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What the markets expect
Andrew Nembhard: 1+ 99%
Next is Cooper Flagg: 2+ at 99%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Andrew Nembhard: 1+99%99%67¢ bid, 99¢ askpolled, just now99¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $101 (1.01x)Andrew Nembhard: 1+99%Kalshi 99%polled, just nowBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Andrew Nembhard: 1+
99%
99%
67¢ bid, 99¢ ask
polled, just now
99¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Andrew Nembhard: 1+
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, just nowBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Andrew Nembhard: 1+
- Last price
- 99%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- 67¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
- Volume
- $116
Cooper Flagg: 2+99%99%99¢ bid, — askpolled, just nowNo askCooper Flagg: 2+99%Kalshi 99%polled, just now
Cooper Flagg: 2+
99%
99%
99¢ bid, — ask
polled, just now
No ask
Cooper Flagg: 2+
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, just now
Kalshi
- Contract
- Cooper Flagg: 2+
- Last price
- 99%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 99¢
- Volume
- $138
Cooper Flagg: 3+99%99%60¢ bid, — askpolled, just nowNo askCooper Flagg: 3+99%Kalshi 99%polled, just now
Cooper Flagg: 3+
99%
99%
60¢ bid, — ask
polled, just now
No ask
Cooper Flagg: 3+
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, just now
Kalshi
- Contract
- Cooper Flagg: 3+
- Last price
- 99%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 60¢
Kelly Oubre Jr.: 1+99%99%27¢ bid, 99¢ askpolled, just now99¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $101 (1.01x)Kelly Oubre Jr.: 1+99%Kalshi 99%polled, just nowBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kelly Oubre Jr.: 1+
99%
99%
27¢ bid, 99¢ ask
polled, just now
99¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kelly Oubre Jr.: 1+
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, just nowBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Kelly Oubre Jr.: 1+
- Last price
- 99%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- 27¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
Kyrie Irving: 1+99%99%60¢ bid, 99¢ askpolled, just now99¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $101 (1.01x)Kyrie Irving: 1+99%Kalshi 99%polled, just nowBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kyrie Irving: 1+
99%
99%
60¢ bid, 99¢ ask
polled, just now
99¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kyrie Irving: 1+
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, just nowBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Kyrie Irving: 1+
- Last price
- 99%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- 60¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
- Volume
- $1
Max Christie: 1+96%96%27¢ bid, 97¢ askpolled, just now97¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $103 (1.03x)Max Christie: 1+96%Kalshi 96%polled, just nowBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Max Christie: 1+
96%
96%
27¢ bid, 97¢ ask
polled, just now
97¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Max Christie: 1+
96%
Kalshi 96%polled, just nowBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Max Christie: 1+
- Last price
- 96%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 97¢
- Sell Yes
- 27¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $103 (1.03x)
- Volume
- $13
Andrew Nembhard: 2+56%56%26¢ bid, 86¢ askpolled, just now86¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $116 (1.16x)Andrew Nembhard: 2+56%Kalshi 56%polled, just nowBest Yes 86¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $116 (1.16x)
Andrew Nembhard: 2+
56%
56%
26¢ bid, 86¢ ask
polled, just now
86¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $116 (1.16x)
Andrew Nembhard: 2+
56%
Kalshi 56%polled, just nowBest Yes 86¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $116 (1.16x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Andrew Nembhard: 2+
- Last price
- 56%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 86¢
- Sell Yes
- 26¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $116 (1.16x)
Tyrese Haliburton: 2+56%56%26¢ bid, 86¢ askpolled, just now86¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $116 (1.16x)Tyrese Haliburton: 2+56%Kalshi 56%polled, just nowBest Yes 86¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $116 (1.16x)
Tyrese Haliburton: 2+
56%
56%
26¢ bid, 86¢ ask
polled, just now
86¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $116 (1.16x)
Tyrese Haliburton: 2+
56%
Kalshi 56%polled, just nowBest Yes 86¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $116 (1.16x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Tyrese Haliburton: 2+
- Last price
- 56%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 86¢
- Sell Yes
- 26¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $116 (1.16x)
Ivica Zubac: 1+50%50%26¢ bid, 74¢ askpolled, just now74¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $135 (1.35x)Ivica Zubac: 1+50%Kalshi 50%polled, just nowBest Yes 74¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Ivica Zubac: 1+
50%
50%
26¢ bid, 74¢ ask
polled, just now
74¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Ivica Zubac: 1+
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, just nowBest Yes 74¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ivica Zubac: 1+
- Last price
- 50%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 74¢
- Sell Yes
- 26¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $135 (1.35x)
P.J. Washington: 1+50%50%26¢ bid, 74¢ askpolled, just now74¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $135 (1.35x)P.J. Washington: 1+50%Kalshi 50%polled, just nowBest Yes 74¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
P.J. Washington: 1+
50%
50%
26¢ bid, 74¢ ask
polled, just now
74¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $135 (1.35x)
P.J. Washington: 1+
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, just nowBest Yes 74¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- P.J. Washington: 1+
- Last price
- 50%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 74¢
- Sell Yes
- 26¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $135 (1.35x)
Show 12 more outcomesHide 12 outcomes
Pascal Siakam: 1+50%50%26¢ bid, 74¢ askpolled, just now74¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $135 (1.35x)Pascal Siakam: 1+50%Kalshi 50%polled, just nowBest Yes 74¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Pascal Siakam: 1+
50%
50%
26¢ bid, 74¢ ask
polled, just now
74¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Pascal Siakam: 1+
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, just nowBest Yes 74¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Pascal Siakam: 1+
- Last price
- 50%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 74¢
- Sell Yes
- 26¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $135 (1.35x)
Kelly Oubre Jr.: 2+48.5%48.5%13¢ bid, 84¢ askpolled, just now84¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $119 (1.19x)Kelly Oubre Jr.: 2+48.5%Kalshi 48.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 84¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $119 (1.19x)
Kelly Oubre Jr.: 2+
48.5%
48.5%
13¢ bid, 84¢ ask
polled, just now
84¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $119 (1.19x)
Kelly Oubre Jr.: 2+
48.5%
Kalshi 48.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 84¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $119 (1.19x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Kelly Oubre Jr.: 2+
- Last price
- 48.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 84¢
- Sell Yes
- 13¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $119 (1.19x)
Kyrie Irving: 2+48.5%48.5%13¢ bid, 84¢ askpolled, just now84¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $119 (1.19x)Kyrie Irving: 2+48.5%Kalshi 48.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 84¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $119 (1.19x)
Kyrie Irving: 2+
48.5%
48.5%
13¢ bid, 84¢ ask
polled, just now
84¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $119 (1.19x)
Kyrie Irving: 2+
48.5%
Kalshi 48.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 84¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $119 (1.19x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Kyrie Irving: 2+
- Last price
- 48.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 84¢
- Sell Yes
- 13¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $119 (1.19x)
Max Christie: 2+46%46%11¢ bid, 81¢ askpolled, just now81¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $123 (1.23x)Max Christie: 2+46%Kalshi 46%polled, just nowBest Yes 81¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $123 (1.23x)
Max Christie: 2+
46%
46%
11¢ bid, 81¢ ask
polled, just now
81¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $123 (1.23x)
Max Christie: 2+
46%
Kalshi 46%polled, just nowBest Yes 81¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $123 (1.23x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Max Christie: 2+
- Last price
- 46%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 81¢
- Sell Yes
- 11¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $123 (1.23x)
P.J. Washington: 2+46%46%13¢ bid, 79¢ askpolled, just now79¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $127 (1.27x)P.J. Washington: 2+46%Kalshi 46%polled, just nowBest Yes 79¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $127 (1.27x)
P.J. Washington: 2+
46%
46%
13¢ bid, 79¢ ask
polled, just now
79¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $127 (1.27x)
P.J. Washington: 2+
46%
Kalshi 46%polled, just nowBest Yes 79¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $127 (1.27x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- P.J. Washington: 2+
- Last price
- 46%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 79¢
- Sell Yes
- 13¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $127 (1.27x)
Andrew Nembhard: 3+43%43%5¢ bid, 81¢ askpolled, just now81¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $123 (1.23x)Andrew Nembhard: 3+43%Kalshi 43%polled, just nowBest Yes 81¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $123 (1.23x)
Andrew Nembhard: 3+
43%
43%
5¢ bid, 81¢ ask
polled, just now
81¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $123 (1.23x)
