18¢ bid, 19¢ ask
polled, 29s ago
Not listed
19¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $526 (5.26x)
0.1%
18.5%
Polymarket 18.5%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 19¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 0.1%
- Last price
- 18.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 19¢
- Sell Yes
- 18¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $526 (5.26x)
- Volume
- $558
Above 0.4%14%Not listed14%13¢ bid, 14¢ askpolled, 29s ago14¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $714 (7.14x)Above 0.4%14%Kalshi 14%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Above 0.4%
14%
Not listed
14%
13¢ bid, 14¢ ask
polled, 29s ago
14¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Above 0.4%
14%
Kalshi 14%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 0.4%
- Last price
- 14%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 14¢
- Sell Yes
- 13¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $714 (7.14x)
- Volume
- $72K
0.4%13%13%12¢ bid, 14¢ askpolled, 29s agoNot listed14¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $714 (7.14x)0.4%13%Polymarket 13%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 14¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
0.4%
13%
13%
12¢ bid, 14¢ ask
polled, 29s ago
Not listed
14¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $714 (7.14x)
0.4%
13%
Polymarket 13%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 14¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 0.4%
- Last price
- 13%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 14¢
- Sell Yes
- 12¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $714 (7.14x)
- Volume
- $801
Show 18 more outcomesHide 18 outcomes
3.0%9.5%9.5%0.5¢ bid, 18.5¢ askpolled, 29s agoNot listed18.5¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $541 (5.41x)3.0%9.5%Polymarket 9.5%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 18.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $541 (5.41x)
3.0%
9.5%
9.5%
0.5¢ bid, 18.5¢ ask
polled, 29s ago
Not listed
18.5¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $541 (5.41x)
3.0%
9.5%
Polymarket 9.5%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 18.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $541 (5.41x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 3.0%
- Last price
- 9.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 18.5¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $541 (5.41x)
- Volume
- $358
2.7%6.2%6.2%1.3¢ bid, 11.1¢ askpolled, 29s agoNot listed11.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $901 (9.01x)2.7%6.2%Polymarket 6.2%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 11.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $901 (9.01x)
2.7%
6.2%
6.2%
1.3¢ bid, 11.1¢ ask
polled, 29s ago
Not listed
11.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $901 (9.01x)
2.7%
6.2%
Polymarket 6.2%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 11.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $901 (9.01x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 2.7%
- Last price
- 6.2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 11.1¢
- Sell Yes
- 1.3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $901 (9.01x)
- Volume
- $530
0.0%4%4%1.1¢ bid, 6.8¢ askpolled, 29s agoNot listed6.8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,471 (14.7x)0.0%4%Polymarket 4%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 6.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,471 (14.7x)
0.0%
4%
4%
1.1¢ bid, 6.8¢ ask
polled, 29s ago
Not listed
6.8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,471 (14.7x)
0.0%
4%
Polymarket 4%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 6.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,471 (14.7x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 0.0%
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6.8¢
- Sell Yes
- 1.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,471 (14.7x)
- Volume
- $560
Above 0.5%2%Not listed2%1¢ bid, 2¢ askpolled, 29s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Above 0.5%2%Kalshi 2%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Above 0.5%
2%
Not listed
2%
1¢ bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 29s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Above 0.5%
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 0.5%
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $29K
Above 0.9%2%Not listed2%1¢ bid, 2¢ askpolled, 29s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Above 0.9%2%Kalshi 2%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Above 0.9%
2%
Not listed
2%
1¢ bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 29s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Above 0.9%
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 0.9%
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $11K
Above 1.0%2%Not listed2%1¢ bid, 2¢ askpolled, 29s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Above 1.0%2%Kalshi 2%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Above 1.0%
2%
Not listed
2%
1¢ bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 29s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Above 1.0%
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 1.0%
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $17K
2.5%2%2%0.2¢ bid, 3.7¢ askpolled, 29s agoNot listed3.7¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,703 (27.0x)2.5%2%Polymarket 2%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 3.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,703 (27.0x)
2.5%
2%
2%
0.2¢ bid, 3.7¢ ask
polled, 29s ago
Not listed
3.7¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,703 (27.0x)
2.5%
2%
Polymarket 2%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 3.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,703 (27.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 2.5%
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3.7¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,703 (27.0x)
- Volume
- $1K
0.5%1.7%1.7%0.3¢ bid, 3.1¢ askpolled, 29s agoNot listed3.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $3,226 (32.3x)0.5%1.7%Polymarket 1.7%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 3.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,226 (32.3x)
0.5%
1.7%
1.7%
0.3¢ bid, 3.1¢ ask
polled, 29s ago
Not listed
3.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $3,226 (32.3x)
0.5%
1.7%
Polymarket 1.7%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 3.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,226 (32.3x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 0.5%
- Last price
- 1.7%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3.1¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,226 (32.3x)
