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What the markets expect
Aaron Nesmith: 2+ 49.5%
Next is Aaron Nesmith: 4+ at 49.5%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Aaron Nesmith: 2+49.5%49.5%— bid, 99¢ askpolled, 37s ago99¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $101 (1.01x)Aaron Nesmith: 2+49.5%Kalshi 49.5%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Aaron Nesmith: 2+
49.5%
49.5%
— bid, 99¢ ask
polled, 37s ago
99¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Aaron Nesmith: 2+
49.5%
Kalshi 49.5%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Aaron Nesmith: 2+
- Last price
- 49.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
Aaron Nesmith: 4+49.5%49.5%— bid, 99¢ askpolled, 37s ago99¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $101 (1.01x)Aaron Nesmith: 4+49.5%Kalshi 49.5%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Aaron Nesmith: 4+
49.5%
49.5%
— bid, 99¢ ask
polled, 37s ago
99¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Aaron Nesmith: 4+
49.5%
Kalshi 49.5%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Aaron Nesmith: 4+
- Last price
- 49.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
Aaron Nesmith: 6+49.5%49.5%— bid, 99¢ askpolled, 37s ago99¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $101 (1.01x)Aaron Nesmith: 6+49.5%Kalshi 49.5%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Aaron Nesmith: 6+
49.5%
49.5%
— bid, 99¢ ask
polled, 37s ago
99¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Aaron Nesmith: 6+
49.5%
Kalshi 49.5%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Aaron Nesmith: 6+
- Last price
- 49.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
Andrew Nembhard: 6+49.5%49.5%— bid, 99¢ askpolled, 37s ago99¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $101 (1.01x)Andrew Nembhard: 6+49.5%Kalshi 49.5%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Andrew Nembhard: 6+
49.5%
49.5%
— bid, 99¢ ask
polled, 37s ago
99¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Andrew Nembhard: 6+
49.5%
Kalshi 49.5%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Andrew Nembhard: 6+
- Last price
- 49.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
Andrew Nembhard: 10+49.5%49.5%— bid, 99¢ askpolled, 37s ago99¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $101 (1.01x)Andrew Nembhard: 10+49.5%Kalshi 49.5%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Andrew Nembhard: 10+
49.5%
49.5%
— bid, 99¢ ask
polled, 37s ago
99¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Andrew Nembhard: 10+
49.5%
Kalshi 49.5%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Andrew Nembhard: 10+
- Last price
- 49.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
Andrew Nembhard: 12+49.5%49.5%— bid, 99¢ askpolled, 37s ago99¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $101 (1.01x)Andrew Nembhard: 12+49.5%Kalshi 49.5%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Andrew Nembhard: 12+
49.5%
49.5%
— bid, 99¢ ask
polled, 37s ago
99¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Andrew Nembhard: 12+
49.5%
Kalshi 49.5%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Andrew Nembhard: 12+
- Last price
- 49.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
Cooper Flagg: 8+49.5%49.5%— bid, 99¢ askpolled, 37s ago99¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $101 (1.01x)Cooper Flagg: 8+49.5%Kalshi 49.5%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Cooper Flagg: 8+
49.5%
49.5%
— bid, 99¢ ask
polled, 37s ago
99¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Cooper Flagg: 8+
49.5%
Kalshi 49.5%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Cooper Flagg: 8+
- Last price
- 49.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
Daniel Gafford: 6+49.5%49.5%— bid, 99¢ askpolled, 37s ago99¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $101 (1.01x)Daniel Gafford: 6+49.5%Kalshi 49.5%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Daniel Gafford: 6+
49.5%
49.5%
— bid, 99¢ ask
polled, 37s ago
99¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Daniel Gafford: 6+
49.5%
Kalshi 49.5%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Daniel Gafford: 6+
- Last price
- 49.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
Ivica Zubac: 4+49.5%49.5%— bid, 99¢ askpolled, 37s ago99¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $101 (1.01x)Ivica Zubac: 4+49.5%Kalshi 49.5%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Ivica Zubac: 4+
49.5%
49.5%
— bid, 99¢ ask
polled, 37s ago
99¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Ivica Zubac: 4+
49.5%
Kalshi 49.5%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ivica Zubac: 4+
- Last price
- 49.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
Ivica Zubac: 6+49.5%49.5%— bid, 99¢ askpolled, 37s ago99¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $101 (1.01x)Ivica Zubac: 6+49.5%Kalshi 49.5%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Ivica Zubac: 6+
49.5%
49.5%
— bid, 99¢ ask
polled, 37s ago
99¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Ivica Zubac: 6+
49.5%
Kalshi 49.5%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ivica Zubac: 6+
- Last price
- 49.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
Show 21 more outcomesHide 21 outcomes
Jarace Walker: 2+49.5%49.5%— bid, 99¢ askpolled, 37s ago99¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $101 (1.01x)Jarace Walker: 2+49.5%Kalshi 49.5%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Jarace Walker: 2+
49.5%
49.5%
— bid, 99¢ ask
polled, 37s ago
99¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Jarace Walker: 2+
49.5%
