The Prediction Markets

Critics Choice Award Nominations: Best Comedy

Closes
Jan 3, 2028, in 15 months
Traded
$10K
Venues
Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
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What the markets expect

Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Miasma 70.5%

Next is The Invite at 63%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Miasma
70.5%
Kalshi 70.5%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 90¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Kalshi
Contract
Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Miasma
Last price
70.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
90¢
Sell Yes
51¢
$100 on Yes pays
$111 (1.11x)
Trade this on Kalshi
The Invite
63%
Kalshi 63%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 63¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $159 (1.59x)
Kalshi
Contract
The Invite
Last price
63%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
63¢
Sell Yes
44¢
$100 on Yes pays
$159 (1.59x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Club Kid
55.5%
Kalshi 55.5%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 75¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $133 (1.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Club Kid
Last price
55.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
75¢
Sell Yes
36¢
$100 on Yes pays
$133 (1.33x)
Trade this on Kalshi
The Drama
55%
Kalshi 55%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 65¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $154 (1.54x)
Kalshi
Contract
The Drama
Last price
55%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
65¢
Sell Yes
29¢
$100 on Yes pays
$154 (1.54x)
Volume
$621
Trade this on Kalshi
Project Hail Mary
45%
Kalshi 45%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 48¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Kalshi
Contract
Project Hail Mary
Last price
45%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
48¢
Sell Yes
16¢
$100 on Yes pays
$208 (2.08x)
Volume
$200
Trade this on Kalshi
The Sheep Detectives
40%
Kalshi 40%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 70¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $143 (1.43x)
Kalshi
Contract
The Sheep Detectives
Last price
40%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
70¢
Sell Yes
31¢
$100 on Yes pays
$143 (1.43x)
Volume
$460
Trade this on Kalshi
Wild Horse Nine
39%
Kalshi 39%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 39¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Kalshi
Contract
Wild Horse Nine
Last price
39%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
39¢
Sell Yes
22¢
$100 on Yes pays
$256 (2.56x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
The Devil Wears Prada 2
35.5%
Kalshi 35.5%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 55¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $182 (1.82x)
Kalshi
Contract
The Devil Wears Prada 2
Last price
35.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
55¢
Sell Yes
16¢
$100 on Yes pays
$182 (1.82x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Coyote vs. Acme
35%
Kalshi 35%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 64¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $156 (1.56x)
Kalshi
Contract
Coyote vs. Acme
Last price
35%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
64¢
Sell Yes
25¢
$100 on Yes pays
$156 (1.56x)
Volume
$210
Trade this on Kalshi
I Love Boosters
35%
Kalshi 35%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 64¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $156 (1.56x)
Kalshi
Contract
I Love Boosters
Last price
35%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
64¢
Sell Yes
25¢
$100 on Yes pays
$156 (1.56x)
Volume
$200
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 5 more outcomes
The Debut
34%
Kalshi 34%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 39¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Kalshi
Contract
The Debut
Last price
34%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
39¢
Sell Yes
31¢
$100 on Yes pays
$256 (2.56x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Digger
22%
Kalshi 22%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 40¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Kalshi
Contract
Digger
Last price
22%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
40¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$250 (2.50x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Focker-in-Law
21.5%
Kalshi 21.5%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 40¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Kalshi
Contract
Focker-in-Law
Last price
21.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
40¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$250 (2.50x)
Trade this on Kalshi
The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth
21.5%
Kalshi 21.5%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 40¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Kalshi
Contract
The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth
Last price
21.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
40¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$250 (2.50x)
Trade this on Kalshi
The Gallerist
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 33¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $303 (3.03x)
Kalshi
Contract
The Gallerist
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
33¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$303 (3.03x)
Volume
$10
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Critics Choice Awards

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Miasma
  • The Invite
  • Club Kid

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

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Best ask
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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

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Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (culture rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Critics Choice Award Nominations: Best Comedy". Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Miasma leads at 70.5%. Next is The Invite at 63%. $10K has traded across 15 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 3, 2028.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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