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What the markets expect
Dallas wins by over 1.5 points 62%
Next is Dallas wins by over 2.5 points at 61%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Dallas wins by over 1.5 points62%62%61¢ bid, 62¢ askpolled, 43s ago62¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $161 (1.61x)Dallas wins by over 1.5 points62%Kalshi 62%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 62¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $161 (1.61x)
Dallas wins by over 1.5 points
62%
62%
61¢ bid, 62¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
62¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $161 (1.61x)
Dallas wins by over 1.5 points
62%
Kalshi 62%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 62¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $161 (1.61x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Dallas wins by over 1.5 points
- Last price
- 62%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 62¢
- Sell Yes
- 61¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $161 (1.61x)
- Volume
- $24
Dallas wins by over 2.5 points61%61%59¢ bid, 61¢ askpolled, 43s ago61¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $164 (1.64x)Dallas wins by over 2.5 points61%Kalshi 61%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 61¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $164 (1.64x)
Dallas wins by over 2.5 points
61%
61%
59¢ bid, 61¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
61¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $164 (1.64x)
Dallas wins by over 2.5 points
61%
Kalshi 61%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 61¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $164 (1.64x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Dallas wins by over 2.5 points
- Last price
- 61%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 61¢
- Sell Yes
- 59¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $164 (1.64x)
- Volume
- $388
Dallas wins by over 3.5 points52%52%51¢ bid, 52¢ askpolled, 43s ago52¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $192 (1.92x)Dallas wins by over 3.5 points52%Kalshi 52%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 52¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $192 (1.92x)
Dallas wins by over 3.5 points
52%
52%
51¢ bid, 52¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
52¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $192 (1.92x)
Dallas wins by over 3.5 points
52%
Kalshi 52%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 52¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $192 (1.92x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Dallas wins by over 3.5 points
- Last price
- 52%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 52¢
- Sell Yes
- 51¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $192 (1.92x)
- Volume
- $5K
Dallas wins by over 4.5 points47%47%47¢ bid, 48¢ askpolled, 43s ago48¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $208 (2.08x)Dallas wins by over 4.5 points47%Kalshi 47%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 48¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Dallas wins by over 4.5 points
47%
47%
47¢ bid, 48¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
48¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Dallas wins by over 4.5 points
47%
Kalshi 47%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 48¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Dallas wins by over 4.5 points
- Last price
- 47%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 48¢
- Sell Yes
- 47¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $208 (2.08x)
- Volume
- $27K
Dallas wins by over 5.5 points47%47%45¢ bid, 47¢ askpolled, 43s ago47¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $213 (2.13x)Dallas wins by over 5.5 points47%Kalshi 47%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 47¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Dallas wins by over 5.5 points
47%
47%
45¢ bid, 47¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
47¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Dallas wins by over 5.5 points
47%
Kalshi 47%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 47¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Dallas wins by over 5.5 points
- Last price
- 47%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 47¢
- Sell Yes
- 45¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $213 (2.13x)
- Volume
- $252
Dallas wins by over 6.5 points43%43%42¢ bid, 43¢ askpolled, 43s ago43¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $233 (2.33x)Dallas wins by over 6.5 points43%Kalshi 43%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 43¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $233 (2.33x)
Dallas wins by over 6.5 points
43%
43%
42¢ bid, 43¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
43¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $233 (2.33x)
Dallas wins by over 6.5 points
43%
Kalshi 43%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 43¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $233 (2.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Dallas wins by over 6.5 points
- Last price
- 43%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 43¢
- Sell Yes
- 42¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $233 (2.33x)
- Volume
- $1K
Dallas wins by over 7.5 points37%37%36¢ bid, 37¢ askpolled, 43s ago37¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $270 (2.70x)Dallas wins by over 7.5 points37%Kalshi 37%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 37¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Dallas wins by over 7.5 points
37%
37%
36¢ bid, 37¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
37¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Dallas wins by over 7.5 points
37%
Kalshi 37%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 37¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Dallas wins by over 7.5 points
- Last price
- 37%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 37¢
- Sell Yes
- 36¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $270 (2.70x)
- Volume
- $68
Dallas wins by over 9.5 points33%33%32¢ bid, 33¢ askpolled, 43s ago33¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $303 (3.03x)Dallas wins by over 9.5 points33%Kalshi 33%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 33¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $303 (3.03x)
Dallas wins by over 9.5 points
33%
33%
32¢ bid, 33¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
33¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $303 (3.03x)
Dallas wins by over 9.5 points
33%