Andrew Nembhard: 3+
43%
Kalshi 43%polled, just nowBest Yes 81¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $123 (1.23x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Andrew Nembhard: 3+
- Last price
- 43%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 81¢
- Sell Yes
- 5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $123 (1.23x)
Ivica Zubac: 2+43%43%5¢ bid, 81¢ askpolled, just now81¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $123 (1.23x)Ivica Zubac: 2+43%Kalshi 43%polled, just nowBest Yes 81¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $123 (1.23x)
Ivica Zubac: 2+
43%
43%
5¢ bid, 81¢ ask
polled, just now
81¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $123 (1.23x)
Ivica Zubac: 2+
43%
Kalshi 43%polled, just nowBest Yes 81¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $123 (1.23x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ivica Zubac: 2+
- Last price
- 43%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 81¢
- Sell Yes
- 5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $123 (1.23x)
Tyrese Haliburton: 3+39.5%39.5%7¢ bid, 72¢ askpolled, just now72¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $139 (1.39x)Tyrese Haliburton: 3+39.5%Kalshi 39.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 72¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $139 (1.39x)
Tyrese Haliburton: 3+
39.5%
39.5%
7¢ bid, 72¢ ask
polled, just now
72¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $139 (1.39x)
Tyrese Haliburton: 3+
39.5%
Kalshi 39.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 72¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $139 (1.39x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Tyrese Haliburton: 3+
- Last price
- 39.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 72¢
- Sell Yes
- 7¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $139 (1.39x)
Tyrese Haliburton: 1+27.5%27.5%26¢ bid, 29¢ askpolled, just now29¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $345 (3.45x)Tyrese Haliburton: 1+27.5%Kalshi 27.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 29¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Tyrese Haliburton: 1+
27.5%
27.5%
26¢ bid, 29¢ ask
polled, just now
29¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Tyrese Haliburton: 1+
27.5%
Kalshi 27.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 29¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Tyrese Haliburton: 1+
- Last price
- 27.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 29¢
- Sell Yes
- 26¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $345 (3.45x)
Pascal Siakam: 2+27%27%11¢ bid, 86¢ askpolled, just now86¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $116 (1.16x)Pascal Siakam: 2+27%Kalshi 27%polled, just nowBest Yes 86¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $116 (1.16x)
Pascal Siakam: 2+
27%
27%
11¢ bid, 86¢ ask
polled, just now
86¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $116 (1.16x)
Pascal Siakam: 2+
27%
Kalshi 27%polled, just nowBest Yes 86¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $116 (1.16x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Pascal Siakam: 2+
- Last price
- 27%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 86¢
- Sell Yes
- 11¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $116 (1.16x)
- Volume
- $11
Kyrie Irving: 3+5%5%4¢ bid, 81¢ askpolled, just now81¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $123 (1.23x)Kyrie Irving: 3+5%Kalshi 5%polled, just nowBest Yes 81¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $123 (1.23x)
Kyrie Irving: 3+
5%
5%
4¢ bid, 81¢ ask
polled, just now
81¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $123 (1.23x)
Kyrie Irving: 3+
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, just nowBest Yes 81¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $123 (1.23x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Kyrie Irving: 3+
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 81¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $123 (1.23x)
Pascal Siakam: 3+5%5%2¢ bid, 80¢ askpolled, just now80¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $125 (1.25x)Pascal Siakam: 3+5%Kalshi 5%polled, just nowBest Yes 80¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Pascal Siakam: 3+
5%
5%
2¢ bid, 80¢ ask
polled, just now
80¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Pascal Siakam: 3+
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, just nowBest Yes 80¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Pascal Siakam: 3+
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 80¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $125 (1.25x)
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: the Governing League, ESPN
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Andrew Nembhard: 1+
- Cooper Flagg: 2+
- Cooper Flagg: 3+
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Dallas vs Indiana: Steals". Andrew Nembhard: 1+ leads at 99%. Next is Cooper Flagg: 2+ at 99%. $1K has traded across 22 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 25, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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