Combined depth · both venues
Loading both order books…
What the markets expect
Ezra Frech 55.2%
Next is Amber Glenn at 44.1%. Polymarket and Kalshi agree within 1 point on each matched outcome.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Polymarket
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Polymarket
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Ezra FrechArb55.2%1.7%0.2¢ bid, 3.1¢ askpolled, 49s ago93%93¢ bid, 94¢ askpolled, 1 min ago3.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $3,226 (32.3x)Ezra FrechArb55.2%Polymarket 60%polled, 49s agoPolymarket 1.7%polled, 49s agoKalshi 93%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 3.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,226 (32.3x)
Ezra FrechArb
55.2%
1.7%
0.2¢ bid, 3.1¢ ask
polled, 49s ago
93%
93¢ bid, 94¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
3.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $3,226 (32.3x)
Ezra FrechArb
55.2%
Polymarket 60%polled, 49s agoPolymarket 1.7%polled, 49s agoKalshi 93%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 3.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,226 (32.3x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Ezra Frech
- Last price
- 60%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 62¢
- Sell Yes
- 58¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $161 (1.61x)
- Volume
- $22K
Polymarket
- Contract
- Ezra Frech
- Last price
- 1.7%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3.1¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,226 (32.3x)
- Volume
- $338
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ezra Frech
- Last price
- 93%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 94¢
- Sell Yes
- 93¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $106 (1.06x)
- Volume
- $12K
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 3.1¢ and selling on Kalshi at 93¢ nets 8990 bps before fees.
Amber GlennArb44.1%8%1.1¢ bid, 14.9¢ askpolled, 49s ago87%87¢ bid, 91¢ askpolled, 1 min ago14.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $671 (6.71x)Amber GlennArb44.1%Polymarket 14.5%polled, 49s agoPolymarket 8%polled, 49s agoKalshi 87%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 14.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $671 (6.71x)
Amber GlennArb
44.1%
8%
1.1¢ bid, 14.9¢ ask
polled, 49s ago
87%
87¢ bid, 91¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
14.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $671 (6.71x)
Amber GlennArb
44.1%
Polymarket 14.5%polled, 49s agoPolymarket 8%polled, 49s agoKalshi 87%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 14.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $671 (6.71x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Amber Glenn
- Last price
- 14.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 16¢
- Sell Yes
- 13¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $625 (6.25x)
- Volume
- $13K
Polymarket
- Contract
- Amber Glenn
- Last price
- 8%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 14.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 1.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $671 (6.71x)
- Volume
- $148
Kalshi
- Contract
- Amber Glenn
- Last price
- 87%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 91¢
- Sell Yes
- 87¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $110 (1.10x)
- Volume
- $20K
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 14.9¢ and selling on Kalshi at 87¢ nets 7210 bps before fees.
Harry Shum Jr.Arb40%4.3%3.6¢ bid, 5¢ askpolled, 49s ago82%77¢ bid, 82¢ askpolled, 1 min ago5¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Harry Shum Jr.Arb40%Polymarket 4.6%polled, 49s agoPolymarket 4.3%polled, 49s agoKalshi 82%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Harry Shum Jr.Arb
40%
4.3%
3.6¢ bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 49s ago
82%
77¢ bid, 82¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
5¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Harry Shum Jr.Arb
40%
Polymarket 4.6%polled, 49s agoPolymarket 4.3%polled, 49s agoKalshi 82%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Harry Shum Jr.
- Last price
- 4.6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 2.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,449 (14.5x)
- Volume
- $9K
Polymarket
- Contract
- Harry Shum Jr.
- Last price
- 4.3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- 3.6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $2K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Harry Shum Jr.
- Last price
- 82%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 82¢
- Sell Yes
- 77¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $122 (1.22x)
- Volume
- $16K
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 5¢ and selling on Kalshi at 77¢ nets 7200 bps before fees.
Julia StilesArb38.5%10.5%9¢ bid, 12¢ askpolled, 49s ago69%69¢ bid, 70¢ askpolled, 1 min ago9.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,010 (10.1x)Julia StilesArb38.5%Polymarket 5.6%polled, 49s agoPolymarket 10.5%polled, 49s agoKalshi 69%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 9.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,010 (10.1x)
Julia StilesArb
38.5%
10.5%
9¢ bid, 12¢ ask
polled, 49s ago
69%
69¢ bid, 70¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
9.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,010 (10.1x)
Julia StilesArb
38.5%
Polymarket 5.6%polled, 49s agoPolymarket 10.5%polled, 49s agoKalshi 69%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 9.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,010 (10.1x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Julia Stiles
- Last price
- 5.6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 9.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 1.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,010 (10.1x)
- Volume
- $603
Polymarket
- Contract
- Julia Stiles
- Last price
- 10.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 12¢
- Sell Yes
- 9¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $833 (8.33x)
- Volume
- $2K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Julia Stiles
- Last price
- 69%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 70¢
- Sell Yes
- 69¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $143 (1.43x)
- Volume
- $14K
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 9.9¢ and selling on Kalshi at 69¢ nets 5910 bps before fees.
