This market has closed
Trading ended on Mar 31, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 206 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Polymarket
48100%100%99.9¢ bid, — askpolled, 4954 h agoNo ask48100%Polymarket 100%polled, 4954 h ago
- Contract
- 48
- Last price
- 100%
- As of
- Polled 206 d ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 99.9¢
- Volume
- $2K
52100%100%99.9¢ bid, — askpolled, 4954 h agoNo ask52100%Polymarket 100%polled, 4954 h ago
- Contract
- 52
- Last price
- 100%
- As of
- Polled 206 d ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 99.9¢
- Volume
- $2K
56100%100%99.9¢ bid, — askpolled, 4954 h agoNo ask56100%Polymarket 100%polled, 4954 h ago
- Contract
- 56
- Last price
- 100%
- As of
- Polled 206 d ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 99.9¢
- Volume
- $5K
60100%100%99.9¢ bid, — askpolled, 4954 h agoNo ask60100%Polymarket 100%polled, 4954 h ago
- Contract
- 60
- Last price
- 100%
- As of
- Polled 206 d ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 99.9¢
- Volume
- $4K
64100%100%99.9¢ bid, — askpolled, 4954 h agoNo ask64100%Polymarket 100%polled, 4954 h ago
- Contract
- 64
- Last price
- 100%
- As of
- Polled 206 d ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 99.9¢
- Volume
- $4K
68100%100%99.9¢ bid, — askpolled, 4954 h agoNo ask68100%Polymarket 100%polled, 4954 h ago
- Contract
- 68
- Last price
- 100%
- As of
- Polled 206 d ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 99.9¢
- Volume
- $3K
72100%100%99.9¢ bid, — askpolled, 4954 h agoNo ask72100%Polymarket 100%polled, 4954 h ago
- Contract
- 72
- Last price
- 100%
- As of
- Polled 206 d ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 99.9¢
- Volume
- $3K
76100%100%99.9¢ bid, — askpolled, 4954 h agoNo ask76100%Polymarket 100%polled, 4954 h ago
- Contract
- 76
- Last price
- 100%
- As of
- Polled 206 d ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 99.9¢
- Volume
- $4K
80100%100%99.9¢ bid, — askpolled, 4954 h agoNo ask80100%Polymarket 100%polled, 4954 h ago
- Contract
- 80
- Last price
- 100%
- As of
- Polled 206 d ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 99.9¢
- Volume
- $3K
84100%100%99.9¢ bid, — askpolled, 4954 h agoNo ask84100%Polymarket 100%polled, 4954 h ago
- Contract
- 84
- Last price
- 100%
- As of
- Polled 206 d ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 99.9¢
- Volume
- $3K
Who resolves this market
- Polymarket resolves via:

- UMA optimistic oracle
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- 48
- 52
- 56
About this market
Final prediction market prices for "Crude Oil (CL) above ___ end of March?". 48 last traded at 100%. Next is 52 at 100%. $32K has traded across 10 outcomes on Polymarket. The market closed on Mar 31, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of March 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. Only days during March on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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