The Prediction Markets

Critics Choice Awards: Best Supporting Actress

Closes
Jan 3, 2028, in 15 months
Traded
$101K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

Anne Hathaway 62%

Next is Amanda Seyfried at 51.1%. The venues differ most on Merritt Wever (Polymarket 13%, Kalshi 2%), a 11-point gap.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Anne HathawayArb
62%
Polymarket 52.5%polled, 29s agoPolymarket 88%polled, 29s agoKalshi 55%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 54¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $185 (1.85x)
Polymarket
Contract
Anne Hathaway
Last price
52.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
54¢
Sell Yes
51¢
$100 on Yes pays
$185 (1.85x)
Volume
$29K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Anne Hathaway
Last price
88%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
89¢
Sell Yes
87¢
$100 on Yes pays
$112 (1.12x)
Volume
$9K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Anne Hathaway
Last price
55%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
57¢
Sell Yes
47¢
$100 on Yes pays
$175 (1.75x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Kalshi at 57¢ and selling on Polymarket at 87¢ nets 3000 bps before fees.

Amanda Seyfried
51.1%
Polymarket 30.5%polled, 29s agoPolymarket 58%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 33.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $296 (2.96x)
Polymarket
Contract
Amanda Seyfried
Last price
30.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
33.8¢
Sell Yes
27.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$296 (2.96x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Amanda Seyfried
Last price
58%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
60¢
Sell Yes
56¢
$100 on Yes pays
$167 (1.67x)
Volume
$8K
Trade this on Polymarket
Penélope CruzArb
40.2%
Polymarket 10.5%polled, 29s agoPolymarket 75%polled, 29s agoKalshi 2%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Polymarket
Contract
Penélope Cruz
Last price
10.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Penélope Cruz
Last price
75%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
76¢
Sell Yes
74¢
$100 on Yes pays
$132 (1.32x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Penélope Cruz
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Kalshi at 9¢ and selling on Polymarket at 74¢ nets 6500 bps before fees.

Samantha MortonArb
29%
Polymarket 5%polled, 29s agoPolymarket 83%polled, 29s agoKalshi 14%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 9.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,053 (10.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Samantha Morton
Last price
5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
9.5¢
Sell Yes
0.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,053 (10.5x)
Volume
$271
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Samantha Morton
Last price
83%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
87¢
Sell Yes
79¢
$100 on Yes pays
$115 (1.15x)
Volume
$974
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Samantha Morton
Last price
14%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
17¢
Sell Yes
14¢
$100 on Yes pays
$588 (5.88x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Kalshi at 17¢ and selling on Polymarket at 79¢ nets 6200 bps before fees.

Tao Okamoto
17.2%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 29s agoPolymarket 62%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Tao Okamoto
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Tao Okamoto
Last price
62%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
64¢
Sell Yes
60¢
$100 on Yes pays
$156 (1.56x)
Volume
$654
Trade this on Polymarket
Parker Posey
16.6%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 29s agoPolymarket 22%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 0.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $14,286 (143x)
Polymarket
Contract
Parker Posey
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.7¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$14,286 (143x)
Volume
$465
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Parker Posey
Last price
22%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
24¢
Sell Yes
20¢
$100 on Yes pays
$417 (4.17x)
Volume
$11K
Trade this on Polymarket
Mariana di GirolamoArb
14.2%
Polymarket 1.7%polled, 29s agoPolymarket 29.5%polled, 29s agoKalshi 2%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Mariana di Girolamo
Last price
1.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.9¢
Sell Yes
0.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,448 (34.5x)
Volume
$493
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Mariana di Girolamo
Last price
29.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
30¢
Sell Yes
29¢
$100 on Yes pays
$333 (3.33x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Mariana Di Girolamo
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$855
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Kalshi at 2¢ and selling on Polymarket at 29¢ nets 2700 bps before fees.

Zendaya
13.3%
Polymarket 1.4%polled, 29s agoPolymarket 19.5%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 1.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,556 (55.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
Zendaya
Last price
1.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.8¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,556 (55.6x)
Volume
$384
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Zendaya
Last price
19.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
25¢
Sell Yes
14¢
$100 on Yes pays
$400 (4.00x)
Volume
$732
Trade this on Polymarket
Kate O'FlynnArb
11.1%
Polymarket 1.5%polled, 29s agoPolymarket 39%polled, 29s agoKalshi 2%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Kate O'Flynn
Last price
1.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.6¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,846 (38.5x)
Volume
$212
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Kate O'Flynn
Last price
39%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
53¢
Sell Yes
25¢
$100 on Yes pays
$189 (1.89x)
Volume
$201
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Kate O’Flynn
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$863
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Kalshi at 2¢ and selling on Polymarket at 25¢ nets 2300 bps before fees.