Kalshi 49.5%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jarace Walker: 2+
- Last price
- 49.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
Jarace Walker: 4+49.5%49.5%— bid, 99¢ askpolled, 37s ago99¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $101 (1.01x)Jarace Walker: 4+49.5%Kalshi 49.5%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Jarace Walker: 4+
49.5%
49.5%
— bid, 99¢ ask
polled, 37s ago
99¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Jarace Walker: 4+
49.5%
Kalshi 49.5%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jarace Walker: 4+
- Last price
- 49.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
Jarace Walker: 6+49.5%49.5%— bid, 99¢ askpolled, 37s ago99¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $101 (1.01x)Jarace Walker: 6+49.5%Kalshi 49.5%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Jarace Walker: 6+
49.5%
49.5%
— bid, 99¢ ask
polled, 37s ago
99¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Jarace Walker: 6+
49.5%
Kalshi 49.5%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jarace Walker: 6+
- Last price
- 49.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
Kelly Oubre Jr.: 4+49.5%49.5%— bid, 99¢ askpolled, 37s ago99¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $101 (1.01x)Kelly Oubre Jr.: 4+49.5%Kalshi 49.5%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kelly Oubre Jr.: 4+
49.5%
49.5%
— bid, 99¢ ask
polled, 37s ago
99¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kelly Oubre Jr.: 4+
49.5%
Kalshi 49.5%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Kelly Oubre Jr.: 4+
- Last price
- 49.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
Kelly Oubre Jr.: 6+49.5%49.5%— bid, 99¢ askpolled, 37s ago99¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $101 (1.01x)Kelly Oubre Jr.: 6+49.5%Kalshi 49.5%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kelly Oubre Jr.: 6+
49.5%
49.5%
— bid, 99¢ ask
polled, 37s ago
99¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kelly Oubre Jr.: 6+
49.5%
Kalshi 49.5%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Kelly Oubre Jr.: 6+
- Last price
- 49.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
Kyrie Irving: 8+49.5%49.5%— bid, 99¢ askpolled, 37s ago99¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $101 (1.01x)Kyrie Irving: 8+49.5%Kalshi 49.5%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kyrie Irving: 8+
49.5%
49.5%
— bid, 99¢ ask
polled, 37s ago
99¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kyrie Irving: 8+
49.5%
Kalshi 49.5%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Kyrie Irving: 8+
- Last price
- 49.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
Max Christie: 6+49.5%49.5%— bid, 99¢ askpolled, 37s ago99¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $101 (1.01x)Max Christie: 6+49.5%Kalshi 49.5%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Max Christie: 6+
49.5%
49.5%
— bid, 99¢ ask
polled, 37s ago
99¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Max Christie: 6+
49.5%
Kalshi 49.5%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Max Christie: 6+
- Last price
- 49.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
Naji Marshall: 8+49.5%49.5%— bid, 99¢ askpolled, 37s ago99¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $101 (1.01x)Naji Marshall: 8+49.5%Kalshi 49.5%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Naji Marshall: 8+
49.5%
49.5%
— bid, 99¢ ask
polled, 37s ago
99¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Naji Marshall: 8+
49.5%
Kalshi 49.5%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Naji Marshall: 8+
- Last price
- 49.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
P.J. Washington: 2+49.5%49.5%— bid, 99¢ askpolled, 37s ago99¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $101 (1.01x)P.J. Washington: 2+49.5%Kalshi 49.5%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
P.J. Washington: 2+
49.5%
49.5%
— bid, 99¢ ask
polled, 37s ago
99¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
P.J. Washington: 2+
49.5%
Kalshi 49.5%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- P.J. Washington: 2+
- Last price
- 49.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
P.J. Washington: 4+49.5%49.5%— bid, 99¢ askpolled, 37s ago99¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $101 (1.01x)P.J. Washington: 4+49.5%Kalshi 49.5%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
P.J. Washington: 4+
49.5%
49.5%
— bid, 99¢ ask
polled, 37s ago
99¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
P.J. Washington: 4+
49.5%
Kalshi 49.5%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- P.J. Washington: 4+
- Last price
- 49.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
P.J. Washington: 6+49.5%49.5%— bid, 99¢ askpolled, 37s ago99¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $101 (1.01x)P.J. Washington: 6+49.5%Kalshi 49.5%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
P.J. Washington: 6+
49.5%
49.5%
— bid, 99¢ ask
polled, 37s ago
99¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
P.J. Washington: 6+
49.5%
Kalshi 49.5%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- P.J. Washington: 6+
- Last price
- 49.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
Pascal Siakam: 4+49.5%49.5%— bid, 99¢ askpolled, 37s ago99¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $101 (1.01x)Pascal Siakam: 4+49.5%Kalshi 49.5%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Pascal Siakam: 4+
49.5%
49.5%
— bid, 99¢ ask
polled, 37s ago
99¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Pascal Siakam: 4+
49.5%
Kalshi 49.5%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Pascal Siakam: 4+
