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What the markets expect
Keri Russell 80%
Next is Zendaya at 70%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Keri Russell80%80%70¢ bid, 90¢ askpolled, 1 min ago90¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $111 (1.11x)Keri Russell80%Kalshi 80%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 90¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Keri Russell
80%
80%
70¢ bid, 90¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
90¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Keri Russell
80%
Kalshi 80%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 90¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Keri Russell
- Last price
- 80%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 90¢
- Sell Yes
- 70¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $111 (1.11x)
Zendaya70%70%66¢ bid, 86¢ askpolled, 1 min ago86¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $116 (1.16x)Zendaya70%Kalshi 70%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 86¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $116 (1.16x)
Zendaya
70%
70%
66¢ bid, 86¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
86¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $116 (1.16x)
Zendaya
70%
Kalshi 70%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 86¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $116 (1.16x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Zendaya
- Last price
- 70%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 86¢
- Sell Yes
- 66¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $116 (1.16x)
- Volume
- $1K
Emmy Rossum62%62%58¢ bid, 77¢ askpolled, 1 min ago77¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $130 (1.30x)Emmy Rossum62%Kalshi 62%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 77¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $130 (1.30x)
Emmy Rossum
62%
62%
58¢ bid, 77¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
77¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $130 (1.30x)
Emmy Rossum
62%
Kalshi 62%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 77¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $130 (1.30x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Emmy Rossum
- Last price
- 62%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 77¢
- Sell Yes
- 58¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $130 (1.30x)
- Volume
- $640
Emma D’Arcy47%47%27¢ bid, 47¢ askpolled, 1 min ago47¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $213 (2.13x)Emma D’Arcy47%Kalshi 47%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 47¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Emma D’Arcy
47%
47%
27¢ bid, 47¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
47¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Emma D’Arcy
47%
Kalshi 47%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 47¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Emma D’Arcy
- Last price
- 47%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 47¢
- Sell Yes
- 27¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $213 (2.13x)
- Volume
- $775
Carrie Coon45%45%40¢ bid, 60¢ askpolled, 1 min ago60¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $167 (1.67x)Carrie Coon45%Kalshi 45%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 60¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $167 (1.67x)
Carrie Coon
45%
45%
40¢ bid, 60¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
60¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $167 (1.67x)
Carrie Coon
45%
Kalshi 45%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 60¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $167 (1.67x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Carrie Coon
- Last price
- 45%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 60¢
- Sell Yes
- 40¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $167 (1.67x)
- Volume
- $351
Chase Infiniti45%45%45¢ bid, 65¢ askpolled, 1 min ago65¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $154 (1.54x)Chase Infiniti45%Kalshi 45%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 65¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $154 (1.54x)
Chase Infiniti
45%
45%
45¢ bid, 65¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
65¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $154 (1.54x)
Chase Infiniti
45%
Kalshi 45%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 65¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $154 (1.54x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Chase Infiniti
- Last price
- 45%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 65¢
- Sell Yes
- 45¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $154 (1.54x)
- Volume
- $400
Rebecca Ferguson45%45%32¢ bid, 52¢ askpolled, 1 min ago52¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $192 (1.92x)Rebecca Ferguson45%Kalshi 45%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 52¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $192 (1.92x)
Rebecca Ferguson
45%
45%
32¢ bid, 52¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
52¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $192 (1.92x)
Rebecca Ferguson
45%
Kalshi 45%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 52¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $192 (1.92x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Rebecca Ferguson
- Last price
- 45%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 52¢
- Sell Yes
- 32¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $192 (1.92x)
- Volume
- $589
Caitríona Balfe35%35%25¢ bid, 45¢ askpolled, 1 min ago45¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $222 (2.22x)Caitríona Balfe35%Kalshi 35%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 45¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Caitríona Balfe
35%
35%
25¢ bid, 45¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
45¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Caitríona Balfe
35%
Kalshi 35%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 45¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Caitríona Balfe
- Last price
- 35%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 45¢
- Sell Yes