Kalshi 33%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 33¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $303 (3.03x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Dallas wins by over 9.5 points
- Last price
- 33%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 33¢
- Sell Yes
- 32¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $303 (3.03x)
- Volume
- $65
Philadelphia wins by over 1.5 points31%31%31¢ bid, 33¢ askpolled, 43s ago33¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $303 (3.03x)Philadelphia wins by over 1.5 points31%Kalshi 31%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 33¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $303 (3.03x)
Philadelphia wins by over 1.5 points
31%
31%
31¢ bid, 33¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
33¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $303 (3.03x)
Philadelphia wins by over 1.5 points
31%
Kalshi 31%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 33¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $303 (3.03x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Philadelphia wins by over 1.5 points
- Last price
- 31%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 33¢
- Sell Yes
- 31¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $303 (3.03x)
- Volume
- $15
Philadelphia wins by over 2.5 points31%31%30¢ bid, 31¢ askpolled, 43s ago31¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $323 (3.23x)Philadelphia wins by over 2.5 points31%Kalshi 31%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 31¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Philadelphia wins by over 2.5 points
31%
31%
30¢ bid, 31¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
31¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Philadelphia wins by over 2.5 points
31%
Kalshi 31%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 31¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Philadelphia wins by over 2.5 points
- Last price
- 31%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 31¢
- Sell Yes
- 30¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $323 (3.23x)
- Volume
- $123
Show 15 more outcomesHide 15 outcomes
Dallas wins by over 10.5 points29%29%28¢ bid, 30¢ askpolled, 43s ago30¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $333 (3.33x)Dallas wins by over 10.5 points29%Kalshi 29%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 30¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Dallas wins by over 10.5 points
29%
29%
28¢ bid, 30¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
30¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Dallas wins by over 10.5 points
29%
Kalshi 29%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 30¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Dallas wins by over 10.5 points
- Last price
- 29%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 30¢
- Sell Yes
- 28¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $333 (3.33x)
- Volume
- $73
Dallas wins by over 13.5 points24%24%23¢ bid, 24¢ askpolled, 43s ago24¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $417 (4.17x)Dallas wins by over 13.5 points24%Kalshi 24%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Dallas wins by over 13.5 points
24%
24%
23¢ bid, 24¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
24¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Dallas wins by over 13.5 points
24%
Kalshi 24%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Dallas wins by over 13.5 points
- Last price
- 24%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 24¢
- Sell Yes
- 23¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $417 (4.17x)
- Volume
- $3K
Philadelphia wins by over 3.5 points24%24%24¢ bid, 25¢ askpolled, 43s ago25¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $400 (4.00x)Philadelphia wins by over 3.5 points24%Kalshi 24%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Philadelphia wins by over 3.5 points
24%
24%
24¢ bid, 25¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
25¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Philadelphia wins by over 3.5 points
24%
Kalshi 24%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Philadelphia wins by over 3.5 points
- Last price
- 24%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 25¢
- Sell Yes
- 24¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $400 (4.00x)
- Volume
- $236
Philadelphia wins by over 4.5 points21%21%21¢ bid, 22¢ askpolled, 43s ago22¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $455 (4.55x)Philadelphia wins by over 4.5 points21%Kalshi 21%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 22¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Philadelphia wins by over 4.5 points
21%
21%
21¢ bid, 22¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
22¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Philadelphia wins by over 4.5 points
21%
Kalshi 21%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 22¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Philadelphia wins by over 4.5 points
- Last price
- 21%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 22¢
- Sell Yes
- 21¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $455 (4.55x)
- Volume
- $2K
Dallas wins by over 14.5 points20%20%19¢ bid, 21¢ askpolled, 43s ago21¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $476 (4.76x)Dallas wins by over 14.5 points20%Kalshi 20%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 21¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Dallas wins by over 14.5 points
20%
20%
19¢ bid, 21¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
21¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Dallas wins by over 14.5 points
20%
Kalshi 20%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 21¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Dallas wins by over 14.5 points
- Last price
- 20%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 21¢
- Sell Yes
- 19¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $476 (4.76x)
- Volume
- $638
Philadelphia wins by over 5.5 points19.5%19.5%19¢ bid, 20¢ askpolled, 43s ago20¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $500 (5.00x)Philadelphia wins by over 5.5 points19.5%Kalshi 19.5%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 20¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Philadelphia wins by over 5.5 points
19.5%
19.5%
19¢ bid, 20¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
20¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Philadelphia wins by over 5.5 points
19.5%
Kalshi 19.5%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 20¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Philadelphia wins by over 5.5 points
- Last price
