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What the markets expect
Anne Hathaway 87.5%
Next is Katherine LaNasa at 85%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Polymarket
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Polymarket
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Anne Hathaway87.5%87.5%86¢ bid, 89¢ askpolled, 38s agoNot listed89¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $112 (1.12x)Anne Hathaway87.5%Polymarket 87.5%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 89¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Anne Hathaway
87.5%
87.5%
86¢ bid, 89¢ ask
polled, 38s ago
Not listed
89¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Anne Hathaway
87.5%
Polymarket 87.5%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 89¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Anne Hathaway
- Last price
- 87.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 89¢
- Sell Yes
- 86¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $112 (1.12x)
- Volume
- $9K
Katherine LaNasa85%Not listed85%81¢ bid, 99¢ askpolled, 38s ago99¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $101 (1.01x)Katherine LaNasa85%Kalshi 85%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Katherine LaNasa
85%
Not listed
85%
81¢ bid, 99¢ ask
polled, 38s ago
99¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Katherine LaNasa
85%
Kalshi 85%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Katherine LaNasa
- Last price
- 85%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- 81¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
- Volume
- $198
Samantha Morton81%81%80¢ bid, 82¢ askpolled, 38s agoNot listed82¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $122 (1.22x)Samantha Morton81%Polymarket 81%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 82¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $122 (1.22x)
Samantha Morton
81%
81%
80¢ bid, 82¢ ask
polled, 38s ago
Not listed
82¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $122 (1.22x)
Samantha Morton
81%
Polymarket 81%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 82¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $122 (1.22x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Samantha Morton
- Last price
- 81%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 82¢
- Sell Yes
- 80¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $122 (1.22x)
- Volume
- $974
Penélope Cruz74%74%72¢ bid, 76¢ askpolled, 38s agoNot listed76¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $132 (1.32x)Penélope Cruz74%Polymarket 74%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 76¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $132 (1.32x)
Penélope Cruz
74%
74%
72¢ bid, 76¢ ask
polled, 38s ago
Not listed
76¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $132 (1.32x)
Penélope Cruz
74%
Polymarket 74%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 76¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $132 (1.32x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Penélope Cruz
- Last price
- 74%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 76¢
- Sell Yes
- 72¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $132 (1.32x)
- Volume
- $6K
Allison Janney70%Not listed70%66¢ bid, 85¢ askpolled, 38s ago85¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $118 (1.18x)Allison Janney70%Kalshi 70%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 85¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $118 (1.18x)
Allison Janney
70%
Not listed
70%
66¢ bid, 85¢ ask
polled, 38s ago
85¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $118 (1.18x)
Allison Janney
70%
Kalshi 70%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 85¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $118 (1.18x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Allison Janney
- Last price
- 70%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 85¢
- Sell Yes
- 66¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $118 (1.18x)
- Volume
- $196
Tao Okamoto61.5%61.5%59¢ bid, 64¢ askpolled, 38s agoNot listed64¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $156 (1.56x)Tao Okamoto61.5%Polymarket 61.5%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 64¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $156 (1.56x)
Tao Okamoto
61.5%
61.5%
59¢ bid, 64¢ ask
polled, 38s ago
Not listed
64¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $156 (1.56x)
Tao Okamoto
61.5%
Polymarket 61.5%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 64¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $156 (1.56x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Tao Okamoto
- Last price
- 61.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 64¢
- Sell Yes
- 59¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $156 (1.56x)
- Volume
- $654
Sepideh Moafi60.5%Not listed60.5%51¢ bid, 70¢ askpolled, 38s ago70¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $143 (1.43x)Sepideh Moafi60.5%Kalshi 60.5%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 70¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $143 (1.43x)
Sepideh Moafi
60.5%
Not listed
60.5%
51¢ bid, 70¢ ask
polled, 38s ago
70¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $143 (1.43x)
Sepideh Moafi
60.5%
Kalshi 60.5%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 70¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $143 (1.43x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Sepideh Moafi
- Last price
- 60.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 70¢
- Sell Yes
- 51¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $143 (1.43x)
Taylor Dearden60.5%Not listed60.5%51¢ bid, 70¢ askpolled, 38s ago70¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $143 (1.43x)Taylor Dearden60.5%Kalshi 60.5%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 70¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $143 (1.43x)
Taylor Dearden
60.5%
Not listed
60.5%
51¢ bid, 70¢ ask
polled, 38s ago
70¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $143 (1.43x)
Taylor Dearden
60.5%
Kalshi 60.5%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 70¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $143 (1.43x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Taylor Dearden
- Last price
- 60.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 70¢