- Volume
- $212
2.2%1.6%1.6%0.3¢ bid, 2.9¢ askpolled, 29s agoNot listed2.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $3,448 (34.5x)2.2%1.6%Polymarket 1.6%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 2.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,448 (34.5x)
2.2%
1.6%
1.6%
0.3¢ bid, 2.9¢ ask
polled, 29s ago
Not listed
2.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $3,448 (34.5x)
2.2%
1.6%
Polymarket 1.6%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 2.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,448 (34.5x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 2.2%
- Last price
- 1.6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,448 (34.5x)
- Volume
- $288
2.3%1.6%1.6%0.3¢ bid, 2.9¢ askpolled, 29s agoNot listed2.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $3,448 (34.5x)2.3%1.6%Polymarket 1.6%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 2.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,448 (34.5x)
2.3%
1.6%
1.6%
0.3¢ bid, 2.9¢ ask
polled, 29s ago
Not listed
2.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $3,448 (34.5x)
2.3%
1.6%
Polymarket 1.6%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 2.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,448 (34.5x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 2.3%
- Last price
- 1.6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,448 (34.5x)
- Volume
- $258
2.4%1.6%1.6%0.3¢ bid, 2.9¢ askpolled, 29s agoNot listed2.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $3,448 (34.5x)2.4%1.6%Polymarket 1.6%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 2.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,448 (34.5x)
2.4%
1.6%
1.6%
0.3¢ bid, 2.9¢ ask
polled, 29s ago
Not listed
2.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $3,448 (34.5x)
2.4%
1.6%
Polymarket 1.6%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 2.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,448 (34.5x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 2.4%
- Last price
- 1.6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,448 (34.5x)
- Volume
- $276
0.6%+1.1%1.1%0.3¢ bid, 1.9¢ askpolled, 29s agoNot listed1.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $5,263 (52.6x)0.6%+1.1%Polymarket 1.1%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 1.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,263 (52.6x)
0.6%+
1.1%
1.1%
0.3¢ bid, 1.9¢ ask
polled, 29s ago
Not listed
1.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $5,263 (52.6x)
0.6%+
1.1%
Polymarket 1.1%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 1.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,263 (52.6x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 0.6%+
- Last price
- 1.1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,263 (52.6x)
- Volume
- $374
Above 0.6%1%Not listed1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 29s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Above 0.6%1%Kalshi 1%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Above 0.6%
1%
Not listed
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 29s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Above 0.6%
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 0.6%
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $12K
Above 0.7%1%Not listed1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 29s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Above 0.7%1%Kalshi 1%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Above 0.7%
1%
Not listed
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 29s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Above 0.7%
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 0.7%
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $8K
Above 0.8%1%Not listed1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 29s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Above 0.8%1%Kalshi 1%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Above 0.8%
1%
Not listed
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 29s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Above 0.8%
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 0.8%
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $18K
3.1%0.7%0.7%0.1¢ bid, 1.2¢ askpolled, 29s agoNot listed1.2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $8,333 (83.3x)3.1%0.7%Polymarket 0.7%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 1.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $8,333 (83.3x)
3.1%
0.7%
0.7%
0.1¢ bid, 1.2¢ ask
polled, 29s ago
Not listed
1.2¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $8,333 (83.3x)
3.1%
0.7%
Polymarket 0.7%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 1.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $8,333 (83.3x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 3.1%
- Last price
- 0.7%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1.2¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $8,333 (83.3x)
- Volume
- $296
2.8%0.6%0.6%0.1¢ bid, 1¢ askpolled, 29s agoNot listed1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $10,000 (100x)2.8%0.6%Polymarket 0.6%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
2.8%
0.6%
0.6%
0.1¢ bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 29s ago
Not listed
1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
2.8%
0.6%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 2.8%
- Last price
- 0.6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $280
2.9%0.6%0.6%0.1¢ bid, 1¢ askpolled, 29s agoNot listed1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $10,000 (100x)2.9%0.6%Polymarket 0.6%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
2.9%
0.6%
0.6%
0.1¢ bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 29s ago
Not listed
1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
2.9%
0.6%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 2.9%
- Last price
- 0.6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $299
Who resolves this market
- Polymarket resolves via:
- UMA optimistic oracle, source: bls.gov
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Bureau of Labor Statistics
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Above 0.0%
- Above -0.1%
- 2.6%
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
Polymarket
Polymarket doesn’t list Above 0.0% for this event.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (economics rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "CPI in October". Above 0.0% leads at 98%. Next is Above -0.1% at 90%. $817K has traded across 28 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 10, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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