Jenna DewanArb34.7%4.9%2.6¢ bid, 7.1¢ askpolled, 49s ago64%63¢ bid, 64¢ askpolled, 1 min ago7.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,408 (14.1x)Jenna DewanArb34.7%Polymarket 6%polled, 49s agoPolymarket 4.9%polled, 49s agoKalshi 64%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 7.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,408 (14.1x)
Jenna DewanArb
34.7%
4.9%
2.6¢ bid, 7.1¢ ask
polled, 49s ago
64%
63¢ bid, 64¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
7.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,408 (14.1x)
Jenna DewanArb
34.7%
Polymarket 6%polled, 49s agoPolymarket 4.9%polled, 49s agoKalshi 64%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 7.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,408 (14.1x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Jenna Dewan
- Last price
- 6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
- Volume
- $3K
Polymarket
- Contract
- Jenna Dewan
- Last price
- 4.9%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 7.1¢
- Sell Yes
- 2.6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,408 (14.1x)
- Volume
- $1K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jenna Dewan
- Last price
- 64%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 64¢
- Sell Yes
- 63¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $156 (1.56x)
- Volume
- $12K
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 7.1¢ and selling on Kalshi at 63¢ nets 5590 bps before fees.
Maura HigginsArb33.6%5.5%2.9¢ bid, 8.1¢ askpolled, 49s ago84%83¢ bid, 84¢ askpolled, 1 min ago8.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,235 (12.3x)Maura HigginsArb33.6%Polymarket 9%polled, 49s agoPolymarket 5.5%polled, 49s agoKalshi 84%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 8.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,235 (12.3x)
Maura HigginsArb
33.6%
5.5%
2.9¢ bid, 8.1¢ ask
polled, 49s ago
84%
83¢ bid, 84¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
8.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,235 (12.3x)
Maura HigginsArb
33.6%
Polymarket 9%polled, 49s agoPolymarket 5.5%polled, 49s agoKalshi 84%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 8.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,235 (12.3x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Maura Higgins
- Last price
- 9%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- 8¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
- Volume
- $21K
Polymarket
- Contract
- Maura Higgins
- Last price
- 5.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 8.1¢
- Sell Yes
- 2.9¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,235 (12.3x)
- Volume
- $40
Kalshi
- Contract
- Maura Higgins
- Last price
- 84%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 84¢
- Sell Yes
- 83¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $119 (1.19x)
- Volume
- $16K
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 8.1¢ and selling on Kalshi at 83¢ nets 7490 bps before fees.
Tatyana AliArb25.7%37.5%37¢ bid, 38¢ askpolled, 49s ago32%31¢ bid, 34¢ askpolled, 1 min ago1.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $5,263 (52.6x)Tatyana AliArb25.7%Polymarket 1.1%polled, 49s agoPolymarket 37.5%polled, 49s agoKalshi 32%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,263 (52.6x)
Tatyana AliArb
25.7%
37.5%
37¢ bid, 38¢ ask
polled, 49s ago
32%
31¢ bid, 34¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
1.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $5,263 (52.6x)
Tatyana AliArb
25.7%
Polymarket 1.1%polled, 49s agoPolymarket 37.5%polled, 49s agoKalshi 32%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,263 (52.6x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Tatyana Ali
- Last price
- 1.1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,263 (52.6x)
- Volume
- $439
Polymarket
- Contract
- Tatyana Ali
- Last price
- 37.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 38¢
- Sell Yes
- 37¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $263 (2.63x)
- Volume
- $3K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Tatyana Ali
- Last price
- 32%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 34¢
- Sell Yes
- 31¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $294 (2.94x)
- Volume
- $26K
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 1.9¢ and selling on Kalshi at 31¢ nets 2910 bps before fees.
Connor WoodArb22.4%27%24¢ bid, 30¢ askpolled, 49s ago30%30¢ bid, 32¢ askpolled, 1 min ago4.5¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,222 (22.2x)Connor WoodArb22.4%Polymarket 2.6%polled, 49s agoPolymarket 27%polled, 49s agoKalshi 30%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 4.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,222 (22.2x)
Connor WoodArb
22.4%
27%
24¢ bid, 30¢ ask
polled, 49s ago
30%
30¢ bid, 32¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
4.5¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,222 (22.2x)
Connor WoodArb
22.4%
Polymarket 2.6%polled, 49s agoPolymarket 27%polled, 49s agoKalshi 30%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 4.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,222 (22.2x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Connor Wood
- Last price
- 2.6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4.5¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.7¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,222 (22.2x)
- Volume
- $7K
Polymarket
- Contract
- Connor Wood
- Last price
- 27%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 30¢
- Sell Yes
- 24¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $333 (3.33x)
- Volume
- $4K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Connor Wood
- Last price
- 30%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 32¢
- Sell Yes
- 30¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $313 (3.13x)
- Volume
- $21K
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 4.5¢ and selling on Kalshi at 30¢ nets 2550 bps before fees.
