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What the markets expect
GNK Dinamo Zagreb 49.6%
Next is NK Rudeš at 46%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Polymarket
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Polymarket
Best Yes price
GNK Dinamo Zagreb49.6%49.6%0.3¢ bid, 98.9¢ askpolled, 1 min ago98.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $101 (1.01x)GNK Dinamo Zagreb49.6%Polymarket 49.6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 98.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
GNK Dinamo Zagreb
49.6%
49.6%
0.3¢ bid, 98.9¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
98.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
GNK Dinamo Zagreb
49.6%
Polymarket 49.6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 98.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- GNK Dinamo Zagreb
- Last price
- 49.6%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 98.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
- Volume
- $393
NK Rudeš46%46%37¢ bid, 55¢ askpolled, 1 min ago55¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $182 (1.82x)NK Rudeš46%Polymarket 46%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 55¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $182 (1.82x)
NK Rudeš
46%
46%
37¢ bid, 55¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
55¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $182 (1.82x)
NK Rudeš
46%
Polymarket 46%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 55¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $182 (1.82x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- NK Rudeš
- Last price
- 46%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 55¢
- Sell Yes
- 37¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $182 (1.82x)
- Volume
- $2K
HNK Gorica27%27%11¢ bid, 43¢ askpolled, 1 min ago43¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $233 (2.33x)HNK Gorica27%Polymarket 27%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 43¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $233 (2.33x)
HNK Gorica
27%
27%
11¢ bid, 43¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
43¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $233 (2.33x)
HNK Gorica
27%
Polymarket 27%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 43¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $233 (2.33x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- HNK Gorica
- Last price
- 27%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 43¢
- Sell Yes
- 11¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $233 (2.33x)
- Volume
- $5K
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb25.8%25.8%1.1¢ bid, 50.4¢ askpolled, 1 min ago50.4¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $198 (1.98x)NK Lokomotiva Zagreb25.8%Polymarket 25.8%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 50.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $198 (1.98x)
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
25.8%
25.8%
1.1¢ bid, 50.4¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
50.4¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $198 (1.98x)
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
25.8%
Polymarket 25.8%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 50.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $198 (1.98x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
- Last price
- 25.8%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 50.4¢
- Sell Yes
- 1.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $198 (1.98x)
HNK GoricaPolymarket: “HNK Hajduk Split”23.1%23.1%1¢ bid, 45.1¢ askpolled, 1 min ago45.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $222 (2.22x)HNK Gorica23.1%Polymarket 23.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 45.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
HNK Gorica
Polymarket: “HNK Hajduk Split”
23.1%
23.1%
1¢ bid, 45.1¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
45.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $222 (2.22x)
HNK Gorica
23.1%
Polymarket 23.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 45.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- HNK Hajduk Split
- Last price
- 23.1%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 45.1¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $222 (2.22x)
- Volume
- $3
NK Osijek18%18%7¢ bid, 29¢ askpolled, 1 min ago29¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $345 (3.45x)NK Osijek18%Polymarket 18%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 29¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
NK Osijek
18%
18%
7¢ bid, 29¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
29¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $345 (3.45x)
NK Osijek
18%
Polymarket 18%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 29¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- NK Osijek
- Last price
- 18%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 29¢
- Sell Yes
- 7¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $345 (3.45x)
NK Slaven Belupo16.5%16.5%10¢ bid, 23¢ askpolled, 1 min ago23¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $435 (4.35x)NK Slaven Belupo16.5%Polymarket 16.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 23¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
NK Slaven Belupo
16.5%
16.5%
10¢ bid, 23¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
23¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $435 (4.35x)
NK Slaven Belupo
16.5%
Polymarket 16.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 23¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- NK Slaven Belupo
- Last price
- 16.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 23¢
- Sell Yes
- 10¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $435 (4.35x)
- Volume
- $2K
NK Istra 196113%13%2¢ bid, 24¢ askpolled, 1 min ago24¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $417 (4.17x)NK Istra 196113%Polymarket 13%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 24¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
NK Istra 1961
13%
13%
2¢ bid, 24¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
24¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $417 (4.17x)
NK Istra 1961
13%
Polymarket 13%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 24¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- NK Istra 1961
- Last price
- 13%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 24¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $417 (4.17x)
- Volume
- $62
HNK GoricaPolymarket: “HNK Rijeka”3.7%3.7%2.3¢ bid, 5¢ askpolled, 1 min ago5¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)HNK Gorica3.7%Polymarket 3.7%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
HNK Gorica
Polymarket: “HNK Rijeka”
3.7%
3.7%
2.3¢ bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
5¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
HNK Gorica
3.7%
Polymarket 3.7%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- HNK Rijeka
- Last price
- 3.7%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- 2.3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $1
NK Varaždin3.6%3.6%2.1¢ bid, 5¢ askpolled, 1 min ago5¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)NK Varaždin3.6%Polymarket 3.6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
NK Varaždin
3.6%
3.6%
2.1¢ bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
5¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
NK Varaždin
3.6%
Polymarket 3.6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- NK Varaždin
- Last price
- 3.6%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- 2.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
Who resolves this market
- Polymarket resolves via:
- UMA optimistic oracle
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- GNK Dinamo Zagreb
- NK Rudeš
- HNK Gorica
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Croatian HNL: Teams relegated (2026-27)". GNK Dinamo Zagreb leads at 49.6%. Next is NK Rudeš at 46%. $9K has traded across 10 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Jul 1, 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is relegated from Croatian HNL at the conclusion of the 2026-27 Croatian HNL season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Official relegation is defined as a team losing its place in Croatian HNL for the following season through their final standing in the 2026-27 Croatian HNL, via relegation playoff defeat, or by any other official league decision recognized by Croatian HNL. If the 2026-27 Croatian HNL season is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there are no teams confirmed for relegation within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Croatian HNL. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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