- 19.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 20¢
- Sell Yes
- 19¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $500 (5.00x)
Philadelphia wins by over 6.5 points18%18%17¢ bid, 18¢ askpolled, 43s ago18¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $556 (5.56x)Philadelphia wins by over 6.5 points18%Kalshi 18%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Philadelphia wins by over 6.5 points
18%
18%
17¢ bid, 18¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
18¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Philadelphia wins by over 6.5 points
18%
Kalshi 18%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Philadelphia wins by over 6.5 points
- Last price
- 18%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 18¢
- Sell Yes
- 17¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $556 (5.56x)
- Volume
- $306
Dallas wins by over 16.5 points17%17%16¢ bid, 18¢ askpolled, 43s ago18¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $556 (5.56x)Dallas wins by over 16.5 points17%Kalshi 17%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Dallas wins by over 16.5 points
17%
17%
16¢ bid, 18¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
18¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Dallas wins by over 16.5 points
17%
Kalshi 17%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Dallas wins by over 16.5 points
- Last price
- 17%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 18¢
- Sell Yes
- 16¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $556 (5.56x)
- Volume
- $2K
Dallas wins by over 17.5 points15%15%14¢ bid, 16¢ askpolled, 43s ago16¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $625 (6.25x)Dallas wins by over 17.5 points15%Kalshi 15%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Dallas wins by over 17.5 points
15%
15%
14¢ bid, 16¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
16¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Dallas wins by over 17.5 points
15%
Kalshi 15%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Dallas wins by over 17.5 points
- Last price
- 15%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 16¢
- Sell Yes
- 14¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $625 (6.25x)
Philadelphia wins by over 7.5 points14%14%13¢ bid, 14¢ askpolled, 43s ago14¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $714 (7.14x)Philadelphia wins by over 7.5 points14%Kalshi 14%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Philadelphia wins by over 7.5 points
14%
14%
13¢ bid, 14¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
14¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Philadelphia wins by over 7.5 points
14%
Kalshi 14%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Philadelphia wins by over 7.5 points
- Last price
- 14%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 14¢
- Sell Yes
- 13¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $714 (7.14x)
- Volume
- $20
Dallas wins by over 20.5 points12%12%11¢ bid, 13¢ askpolled, 43s ago13¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $769 (7.69x)Dallas wins by over 20.5 points12%Kalshi 12%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Dallas wins by over 20.5 points
12%
12%
11¢ bid, 13¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
13¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Dallas wins by over 20.5 points
12%
Kalshi 12%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Dallas wins by over 20.5 points
- Last price
- 12%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 13¢
- Sell Yes
- 11¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $769 (7.69x)
Philadelphia wins by over 9.5 points12%12%11¢ bid, 12¢ askpolled, 43s ago12¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $833 (8.33x)Philadelphia wins by over 9.5 points12%Kalshi 12%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Philadelphia wins by over 9.5 points
12%
12%
11¢ bid, 12¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
12¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Philadelphia wins by over 9.5 points
12%
Kalshi 12%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Philadelphia wins by over 9.5 points
- Last price
- 12%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 12¢
- Sell Yes
- 11¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $833 (8.33x)
- Volume
- $6
Philadelphia wins by over 10.5 points10%10%9¢ bid, 11¢ askpolled, 43s ago11¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $909 (9.09x)Philadelphia wins by over 10.5 points10%Kalshi 10%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Philadelphia wins by over 10.5 points
10%
10%
9¢ bid, 11¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
11¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Philadelphia wins by over 10.5 points
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Philadelphia wins by over 10.5 points
- Last price
- 10%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 11¢
- Sell Yes
- 9¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $909 (9.09x)
Philadelphia wins by over 13.5 points7.5%7.5%6¢ bid, 9¢ askpolled, 43s ago9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)Philadelphia wins by over 13.5 points7.5%Kalshi 7.5%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Philadelphia wins by over 13.5 points
7.5%
7.5%
6¢ bid, 9¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Philadelphia wins by over 13.5 points
7.5%
Kalshi 7.5%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Philadelphia wins by over 13.5 points
- Last price
- 7.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
Philadelphia wins by over 14.5 points6.5%6.5%5¢ bid, 8¢ askpolled, 43s ago8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)Philadelphia wins by over 14.5 points6.5%Kalshi 6.5%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Philadelphia wins by over 14.5 points
6.5%
6.5%
5¢ bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Philadelphia wins by over 14.5 points
6.5%
Kalshi 6.5%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Philadelphia wins by over 14.5 points
- Last price
- 6.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- 5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: the Governing League
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Dallas wins by over 1.5 points
- Dallas wins by over 2.5 points
- Dallas wins by over 3.5 points
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Dallas vs Philadelphia: Spread". Dallas wins by over 1.5 points leads at 62%. Next is Dallas wins by over 2.5 points at 61%. $42K has traded across 25 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 29, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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