- Sell Yes
- 51¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $143 (1.43x)
Amanda Seyfried59%59%58¢ bid, 60¢ askpolled, 38s agoNot listed60¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $167 (1.67x)Amanda Seyfried59%Polymarket 59%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 60¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $167 (1.67x)
Amanda Seyfried
59%
59%
58¢ bid, 60¢ ask
polled, 38s ago
Not listed
60¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $167 (1.67x)
Amanda Seyfried
59%
Polymarket 59%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 60¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $167 (1.67x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Amanda Seyfried
- Last price
- 59%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 60¢
- Sell Yes
- 58¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $167 (1.67x)
- Volume
- $8K
Supriya Ganesh50%Not listed50%36¢ bid, 55¢ askpolled, 38s ago55¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $182 (1.82x)Supriya Ganesh50%Kalshi 50%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 55¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $182 (1.82x)
Supriya Ganesh
50%
Not listed
50%
36¢ bid, 55¢ ask
polled, 38s ago
55¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $182 (1.82x)
Supriya Ganesh
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 55¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $182 (1.82x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Supriya Ganesh
- Last price
- 50%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 55¢
- Sell Yes
- 36¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $182 (1.82x)
- Volume
- $440
Show 23 more outcomesHide 23 outcomes
Isa Briones40%Not listed40%26¢ bid, 45¢ askpolled, 38s ago45¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $222 (2.22x)Isa Briones40%Kalshi 40%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 45¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Isa Briones
40%
Not listed
40%
26¢ bid, 45¢ ask
polled, 38s ago
45¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Isa Briones
40%
Kalshi 40%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 45¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Isa Briones
- Last price
- 40%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 45¢
- Sell Yes
- 26¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $222 (2.22x)
- Volume
- $600
Kate O'Flynn38%38%25¢ bid, 51¢ askpolled, 38s agoNot listed51¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $196 (1.96x)Kate O'Flynn38%Polymarket 38%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 51¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Kate O'Flynn
38%
38%
25¢ bid, 51¢ ask
polled, 38s ago
Not listed
51¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Kate O'Flynn
38%
Polymarket 38%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 51¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Kate O'Flynn
- Last price
- 38%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 51¢
- Sell Yes
- 25¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $196 (1.96x)
- Volume
- $201
Amanda Peet35.5%Not listed35.5%26¢ bid, 45¢ askpolled, 38s ago45¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $222 (2.22x)Amanda Peet35.5%Kalshi 35.5%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 45¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Amanda Peet
35.5%
Not listed
35.5%
26¢ bid, 45¢ ask
polled, 38s ago
45¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Amanda Peet
35.5%
Kalshi 35.5%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 45¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Amanda Peet
- Last price
- 35.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 45¢
- Sell Yes
- 26¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $222 (2.22x)
Ann Dowd35.5%Not listed35.5%26¢ bid, 45¢ askpolled, 38s ago45¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $222 (2.22x)Ann Dowd35.5%Kalshi 35.5%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 45¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Ann Dowd
35.5%
Not listed
35.5%
26¢ bid, 45¢ ask
polled, 38s ago
45¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Ann Dowd
35.5%
Kalshi 35.5%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 45¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ann Dowd
- Last price
- 35.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 45¢
- Sell Yes
- 26¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $222 (2.22x)
Cynthia Nixon35.5%Not listed35.5%26¢ bid, 45¢ askpolled, 38s ago45¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $222 (2.22x)Cynthia Nixon35.5%Kalshi 35.5%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 45¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Cynthia Nixon
35.5%
Not listed
35.5%
26¢ bid, 45¢ ask
polled, 38s ago
45¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Cynthia Nixon
35.5%
Kalshi 35.5%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 45¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Cynthia Nixon
- Last price
- 35.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 45¢
- Sell Yes
- 26¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $222 (2.22x)
Fiona Dourif35.5%Not listed35.5%26¢ bid, 45¢ askpolled, 38s ago45¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $222 (2.22x)Fiona Dourif35.5%Kalshi 35.5%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 45¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Fiona Dourif
35.5%
Not listed
35.5%
26¢ bid, 45¢ ask
polled, 38s ago
45¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Fiona Dourif
35.5%
Kalshi 35.5%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 45¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Fiona Dourif
- Last price
- 35.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 45¢
- Sell Yes
- 26¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $222 (2.22x)
Julianne Nicholson35.5%Not listed35.5%26¢ bid, 45¢ askpolled, 38s ago45¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $222 (2.22x)Julianne Nicholson35.5%Kalshi 35.5%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 45¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Julianne Nicholson
35.5%
Not listed
35.5%
26¢ bid, 45¢ ask
polled, 38s ago
45¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Julianne Nicholson
35.5%