- Last price
- 49.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
Pascal Siakam: 6+49.5%49.5%— bid, 99¢ askpolled, 37s ago99¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $101 (1.01x)Pascal Siakam: 6+49.5%Kalshi 49.5%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Pascal Siakam: 6+
49.5%
49.5%
— bid, 99¢ ask
polled, 37s ago
99¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Pascal Siakam: 6+
49.5%
Kalshi 49.5%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Pascal Siakam: 6+
- Last price
- 49.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
Pascal Siakam: 8+49.5%49.5%— bid, 99¢ askpolled, 37s ago99¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $101 (1.01x)Pascal Siakam: 8+49.5%Kalshi 49.5%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Pascal Siakam: 8+
49.5%
49.5%
— bid, 99¢ ask
polled, 37s ago
99¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Pascal Siakam: 8+
49.5%
Kalshi 49.5%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Pascal Siakam: 8+
- Last price
- 49.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
Tyrese Haliburton: 8+49.5%49.5%— bid, 99¢ askpolled, 37s ago99¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $101 (1.01x)Tyrese Haliburton: 8+49.5%Kalshi 49.5%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Tyrese Haliburton: 8+
49.5%
49.5%
— bid, 99¢ ask
polled, 37s ago
99¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Tyrese Haliburton: 8+
49.5%
Kalshi 49.5%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Tyrese Haliburton: 8+
- Last price
- 49.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
Andrew Nembhard: 8+44%44%— bid, 99¢ askpolled, 37s ago99¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $101 (1.01x)Andrew Nembhard: 8+44%Kalshi 44%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Andrew Nembhard: 8+
44%
44%
— bid, 99¢ ask
polled, 37s ago
99¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Andrew Nembhard: 8+
44%
Kalshi 44%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Andrew Nembhard: 8+
- Last price
- 44%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
- Volume
- $81
Kyrie Irving: 6+31%31%— bid, 99¢ askpolled, 37s ago99¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $101 (1.01x)Kyrie Irving: 6+31%Kalshi 31%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kyrie Irving: 6+
31%
31%
— bid, 99¢ ask
polled, 37s ago
99¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kyrie Irving: 6+
31%
Kalshi 31%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Kyrie Irving: 6+
- Last price
- 31%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
- Volume
- $77
Kyrie Irving: 4+8%8%— bid, 89¢ askpolled, 37s ago89¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $112 (1.12x)Kyrie Irving: 4+8%Kalshi 8%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 89¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Kyrie Irving: 4+
8%
8%
— bid, 89¢ ask
polled, 37s ago
89¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Kyrie Irving: 4+
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 89¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Kyrie Irving: 4+
- Last price
- 8%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 89¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $112 (1.12x)
- Volume
- $111
Tyrese Haliburton: 12+4%4%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 37s ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Tyrese Haliburton: 12+4%Kalshi 4%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Tyrese Haliburton: 12+
4%
4%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 37s ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Tyrese Haliburton: 12+
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Tyrese Haliburton: 12+
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $158
Tyrese Haliburton: 14+2%2%— bid, 88¢ askpolled, 37s ago88¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $114 (1.14x)Tyrese Haliburton: 14+2%Kalshi 2%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 88¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Tyrese Haliburton: 14+
2%
2%
— bid, 88¢ ask
polled, 37s ago
88¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Tyrese Haliburton: 14+
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 88¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Tyrese Haliburton: 14+
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 88¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $114 (1.14x)
- Volume
- $69
Tyrese Haliburton: 10+1%1%— bid, 80¢ askpolled, 37s ago80¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $125 (1.25x)Tyrese Haliburton: 10+1%Kalshi 1%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 80¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Tyrese Haliburton: 10+
1%
1%
— bid, 80¢ ask
polled, 37s ago
80¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Tyrese Haliburton: 10+
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 80¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Tyrese Haliburton: 10+
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 80¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $125 (1.25x)
- Volume
- $668
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ESPN, the Governing League
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Aaron Nesmith: 2+
- Aaron Nesmith: 4+
- Aaron Nesmith: 6+
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Dallas vs Indiana: Assists". Aaron Nesmith: 2+ leads at 49.5%. Next is Aaron Nesmith: 4+ at 49.5%. $1K has traded across 31 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 25, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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