The Prediction Markets

Crude Oil (CL) above ___ end of June?

Closed
Jun 30, 2026
Traded
$148K
Venues
Polymarket
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This market has closed

Trading ended on Jun 30, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 126 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
50
99.1%
Polymarket 99.1%polled, 3040 h agoBest Yes 99.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
50
Last price
99.1%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
99.5¢
Sell Yes
98.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$9K
Trade this on Polymarket
52
98.8%
Polymarket 98.8%polled, 3040 h agoBest Yes 99.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
52
Last price
98.8%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
99.3¢
Sell Yes
98.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Polymarket
56
98.7%
Polymarket 98.7%polled, 3040 h agoBest Yes 99.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100 (1.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
56
Last price
98.7%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
99.7¢
Sell Yes
97.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$100 (1.00x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Polymarket
55
97.3%
Polymarket 97.3%polled, 3040 h agoBest Yes 99.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
55
Last price
97.3%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
99.4¢
Sell Yes
95.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
60
96.9%
Polymarket 96.9%polled, 3040 h agoBest Yes 98.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Polymarket
Contract
60
Last price
96.9%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
98.1¢
Sell Yes
95.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$27K
Trade this on Polymarket
63
95.3%
Polymarket 95.3%polled, 3040 h agoBest Yes 97.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Polymarket
Contract
63
Last price
95.3%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
97.4¢
Sell Yes
93.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Volume
$10K
Trade this on Polymarket
65
93.3%
Polymarket 93.3%polled, 3040 h agoBest Yes 96.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Polymarket
Contract
65
Last price
93.3%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
96.4¢
Sell Yes
90.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$104 (1.04x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
70
86.3%
Polymarket 86.3%polled, 3040 h agoBest Yes 93.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $107 (1.07x)
Polymarket
Contract
70
Last price
86.3%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
93.5¢
Sell Yes
79.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$107 (1.07x)
Volume
$21K
Trade this on Polymarket
75
65%
Polymarket 65%polled, 3040 h agoBest Yes 70¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $143 (1.43x)
Polymarket
Contract
75
Last price
65%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
70¢
Sell Yes
60¢
$100 on Yes pays
$143 (1.43x)
Volume
$19K
Trade this on Polymarket
80
32%
Polymarket 32%polled, 3040 h agoBest Yes 48¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Polymarket
Contract
80
Last price
32%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
48¢
Sell Yes
16¢
$100 on Yes pays
$208 (2.08x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Polymarket
85
15.5%
Polymarket 15.5%polled, 3040 h agoBest Yes 23¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Polymarket
Contract
85
Last price
15.5%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
23¢
Sell Yes
8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$435 (4.35x)
Volume
$9K
Trade this on Polymarket
90
7.6%
Polymarket 7.6%polled, 3040 h agoBest Yes 10.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $917 (9.17x)
Polymarket
Contract
90
Last price
7.6%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
10.9¢
Sell Yes
4.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$917 (9.17x)
Volume
$29K
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: cmegroup.com

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • 50
  • 52
  • 56

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
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Spread
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Best ask
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Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (other / general rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Final prediction market prices for "Crude Oil (CL) above ___ end of June?". 50 last traded at 99.1%. Next is 52 at 98.8%. $148K has traded across 12 outcomes on Polymarket. The market closed on Jun 30, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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