The Prediction Markets

Critics Choice Award Nominations: Best Foreign Language Film

Closes
Jan 4, 2028, in 15 months
Traded
$34K
Venues
Kalshi
Prices updated
1 min ago
Share

What the markets expect

All of a Sudden 92%

Next is Godzilla Minus Zero at 90%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
All of a Sudden
92%
Kalshi 92%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 93¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Kalshi
Contract
All of a Sudden
Last price
92%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
93¢
Sell Yes
85¢
$100 on Yes pays
$108 (1.08x)
Volume
$258
Trade this on Kalshi
Godzilla Minus Zero
90%
Kalshi 90%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 90¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Kalshi
Contract
Godzilla Minus Zero
Last price
90%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
90¢
Sell Yes
82¢
$100 on Yes pays
$111 (1.11x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Possible Love
81.5%
Kalshi 81.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 91¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $110 (1.10x)
Kalshi
Contract
Possible Love
Last price
81.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
91¢
Sell Yes
72¢
$100 on Yes pays
$110 (1.10x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Fjord
66%
Kalshi 66%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 83¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $120 (1.20x)
Kalshi
Contract
Fjord
Last price
66%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
83¢
Sell Yes
65¢
$100 on Yes pays
$120 (1.20x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Fatherland
61%
Kalshi 61%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 66¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $152 (1.52x)
Kalshi
Contract
Fatherland
Last price
61%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
66¢
Sell Yes
52¢
$100 on Yes pays
$152 (1.52x)
Volume
$405
Trade this on Kalshi
Minotaur
53.5%
Kalshi 53.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 63¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $159 (1.59x)
Kalshi
Contract
Minotaur
Last price
53.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
63¢
Sell Yes
44¢
$100 on Yes pays
$159 (1.59x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Coward
35.5%
Kalshi 35.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 45¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Kalshi
Contract
Coward
Last price
35.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
45¢
Sell Yes
26¢
$100 on Yes pays
$222 (2.22x)
Trade this on Kalshi
La Bola Negra
34%
Kalshi 34%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 36¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Kalshi
Contract
La Bola Negra
Last price
34%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
36¢
Sell Yes
34¢
$100 on Yes pays
$278 (2.78x)
Volume
$29K
Trade this on Kalshi
Rose
33.5%
Kalshi 33.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 43¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $233 (2.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Rose
Last price
33.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
43¢
Sell Yes
24¢
$100 on Yes pays
$233 (2.33x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Woman Unknown
20.5%
Kalshi 20.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 30¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Woman Unknown
Last price
20.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
30¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$333 (3.33x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 5 more outcomes
Yellow Letters
20.5%
Kalshi 20.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 30¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Yellow Letters
Last price
20.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
30¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$333 (3.33x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Everytime
15.5%
Kalshi 15.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
Everytime
Last price
15.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
25¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$400 (4.00x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Iron Boy
15.5%
Kalshi 15.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
Iron Boy
Last price
15.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
25¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$400 (4.00x)
Trade this on Kalshi
La Gradiva
15.5%
Kalshi 15.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
La Gradiva
Last price
15.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
25¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$400 (4.00x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Shame and Money
15.5%
Kalshi 15.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
Shame and Money
Last price
15.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
25¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$400 (4.00x)
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Critics Choice Awards

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • All of a Sudden
  • Godzilla Minus Zero
  • Possible Love

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
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Spread
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Best ask
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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (culture rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Critics Choice Award Nominations: Best Foreign Language Film". All of a Sudden leads at 92%. Next is Godzilla Minus Zero at 90%. $34K has traded across 15 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 4, 2028.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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