The Prediction Markets

Critics Choice Award Nominations: Best Supporting Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television

Closes
Jan 3, 2028, in 15 months
Traded
$4K
Venues
Kalshi
Prices updated
2 min ago
Share

What the markets expect

David Harbour 99%

Next is Charles Melton at 75%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 2 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
David Harbour
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 2 min ago
Kalshi
Contract
David Harbour
Last price
99%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
89¢
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Charles Melton
75%
Kalshi 75%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
Contract
Charles Melton
Last price
75%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
55¢
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Hoon Lee
75%
Kalshi 75%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 75¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $133 (1.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Hoon Lee
Last price
75%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
75¢
Sell Yes
44¢
$100 on Yes pays
$133 (1.33x)
Volume
$202
Trade this on Kalshi
Jason Bateman
70%
Kalshi 70%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 90¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jason Bateman
Last price
70%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
90¢
Sell Yes
50¢
$100 on Yes pays
$111 (1.11x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Richard Jenkins
40%
Kalshi 40%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 60¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $167 (1.67x)
Kalshi
Contract
Richard Jenkins
Last price
40%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
60¢
Sell Yes
20¢
$100 on Yes pays
$167 (1.67x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Adam DiMarco
35%
Kalshi 35%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 55¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $182 (1.82x)
Kalshi
Contract
Adam DiMarco
Last price
35%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
55¢
Sell Yes
15¢
$100 on Yes pays
$182 (1.82x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Alessandro Nivola
35%
Kalshi 35%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 55¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $182 (1.82x)
Kalshi
Contract
Alessandro Nivola
Last price
35%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
55¢
Sell Yes
15¢
$100 on Yes pays
$182 (1.82x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Ciarán Hinds
35%
Kalshi 35%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 55¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $182 (1.82x)
Kalshi
Contract
Ciarán Hinds
Last price
35%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
55¢
Sell Yes
15¢
$100 on Yes pays
$182 (1.82x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Corey Stoll
35%
Kalshi 35%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 55¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $182 (1.82x)
Kalshi
Contract
Corey Stoll
Last price
35%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
55¢
Sell Yes
15¢
$100 on Yes pays
$182 (1.82x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Drew Starkey
35%
Kalshi 35%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 55¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $182 (1.82x)
Kalshi
Contract
Drew Starkey
Last price
35%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
55¢
Sell Yes
15¢
$100 on Yes pays
$182 (1.82x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 5 more outcomes
Joel Kinnaman
35%
Kalshi 35%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 55¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $182 (1.82x)
Kalshi
Contract
Joel Kinnaman
Last price
35%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
55¢
Sell Yes
15¢
$100 on Yes pays
$182 (1.82x)
Trade this on Kalshi
John Slattery
35%
Kalshi 35%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 55¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $182 (1.82x)
Kalshi
Contract
John Slattery
Last price
35%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
55¢
Sell Yes
15¢
$100 on Yes pays
$182 (1.82x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Mike Faist
35%
Kalshi 35%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 55¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $182 (1.82x)
Kalshi
Contract
Mike Faist
Last price
35%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
55¢
Sell Yes
15¢
$100 on Yes pays
$182 (1.82x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Richard Gadd
35%
Kalshi 35%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 55¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $182 (1.82x)
Kalshi
Contract
Richard Gadd
Last price
35%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
55¢
Sell Yes
15¢
$100 on Yes pays
$182 (1.82x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Timothy Olyphant
35%
Kalshi 35%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 55¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $182 (1.82x)
Kalshi
Contract
Timothy Olyphant
Last price
35%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
55¢
Sell Yes
15¢
$100 on Yes pays
$182 (1.82x)
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Critics Choice Awards

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • David Harbour
  • Charles Melton
  • Hoon Lee

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (culture rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Critics Choice Award Nominations: Best Supporting Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television". David Harbour leads at 99%. Next is Charles Melton at 75%. $4K has traded across 15 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 3, 2028.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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