- 25¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $222 (2.22x)
Ella Purnell35%35%25¢ bid, 45¢ askpolled, 1 min ago45¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $222 (2.22x)Ella Purnell35%Kalshi 35%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 45¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Ella Purnell
35%
35%
25¢ bid, 45¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
45¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Ella Purnell
35%
Kalshi 35%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 45¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ella Purnell
- Last price
- 35%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 45¢
- Sell Yes
- 25¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $222 (2.22x)
Kathy Bates35%35%20¢ bid, 40¢ askpolled, 1 min ago40¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $250 (2.50x)Kathy Bates35%Kalshi 35%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 40¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Kathy Bates
35%
35%
20¢ bid, 40¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
40¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Kathy Bates
35%
Kalshi 35%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 40¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Kathy Bates
- Last price
- 35%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 40¢
- Sell Yes
- 20¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $250 (2.50x)
- Volume
- $205
Show 6 more outcomesHide 6 outcomes
Melissa O’Neil35%35%25¢ bid, 45¢ askpolled, 1 min ago45¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $222 (2.22x)Melissa O’Neil35%Kalshi 35%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 45¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Melissa O’Neil
35%
35%
25¢ bid, 45¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
45¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Melissa O’Neil
35%
Kalshi 35%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 45¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Melissa O’Neil
- Last price
- 35%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 45¢
- Sell Yes
- 25¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $222 (2.22x)
Melissa Roxburgh35%35%25¢ bid, 45¢ askpolled, 1 min ago45¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $222 (2.22x)Melissa Roxburgh35%Kalshi 35%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 45¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Melissa Roxburgh
35%
35%
25¢ bid, 45¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
45¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Melissa Roxburgh
35%
Kalshi 35%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 45¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Melissa Roxburgh
- Last price
- 35%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 45¢
- Sell Yes
- 25¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $222 (2.22x)
Myha’la Herrold35%35%25¢ bid, 45¢ askpolled, 1 min ago45¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $222 (2.22x)Myha’la Herrold35%Kalshi 35%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 45¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Myha’la Herrold
35%
35%
25¢ bid, 45¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
45¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Myha’la Herrold
35%
Kalshi 35%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 45¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Myha’la Herrold
- Last price
- 35%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 45¢
- Sell Yes
- 25¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $222 (2.22x)
Olivia Cooke35%35%25¢ bid, 45¢ askpolled, 1 min ago45¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $222 (2.22x)Olivia Cooke35%Kalshi 35%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 45¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Olivia Cooke
35%
35%
25¢ bid, 45¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
45¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Olivia Cooke
35%
Kalshi 35%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 45¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Olivia Cooke
- Last price
- 35%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 45¢
- Sell Yes
- 25¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $222 (2.22x)
Yerin Ha35%35%25¢ bid, 45¢ askpolled, 1 min ago45¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $222 (2.22x)Yerin Ha35%Kalshi 35%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 45¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Yerin Ha
35%
35%
25¢ bid, 45¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
45¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Yerin Ha
35%
Kalshi 35%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 45¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Yerin Ha
- Last price
- 35%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 45¢
- Sell Yes
- 25¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $222 (2.22x)
Angela Bassett25%25%5¢ bid, 25¢ askpolled, 1 min ago25¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $400 (4.00x)Angela Bassett25%Kalshi 25%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Angela Bassett
25%
25%
5¢ bid, 25¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
25¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Angela Bassett
25%
Kalshi 25%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Angela Bassett
- Last price
- 25%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 25¢
- Sell Yes
- 5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $400 (4.00x)
- Volume
- $680
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Critics Choice Awards
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Keri Russell
- Zendaya
- Emmy Rossum
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (culture rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Critics Choice Award Nominations: Best Actress in a Drama Series". Keri Russell leads at 80%. Next is Zendaya at 70%. $5K has traded across 16 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 3, 2028.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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