The Prediction Markets

Critics Choice Awards: Best Supporting Actress in a Comedy Series

Closes
Jan 3, 2028, in 15 months
Traded
$7K
Venues
Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

Kate O’Flynn 61.8%

Next is Hannah Einbinder at 3.9%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Kate O’Flynn 61.8%Hannah Einbinder 3.9%Janelle James 3.9%Michelle Pfeiffer 3.1%Dale Dickey 2.3%11 others 25%

Odds by venue

Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
Kate O’Flynn
61.8%
Kalshi 80%(61.8% fair)polled, 25s agoBest Yes 84¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $119 (1.19x)
Kalshi
Contract
Kate O’Flynn
Last price
80%
Fair, margin removed
61.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
84¢
Sell Yes
80¢
$100 on Yes pays
$119 (1.19x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Hannah Einbinder
3.9%
Kalshi 5%(3.9% fair)polled, 25s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Hannah Einbinder
Last price
5%
Fair, margin removed
3.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Janelle James
3.9%
Kalshi 5%(3.9% fair)polled, 25s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Janelle James
Last price
5%
Fair, margin removed
3.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$210
Trade this on Kalshi
Michelle Pfeiffer
3.1%
Kalshi 4%(3.1% fair)polled, 25s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Michelle Pfeiffer
Last price
4%
Fair, margin removed
3.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$2
Trade this on Kalshi
Dale Dickey
2.3%
Kalshi 3%(2.3% fair)polled, 25s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Dale Dickey
Last price
3%
Fair, margin removed
2.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Danielle Deadwyler
2.3%
Kalshi 3%(2.3% fair)polled, 25s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Danielle Deadwyler
Last price
3%
Fair, margin removed
2.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Hannah Waddingham
2.3%
Kalshi 3%(2.3% fair)polled, 25s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Hannah Waddingham
Last price
3%
Fair, margin removed
2.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Jessica Williams
2.3%
Kalshi 3%(2.3% fair)polled, 25s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jessica Williams
Last price
3%
Fair, margin removed
2.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Juno Temple
2.3%
Kalshi 3%(2.3% fair)polled, 25s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Juno Temple
Last price
3%
Fair, margin removed
2.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Justine Lupe
2.3%
Kalshi 3%(2.3% fair)polled, 25s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Justine Lupe
Last price
3%
Fair, margin removed
2.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 6 more outcomes
Kerri Kenney-Silver
2.3%
Kalshi 3%(2.3% fair)polled, 25s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Kerri Kenney-Silver
Last price
3%
Fair, margin removed
2.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Laurie Metcalf
2.3%
Kalshi 3%(2.3% fair)polled, 25s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Laurie Metcalf
Last price
3%
Fair, margin removed
2.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Liza Colón-Zayas
2.3%
Kalshi 3%(2.3% fair)polled, 25s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Liza Colón-Zayas
Last price
3%
Fair, margin removed
2.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Megan Stalter
2.3%
Kalshi 3%(2.3% fair)polled, 25s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Megan Stalter
Last price
3%
Fair, margin removed
2.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Sheryl Lee Ralph
2.3%
Kalshi 3%(2.3% fair)polled, 25s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Sheryl Lee Ralph
Last price
3%
Fair, margin removed
2.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Tie
2%
Kalshi 2.5%(1.9% fair)polled, 25s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tie
Last price
2.5%
Fair, margin removed
1.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Critics Choice Awards

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Kate O’Flynn
  • Hannah Einbinder
  • Janelle James

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

Loading snapshot…

Recent trades

Loading…

What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (culture rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Critics Choice Awards: Best Supporting Actress in a Comedy Series". Kate O’Flynn leads at 61.8%. Next is Hannah Einbinder at 3.9%. $7K has traded across 16 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 3, 2028.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

More culture markets

See all culture markets