The Prediction Markets

Critics Choice Awards: Best Score

Closes
Jan 3, 2028, in 15 months
Traded
$11K
Venues
Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

The Odyssey 44%

Next is La Bola Negra at 11.2%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

The Odyssey 44%La Bola Negra 11.2%Behemoth! 10.4%Dune: Part Three 9.6%Disclosure Day 5.6%11 others 19.2%

Odds by venue

Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
The Odyssey
44%
Kalshi 55%(44% fair)polled, 58s agoBest Yes 74¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Kalshi
Contract
The Odyssey
Last price
55%
Fair, margin removed
44%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
74¢
Sell Yes
14¢
$100 on Yes pays
$135 (1.35x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
La Bola Negra
11.2%
Kalshi 14%(11.2% fair)polled, 58s agoBest Yes 23¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Kalshi
Contract
La Bola Negra
Last price
14%
Fair, margin removed
11.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
23¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$435 (4.35x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Behemoth!
10.4%
Kalshi 13%(10.4% fair)polled, 58s agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
Behemoth!
Last price
13%
Fair, margin removed
10.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Volume
$151
Trade this on Kalshi
Dune: Part Three
9.6%
Kalshi 12%(9.6% fair)polled, 58s agoBest Yes 21¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Kalshi
Contract
Dune: Part Three
Last price
12%
Fair, margin removed
9.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
21¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$476 (4.76x)
Volume
$115
Trade this on Kalshi
Disclosure Day
5.6%
Kalshi 7%(5.6% fair)polled, 58s agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Kalshi
Contract
Disclosure Day
Last price
7%
Fair, margin removed
5.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
16¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$625 (6.25x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Project Hail Mary
5.6%
Kalshi 7%(5.6% fair)polled, 58s agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Kalshi
Contract
Project Hail Mary
Last price
7%
Fair, margin removed
5.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
16¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$625 (6.25x)
Volume
$115
Trade this on Kalshi
The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth
3.2%
Kalshi 4%(3.2% fair)polled, 58s agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
Contract
The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth
Last price
4%
Fair, margin removed
3.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Volume
$115
Trade this on Kalshi
Wild Horse Nine
2.4%
Kalshi 3%(2.4% fair)polled, 58s agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Wild Horse Nine
Last price
3%
Fair, margin removed
2.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Volume
$115
Trade this on Kalshi
The Debut
1.6%
Kalshi 2%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
The Debut
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$115
Trade this on Kalshi
Toy Story 5
1.6%
Kalshi 2%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
Contract
Toy Story 5
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Volume
$115
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 6 more outcomes
Digger
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
Contract
Digger
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$115
Trade this on Kalshi
Ink
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
Contract
Ink
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$115
Trade this on Kalshi
Ray Gunn
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
Contract
Ray Gunn
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$115
Trade this on Kalshi
The Social Reckoning
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
Contract
The Social Reckoning
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$115
Trade this on Kalshi
Tie
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tie
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$115
Trade this on Kalshi
Werwulf
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
Contract
Werwulf
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$115
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Critics Choice Awards

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • The Odyssey
  • La Bola Negra
  • Behemoth!

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

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Best ask
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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

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Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (culture rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Critics Choice Awards: Best Score". The Odyssey leads at 44%. Next is La Bola Negra at 11.2%. $11K has traded across 16 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 3, 2028.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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