Kalshi 35.5%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 45¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Julianne Nicholson
- Last price
- 35.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 45¢
- Sell Yes
- 26¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $222 (2.22x)
Marisa Abela35.5%Not listed35.5%26¢ bid, 45¢ askpolled, 38s ago45¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $222 (2.22x)Marisa Abela35.5%Kalshi 35.5%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 45¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Marisa Abela
35.5%
Not listed
35.5%
26¢ bid, 45¢ ask
polled, 38s ago
45¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Marisa Abela
35.5%
Kalshi 35.5%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 45¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Marisa Abela
- Last price
- 35.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 45¢
- Sell Yes
- 26¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $222 (2.22x)
Olivia Munn35.5%Not listed35.5%26¢ bid, 45¢ askpolled, 38s ago45¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $222 (2.22x)Olivia Munn35.5%Kalshi 35.5%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 45¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Olivia Munn
35.5%
Not listed
35.5%
26¢ bid, 45¢ ask
polled, 38s ago
45¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Olivia Munn
35.5%
Kalshi 35.5%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 45¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Olivia Munn
- Last price
- 35.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 45¢
- Sell Yes
- 26¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $222 (2.22x)
Sydney Sweeney35.5%Not listed35.5%26¢ bid, 45¢ askpolled, 38s ago45¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $222 (2.22x)Sydney Sweeney35.5%Kalshi 35.5%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 45¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Sydney Sweeney
35.5%
Not listed
35.5%
26¢ bid, 45¢ ask
polled, 38s ago
45¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Sydney Sweeney
35.5%
Kalshi 35.5%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 45¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Sydney Sweeney
- Last price
- 35.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 45¢
- Sell Yes
- 26¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $222 (2.22x)
Demi Moore35%Not listed35%21¢ bid, 39¢ askpolled, 38s ago39¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $256 (2.56x)Demi Moore35%Kalshi 35%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 39¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Demi Moore
35%
Not listed
35%
21¢ bid, 39¢ ask
polled, 38s ago
39¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Demi Moore
35%
Kalshi 35%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 39¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Demi Moore
- Last price
- 35%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 39¢
- Sell Yes
- 21¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $256 (2.56x)
- Volume
- $600
Olivia Colman31.5%31.5%24¢ bid, 39¢ askpolled, 38s agoNot listed39¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $256 (2.56x)Olivia Colman31.5%Polymarket 31.5%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 39¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Olivia Colman
31.5%
31.5%
24¢ bid, 39¢ ask
polled, 38s ago
Not listed
39¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Olivia Colman
31.5%
Polymarket 31.5%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 39¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Olivia Colman
- Last price
- 31.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 39¢
- Sell Yes
- 24¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $256 (2.56x)
- Volume
- $310
Mariana di Girolamo29.5%29.5%29¢ bid, 30¢ askpolled, 38s agoNot listed30¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $333 (3.33x)Mariana di Girolamo29.5%Polymarket 29.5%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 30¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Mariana di Girolamo
29.5%
29.5%
29¢ bid, 30¢ ask
polled, 38s ago
Not listed
30¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Mariana di Girolamo
29.5%
Polymarket 29.5%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 30¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Mariana di Girolamo
- Last price
- 29.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 30¢
- Sell Yes
- 29¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $333 (3.33x)
- Volume
- $1K
Sandra Hüller23%23%12¢ bid, 34¢ askpolled, 38s agoNot listed34¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $294 (2.94x)Sandra Hüller23%Polymarket 23%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 34¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Sandra Hüller
23%
23%
12¢ bid, 34¢ ask
polled, 38s ago
Not listed
34¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Sandra Hüller
23%
Polymarket 23%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 34¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Sandra Hüller
- Last price
- 23%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 34¢
- Sell Yes
- 12¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $294 (2.94x)
- Volume
- $468
Parker Posey21.5%21.5%20¢ bid, 23¢ askpolled, 38s agoNot listed23¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $435 (4.35x)Parker Posey21.5%Polymarket 21.5%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 23¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Parker Posey
21.5%
21.5%
20¢ bid, 23¢ ask
polled, 38s ago
Not listed
23¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Parker Posey
21.5%
Polymarket 21.5%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 23¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Parker Posey
- Last price
- 21.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 23¢
- Sell Yes
- 20¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $435 (4.35x)
- Volume
- $11K
Danielle Deadwyler19.2%19.2%1.3¢ bid, 37¢ askpolled, 38s agoNot listed37¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $270 (2.70x)Danielle Deadwyler19.2%Polymarket 19.2%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 37¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Danielle Deadwyler
19.2%
19.2%
1.3¢ bid, 37¢ ask
polled, 38s ago
