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What the markets expect
Dallas 1H / Dallas game 46.5%
Next is Philadelphia 1H / Philadelphia game at 23.8%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Fair chance
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Dallas 1H / Dallas game46.5%43%46.5% fair35¢ bid, 45¢ askpolled, 1 min ago45¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $222 (2.22x)Dallas 1H / Dallas game46.5%Kalshi 43%(46.5% fair)polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 45¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Dallas 1H / Dallas game
46.5%
43%
46.5% fair
35¢ bid, 45¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
45¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Dallas 1H / Dallas game
46.5%
Kalshi 43%(46.5% fair)polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 45¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Dallas 1H / Dallas game
- Last price
- 43%
- Fair, margin removed
- 46.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 45¢
- Sell Yes
- 35¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $222 (2.22x)
- Volume
- $57
Philadelphia 1H / Philadelphia game23.8%22%23.8% fair14¢ bid, 22¢ askpolled, 1 min ago22¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $455 (4.55x)Philadelphia 1H / Philadelphia game23.8%Kalshi 22%(23.8% fair)polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 22¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Philadelphia 1H / Philadelphia game
23.8%
22%
23.8% fair
14¢ bid, 22¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
22¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Philadelphia 1H / Philadelphia game
23.8%
Kalshi 22%(23.8% fair)polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 22¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Philadelphia 1H / Philadelphia game
- Last price
- 22%
- Fair, margin removed
- 23.8%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 22¢
- Sell Yes
- 14¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $455 (4.55x)
- Volume
- $1
Philadelphia 1H / Dallas game13%12%13% fair7¢ bid, 12¢ askpolled, 1 min ago12¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $833 (8.33x)Philadelphia 1H / Dallas game13%Kalshi 12%(13% fair)polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Philadelphia 1H / Dallas game
13%
12%
13% fair
7¢ bid, 12¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
12¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Philadelphia 1H / Dallas game
13%
Kalshi 12%(13% fair)polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Philadelphia 1H / Dallas game
- Last price
- 12%
- Fair, margin removed
- 13%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 12¢
- Sell Yes
- 7¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $833 (8.33x)
- Volume
- $41
Dallas 1H / Philadelphia game7%6.5%7% fair3¢ bid, 10¢ askpolled, 1 min ago10¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)Dallas 1H / Philadelphia game7%Kalshi 6.5%(7% fair)polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Dallas 1H / Philadelphia game
7%
6.5%
7% fair
3¢ bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
10¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Dallas 1H / Philadelphia game
7%
Kalshi 6.5%(7% fair)polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Dallas 1H / Philadelphia game
- Last price
- 6.5%
- Fair, margin removed
- 7%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
Tie 1H / Philadelphia game4.3%4%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 1 min ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Tie 1H / Philadelphia game4.3%Kalshi 4%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Tie 1H / Philadelphia game
4.3%
4%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Tie 1H / Philadelphia game
4.3%
Kalshi 4%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Tie 1H / Philadelphia game
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $100
Tie 1H / Dallas game3.3%3%— bid, 6¢ askpolled, 1 min ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)Tie 1H / Dallas game3.3%Kalshi 3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Tie 1H / Dallas game
3.3%
3%
— bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Tie 1H / Dallas game
3.3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Tie 1H / Dallas game
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
Dallas 1H / Tie game1.1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 1 min ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Dallas 1H / Tie game1.1%Kalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Dallas 1H / Tie game
1.1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Dallas 1H / Tie game
1.1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Dallas 1H / Tie game
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $935
Philadelphia 1H / Tie game0.5%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 1 min ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Philadelphia 1H / Tie game0.5%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Philadelphia 1H / Tie game
0.5%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Philadelphia 1H / Tie game
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Philadelphia 1H / Tie game
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Tie 1H / Tie game0.5%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 1 min ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Tie 1H / Tie game0.5%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Tie 1H / Tie game
0.5%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Tie 1H / Tie game
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Tie 1H / Tie game
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: the Governing League
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Dallas 1H / Dallas game
- Philadelphia 1H / Philadelphia game
- Philadelphia 1H / Dallas game
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
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Buy
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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Dallas vs Philadelphia: 1st Half / Fulltime Result". Dallas 1H / Dallas game leads at 46.5%. Next is Philadelphia 1H / Philadelphia game at 23.8%. $1K has traded across 9 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 29, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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