The Prediction Markets

CSD Independiente del Valle vs. CD Universidad Catolica del Ecuador

LiveKickoff In play now; prices move fast
Traded
$4K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
just now
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What the markets expect

CSD Independiente del Valle 46%

Next is CSD Independiente del Valle at 34%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

CSD Independiente del Valle 46%CSD Independiente del Valle 34%CD Universidad Catolica del Ecuador 20%

Odds by venue

Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
CSD Independiente del Valle
46%
Polymarket 46%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 47¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Polymarket
Contract
CSD Independiente del Valle
Last price
46%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
47¢
Sell Yes
45¢
$100 on Yes pays
$213 (2.13x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
CSD Independiente del Valle
34%
Polymarket 34%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 35¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Polymarket
Contract
Draw (CSD Independiente del Valle vs. CD Universidad Catolica del Ecuador)
Last price
34%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
35¢
Sell Yes
33¢
$100 on Yes pays
$286 (2.86x)
Volume
$143
Trade this on Polymarket
CD Universidad Catolica del Ecuador
20%
Polymarket 20%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 21¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Polymarket
Contract
CD Universidad Catolica del Ecuador
Last price
20%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
21¢
Sell Yes
19¢
$100 on Yes pays
$476 (4.76x)
Volume
$586
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: ligapro.ec

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • CSD Independiente del Valle
  • CSD Independiente del Valle
  • CD Universidad Catolica del Ecuador

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

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Cover all 3 outcomes across venues

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "CSD Independiente del Valle vs. CD Universidad Catolica del Ecuador". CSD Independiente del Valle leads at 46%. Next is CSD Independiente del Valle at 34%. $4K has traded across 3 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 23, 2026.

This event is for the upcoming LigaPro Primera A game, scheduled for Friday, October 23, 2026 between CSD Independiente del Valle and CD Universidad Catolica del Ecuador.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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