Not listed
37¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Danielle Deadwyler
19.2%
Polymarket 19.2%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 37¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Danielle Deadwyler
- Last price
- 19.2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 37¢
- Sell Yes
- 1.3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $270 (2.70x)
Betty Gilpin19.1%19.1%1.7¢ bid, 36.4¢ askpolled, 38s agoNot listed36.4¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $275 (2.75x)Betty Gilpin19.1%Polymarket 19.1%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 36.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $275 (2.75x)
Betty Gilpin
19.1%
19.1%
1.7¢ bid, 36.4¢ ask
polled, 38s ago
Not listed
36.4¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $275 (2.75x)
Betty Gilpin
19.1%
Polymarket 19.1%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 36.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $275 (2.75x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Betty Gilpin
- Last price
- 19.1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 36.4¢
- Sell Yes
- 1.7¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $275 (2.75x)
- Volume
- $6
Merritt Wever12.5%12.5%12¢ bid, 13¢ askpolled, 38s agoNot listed13¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $769 (7.69x)Merritt Wever12.5%Polymarket 12.5%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 13¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Merritt Wever
12.5%
12.5%
12¢ bid, 13¢ ask
polled, 38s ago
Not listed
13¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Merritt Wever
12.5%
Polymarket 12.5%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 13¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Merritt Wever
- Last price
- 12.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 13¢
- Sell Yes
- 12¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $769 (7.69x)
- Volume
- $223
Gemma Chan9%9%8¢ bid, 10¢ askpolled, 38s agoNot listed10¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)Gemma Chan9%Polymarket 9%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Gemma Chan
9%
9%
8¢ bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 38s ago
Not listed
10¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Gemma Chan
9%
Polymarket 9%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Gemma Chan
- Last price
- 9%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- 8¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
- Volume
- $81
Zendaya9%9%8¢ bid, 10¢ askpolled, 38s agoNot listed10¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)Zendaya9%Polymarket 9%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Zendaya
9%
9%
8¢ bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 38s ago
Not listed
10¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Zendaya
9%
Polymarket 9%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Zendaya
- Last price
- 9%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- 8¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
- Volume
- $681
Isabella Rossellini6.3%6.3%5.1¢ bid, 7.4¢ askpolled, 38s agoNot listed7.4¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,351 (13.5x)Isabella Rossellini6.3%Polymarket 6.3%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 7.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,351 (13.5x)
Isabella Rossellini
6.3%
6.3%
5.1¢ bid, 7.4¢ ask
polled, 38s ago
Not listed
7.4¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,351 (13.5x)
Isabella Rossellini
6.3%
Polymarket 6.3%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 7.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,351 (13.5x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Isabella Rossellini
- Last price
- 6.3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 7.4¢
- Sell Yes
- 5.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,351 (13.5x)
- Volume
- $140
Margaret Qualley3.5%3.5%0.5¢ bid, 6.5¢ askpolled, 38s agoNot listed6.5¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,538 (15.4x)Margaret Qualley3.5%Polymarket 3.5%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 6.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,538 (15.4x)
Margaret Qualley
3.5%
3.5%
0.5¢ bid, 6.5¢ ask
polled, 38s ago
Not listed
6.5¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,538 (15.4x)
Margaret Qualley
3.5%
Polymarket 3.5%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 6.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,538 (15.4x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Margaret Qualley
- Last price
- 3.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6.5¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,538 (15.4x)
- Volume
- $97
Inde Navarrette1.1%1.1%1¢ bid, 1.2¢ askpolled, 38s agoNot listed1.2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $8,333 (83.3x)Inde Navarrette1.1%Polymarket 1.1%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 1.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $8,333 (83.3x)
Inde Navarrette
1.1%
1.1%
1¢ bid, 1.2¢ ask
polled, 38s ago
Not listed
1.2¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $8,333 (83.3x)
Inde Navarrette
1.1%
Polymarket 1.1%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 1.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $8,333 (83.3x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Inde Navarrette
- Last price
- 1.1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1.2¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $8,333 (83.3x)
- Volume
- $486
Who resolves this market
- Polymarket resolves via:
- UMA optimistic oracle
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Critics Choice Awards
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Anne Hathaway
- Katherine LaNasa
- Samantha Morton
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
Kalshi
Kalshi doesn’t list Anne Hathaway for this event.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (culture rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Critics Choice Award Nominations: Best Supporting Actress in a Drama Series". Anne Hathaway leads at 87.5%. Next is Katherine LaNasa at 85%. $42K has traded across 33 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 3, 2028.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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