Olivia ColmanArb
10%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 29s agoPolymarket 35.5%polled, 29s agoKalshi 2%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Polymarket
Contract
Olivia Colman
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.9¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$11,111 (111x)
Volume
$136
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Olivia Colman
Last price
35.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
38¢
Sell Yes
33¢
$100 on Yes pays
$263 (2.63x)
Volume
$310
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Olivia Colman
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Kalshi at 2¢ and selling on Polymarket at 33¢ nets 3100 bps before fees.

Show 15 more outcomes
Sandra HüllerArb
7.5%
Polymarket 2.3%polled, 29s agoPolymarket 23.5%polled, 29s agoKalshi 2%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Sandra Hüller
Last price
2.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3.6¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,778 (27.8x)
Volume
$624
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Sandra Hüller
Last price
23.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
26¢
Sell Yes
21¢
$100 on Yes pays
$385 (3.85x)
Volume
$468
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Sandra Hüller
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$913
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Kalshi at 2¢ and selling on Polymarket at 21¢ nets 1900 bps before fees.

Danielle Deadwyler
6.1%
Polymarket 1%polled, 29s agoPolymarket 11.2%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 1.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,882 (58.8x)
Polymarket
Contract
Danielle Deadwyler
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.7¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,882 (58.8x)
Volume
$395
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Danielle Deadwyler
Last price
11.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
20.8¢
Sell Yes
1.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$481 (4.81x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Merritt WeverArb
4.8%
Polymarket 13%polled, 29s agoKalshi 2%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Merritt Wever
Last price
13%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
12¢
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Volume
$223
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Merritt Wever
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Kalshi at 2¢ and selling on Polymarket at 12¢ nets 1000 bps before fees.

Gemma ChanArb
2.9%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 29s agoPolymarket 9%polled, 29s agoKalshi 1%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Polymarket
Contract
Gemma Chan
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.9¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$11,111 (111x)
Volume
$304
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Gemma Chan
Last price
9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$81
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Gemma Chan
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$855
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Kalshi at 2¢ and selling on Polymarket at 8¢ nets 600 bps before fees.

Isabella Rossellini
2.4%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 29s agoPolymarket 5.6%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Isabella Rossellini
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$244
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Isabella Rossellini
Last price
5.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6.9¢
Sell Yes
4.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,449 (14.5x)
Volume
$140
Trade this on Polymarket
Betty Gilpin
1.9%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 29s agoPolymarket 6.5%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Polymarket
Contract
Betty Gilpin
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.5¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$20,000 (200x)
Volume
$415
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Betty Gilpin
Last price
6.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
11.6¢
Sell Yes
1.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$862 (8.62x)
Volume
$6
Trade this on Polymarket
Margaret Qualley
1.6%
Polymarket 1%polled, 29s agoPolymarket 3.5%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 1.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,882 (58.8x)
Polymarket
Contract
Margaret Qualley
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.7¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,882 (58.8x)
Volume
$427
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Margaret Qualley
Last price
3.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6.5¢
Sell Yes
0.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,538 (15.4x)
Volume
$97
Trade this on Polymarket
Alice Bailey Johnson
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Alice Bailey Johnson
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$855
Trade this on Kalshi
Colleen Camp
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Colleen Camp
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$855
Trade this on Kalshi
Elizabeth Debicki
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Elizabeth Debicki
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$855
Trade this on Kalshi
Scarlett Johansson
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Scarlett Johansson
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$855
Trade this on Kalshi
Sophie Okonedo
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Sophie Okonedo
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$855
Trade this on Kalshi
Tie
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tie
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$855
Trade this on Kalshi
Wunmi Mosaku
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Wunmi Mosaku
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$855
Trade this on Kalshi
Inde Navarrette
0.8%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 29s agoPolymarket 1.1%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Inde Navarrette
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$766
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Inde Navarrette
Last price
1.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$8,333 (83.3x)
Volume
$486
Trade this on Polymarket

Possible arbitrage before fees: buy Penélope Cruz on Kalshi at 9¢, sell on Polymarket at 74¢ (6500 bps). Check the rules below before trading. See all live spreads

Mostly the same bet: one difference

Where they differ

  • Trading closes at different times: Mar 14, 2027, 11:59 PM UTC on Polymarket and Jan 3, 2028, 3:00 PM UTC on Kalshi.
Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: oscars.org
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Critics Choice Awards
Show full rule comparison
  • Trading closes Mar 14, 2027, 11:59 PM UTC on Polymarket and Jan 3, 2028, 3:00 PM UTC on Kalshi.

Summarized from each venue’s published rules; the venue’s own rules page is the final word.

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Anne Hathaway
  • Amanda Seyfried
  • Penélope Cruz

Live prices for Anne Hathaway

What it costs to buy Yes, what you would get selling it, and the last trade on each exchange, updating as orders change. Hover a status for timing details.

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Combined depth · both venues

Loading both order books…

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

Loading snapshot…

Recent trades

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Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

Loading snapshot…

Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (culture rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Critics Choice Awards: Best Supporting Actress". Anne Hathaway leads at 62%. Next is Amanda Seyfried at 51.1%. $101K has traded across 25 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 3, 2028.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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