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What the markets expect
Indiana wins by over 1.5 points 59%
Next is Indiana wins by over 3.5 points at 53%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 2 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Indiana wins by over 1.5 points59%59%58¢ bid, 60¢ askpolled, 2 min ago60¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $167 (1.67x)Indiana wins by over 1.5 points59%Kalshi 59%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 60¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $167 (1.67x)
Indiana wins by over 1.5 points
59%
59%
58¢ bid, 60¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
60¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $167 (1.67x)
Indiana wins by over 1.5 points
59%
Kalshi 59%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 60¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $167 (1.67x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Indiana wins by over 1.5 points
- Last price
- 59%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 60¢
- Sell Yes
- 58¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $167 (1.67x)
Indiana wins by over 3.5 points53%53%52¢ bid, 53¢ askpolled, 2 min ago53¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $189 (1.89x)Indiana wins by over 3.5 points53%Kalshi 53%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 53¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $189 (1.89x)
Indiana wins by over 3.5 points
53%
53%
52¢ bid, 53¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
53¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $189 (1.89x)
Indiana wins by over 3.5 points
53%
Kalshi 53%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 53¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $189 (1.89x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Indiana wins by over 3.5 points
- Last price
- 53%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 53¢
- Sell Yes
- 52¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $189 (1.89x)
- Volume
- $3K
Indiana wins by over 5.5 points44%44%43¢ bid, 45¢ askpolled, 2 min ago45¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $222 (2.22x)Indiana wins by over 5.5 points44%Kalshi 44%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 45¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Indiana wins by over 5.5 points
44%
44%
43¢ bid, 45¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
45¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Indiana wins by over 5.5 points
44%
Kalshi 44%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 45¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Indiana wins by over 5.5 points
- Last price
- 44%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 45¢
- Sell Yes
- 43¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $222 (2.22x)
Indiana wins by over 7.5 points36.5%36.5%34¢ bid, 39¢ askpolled, 2 min ago39¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $256 (2.56x)Indiana wins by over 7.5 points36.5%Kalshi 36.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 39¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Indiana wins by over 7.5 points
36.5%
36.5%
34¢ bid, 39¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
39¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Indiana wins by over 7.5 points
36.5%
Kalshi 36.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 39¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Indiana wins by over 7.5 points
- Last price
- 36.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 39¢
- Sell Yes
- 34¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $256 (2.56x)
Indiana wins by over 9.5 points30.5%30.5%28¢ bid, 33¢ askpolled, 2 min ago33¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $303 (3.03x)Indiana wins by over 9.5 points30.5%Kalshi 30.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 33¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $303 (3.03x)
Indiana wins by over 9.5 points
30.5%
30.5%
28¢ bid, 33¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
33¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $303 (3.03x)
Indiana wins by over 9.5 points
30.5%
Kalshi 30.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 33¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $303 (3.03x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Indiana wins by over 9.5 points
- Last price
- 30.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 33¢
- Sell Yes
- 28¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $303 (3.03x)
Dallas wins by over 1.5 points29.5%29.5%28¢ bid, 31¢ askpolled, 2 min ago31¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $323 (3.23x)Dallas wins by over 1.5 points29.5%Kalshi 29.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 31¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Dallas wins by over 1.5 points
29.5%
29.5%
28¢ bid, 31¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
31¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Dallas wins by over 1.5 points
29.5%
Kalshi 29.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 31¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Dallas wins by over 1.5 points
- Last price
- 29.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 31¢
- Sell Yes
- 28¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $323 (3.23x)
Dallas wins by over 2.5 points27%27%25¢ bid, 29¢ askpolled, 2 min ago29¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $345 (3.45x)Dallas wins by over 2.5 points27%Kalshi 27%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 29¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Dallas wins by over 2.5 points
27%
27%
25¢ bid, 29¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
29¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Dallas wins by over 2.5 points
27%
Kalshi 27%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 29¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Dallas wins by over 2.5 points
- Last price
- 27%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 29¢
- Sell Yes
- 25¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $345 (3.45x)
Indiana wins by over 11.5 points23%23%20¢ bid, 26¢ askpolled, 2 min ago26¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $385 (3.85x)Indiana wins by over 11.5 points23%Kalshi 23%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 26¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $385 (3.85x)
Indiana wins by over 11.5 points
23%
23%
20¢ bid, 26¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
26¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $385 (3.85x)
Indiana wins by over 11.5 points
23%
Kalshi 23%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 26¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $385 (3.85x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Indiana wins by over 11.5 points
- Last price
- 23%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 26¢
- Sell Yes
- 20¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $385 (3.85x)
Dallas wins by over 4.5 points21.5%21.5%20¢ bid, 23¢ askpolled, 2 min ago23¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $435 (4.35x)Dallas wins by over 4.5 points21.5%Kalshi 21.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 23¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Dallas wins by over 4.5 points
21.5%
21.5%
20¢ bid, 23¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
23¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Dallas wins by over 4.5 points
21.5%
Kalshi 21.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 23¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Dallas wins by over 4.5 points
- Last price
- 21.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 23¢
- Sell Yes
- 20¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $435 (4.35x)
Indiana wins by over 13.5 points18%18%16¢ bid, 20¢ askpolled, 2 min ago20¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $500 (5.00x)Indiana wins by over 13.5 points18%Kalshi 18%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 20¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Indiana wins by over 13.5 points
18%
18%
16¢ bid, 20¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
20¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Indiana wins by over 13.5 points
18%
Kalshi 18%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 20¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Indiana wins by over 13.5 points
- Last price
- 18%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 20¢
- Sell Yes
- 16¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $500 (5.00x)
Show 9 more outcomesHide 9 outcomes
Dallas wins by over 6.5 points14.5%14.5%11¢ bid, 18¢ askpolled, 2 min ago18¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $556 (5.56x)Dallas wins by over 6.5 points14.5%Kalshi 14.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Dallas wins by over 6.5 points
14.5%
14.5%
11¢ bid, 18¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
18¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Dallas wins by over 6.5 points
14.5%
Kalshi 14.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Dallas wins by over 6.5 points
- Last price
- 14.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 18¢
- Sell Yes
- 11¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $556 (5.56x)
Indiana wins by over 15.5 points12%12%9¢ bid, 15¢ askpolled, 2 min ago15¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $667 (6.67x)Indiana wins by over 15.5 points12%Kalshi 12%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Indiana wins by over 15.5 points
12%
12%
9¢ bid, 15¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
15¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Indiana wins by over 15.5 points
12%
Kalshi 12%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Indiana wins by over 15.5 points
- Last price
- 12%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 15¢
- Sell Yes
- 9¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $667 (6.67x)
Dallas wins by over 8.5 points11.5%11.5%9¢ bid, 14¢ askpolled, 2 min ago14¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $714 (7.14x)Dallas wins by over 8.5 points11.5%Kalshi 11.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Dallas wins by over 8.5 points
11.5%
11.5%
9¢ bid, 14¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
14¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Dallas wins by over 8.5 points
11.5%
Kalshi 11.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Dallas wins by over 8.5 points
- Last price
- 11.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 14¢
- Sell Yes
- 9¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $714 (7.14x)
Indiana wins by over 17.5 points8.5%8.5%6¢ bid, 11¢ askpolled, 2 min ago11¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $909 (9.09x)Indiana wins by over 17.5 points8.5%Kalshi 8.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Indiana wins by over 17.5 points
8.5%
8.5%
6¢ bid, 11¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
11¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Indiana wins by over 17.5 points
8.5%
Kalshi 8.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Indiana wins by over 17.5 points
- Last price
- 8.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 11¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $909 (9.09x)
Dallas wins by over 10.5 points8%8%5¢ bid, 11¢ askpolled, 2 min ago11¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $909 (9.09x)Dallas wins by over 10.5 points8%Kalshi 8%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Dallas wins by over 10.5 points
8%
8%
5¢ bid, 11¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
11¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Dallas wins by over 10.5 points
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Dallas wins by over 10.5 points
- Last price
- 8%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 11¢
- Sell Yes
- 5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $909 (9.09x)
Indiana wins by over 19.5 points7%7%5¢ bid, 9¢ askpolled, 2 min ago9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)Indiana wins by over 19.5 points7%Kalshi 7%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Indiana wins by over 19.5 points
7%
7%
5¢ bid, 9¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Indiana wins by over 19.5 points
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Indiana wins by over 19.5 points
- Last price
- 7%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- 5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
Dallas wins by over 12.5 points6%6%4¢ bid, 8¢ askpolled, 2 min ago8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)Dallas wins by over 12.5 points6%Kalshi 6%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Dallas wins by over 12.5 points
6%
6%
4¢ bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Dallas wins by over 12.5 points
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Dallas wins by over 12.5 points
- Last price
- 6%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
Indiana wins by over 21.5 points5%5%3¢ bid, 7¢ askpolled, 2 min ago7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)Indiana wins by over 21.5 points5%Kalshi 5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Indiana wins by over 21.5 points
5%
5%
3¢ bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Indiana wins by over 21.5 points
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Indiana wins by over 21.5 points
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
Dallas wins by over 14.5 points4%4%2¢ bid, 6¢ askpolled, 2 min ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)Dallas wins by over 14.5 points4%Kalshi 4%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Dallas wins by over 14.5 points
4%
4%
2¢ bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Dallas wins by over 14.5 points
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Dallas wins by over 14.5 points
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: the Governing League, ESPN
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Indiana wins by over 1.5 points
- Indiana wins by over 3.5 points
- Indiana wins by over 5.5 points
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Dallas vs Indiana: 1st Half Spread". Indiana wins by over 1.5 points leads at 59%. Next is Indiana wins by over 3.5 points at 53%. $3K has traded across 19 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 25, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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