Tyler CameronArb17.7%54.5%54¢ bid, 55¢ askpolled, 49s ago8%8¢ bid, 10¢ askpolled, 1 min ago0.2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $50,000 (500x)Tyler CameronArb17.7%Polymarket 0.2%polled, 49s agoPolymarket 54.5%polled, 49s agoKalshi 8%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Tyler CameronArb
17.7%
54.5%
54¢ bid, 55¢ ask
polled, 49s ago
8%
8¢ bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
0.2¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Tyler CameronArb
17.7%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 49s agoPolymarket 54.5%polled, 49s agoKalshi 8%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Tyler Cameron
- Last price
- 0.2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.2¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $50,000 (500x)
- Volume
- $324
Polymarket
- Contract
- Tyler Cameron
- Last price
- 54.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 55¢
- Sell Yes
- 54¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $182 (1.82x)
- Volume
- $49
Kalshi
- Contract
- Tyler Cameron
- Last price
- 8%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- 8¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
- Volume
- $36K
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Kalshi at 10¢ and selling on Polymarket at 54¢ nets 4400 bps before fees.
Jackson OlsonArb17.4%61.5%58¢ bid, 65¢ askpolled, 49s ago3%3¢ bid, 5¢ askpolled, 1 min ago4.2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,381 (23.8x)Jackson OlsonArb17.4%Polymarket 2.3%polled, 49s agoPolymarket 61.5%polled, 49s agoKalshi 3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 4.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,381 (23.8x)
Jackson OlsonArb
17.4%
61.5%
58¢ bid, 65¢ ask
polled, 49s ago
3%
3¢ bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
4.2¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,381 (23.8x)
Jackson OlsonArb
17.4%
Polymarket 2.3%polled, 49s agoPolymarket 61.5%polled, 49s agoKalshi 3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 4.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,381 (23.8x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Jackson Olson
- Last price
- 2.3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4.2¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,381 (23.8x)
- Volume
- $759
Polymarket
- Contract
- Jackson Olson
- Last price
- 61.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 65¢
- Sell Yes
- 58¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $154 (1.54x)
- Volume
- $411
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jackson Olson
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $25K
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Kalshi at 5¢ and selling on Polymarket at 58¢ nets 5300 bps before fees.
Show 6 more outcomesHide 6 outcomes
Guillermo Rodriguez0.3%0.3%— bid, 0.5¢ askpolled, 49s agoNot listed0.5¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $20,000 (200x)Guillermo Rodriguez0.3%Polymarket 0.3%polled, 49s agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Guillermo Rodriguez
0.3%
0.3%
— bid, 0.5¢ ask
polled, 49s ago
Not listed
0.5¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Guillermo Rodriguez
0.3%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 49s agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Guillermo Rodriguez
- Last price
- 0.3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $20,000 (200x)
- Volume
- $1K
Taylor Hanson0.2%0.2%— bid, 0.4¢ askpolled, 49s agoNot listed0.4¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $25,000 (250x)Taylor Hanson0.2%Polymarket 0.2%polled, 49s agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Taylor Hanson
0.2%
0.2%
— bid, 0.4¢ ask
polled, 49s ago
Not listed
0.4¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Taylor Hanson
0.2%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 49s agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Taylor Hanson
- Last price
- 0.2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $25,000 (250x)
- Volume
- $3K
Ciara Miller0.2%0.2%— bid, 0.3¢ askpolled, 49s agoNot listed0.3¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $33,333 (333x)Ciara Miller0.2%Polymarket 0.2%polled, 49s agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Ciara Miller
0.2%
0.2%
— bid, 0.3¢ ask
polled, 49s ago
Not listed
0.3¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Ciara Miller
0.2%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 49s agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Ciara Miller
- Last price
- 0.2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $33,333 (333x)
- Volume
- $2K
Conner Leavitt0.1%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 49s agoNot listed0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Conner Leavitt0.1%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 49s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Conner Leavitt
0.1%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 49s ago
Not listed
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Conner Leavitt
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 49s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Conner Leavitt
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $761
Giada De Laurentiis0.1%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 49s agoNot listed0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Giada De Laurentiis0.1%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 49s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Giada De Laurentiis
0.1%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 49s ago
Not listed
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Giada De Laurentiis
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 49s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Giada De Laurentiis
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $779
Sarah Jane Nader0.1%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 49s agoNot listed0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Sarah Jane Nader0.1%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 49s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Sarah Jane Nader
0.1%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 49s ago
Not listed
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Sarah Jane Nader
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 49s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Sarah Jane Nader
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $626
Possible arbitrage before fees: buy Ezra Frech on Polymarket at 3.1¢, sell on Kalshi at 93¢ (8990 bps). Check the rules below before trading. See all live spreads
Mostly the same bet: one difference
Where they differ
- Trading closes at different times: Dec 31, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC on Polymarket and Jan 7, 2027, 3:00 PM UTC on Kalshi.
- Polymarket resolves via:
- UMA optimistic oracle
Show full rule comparisonHide full rule comparison
- Trading closes Dec 31, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC on Polymarket and Jan 7, 2027, 3:00 PM UTC on Kalshi.
Summarized from each venue’s published rules; the venue’s own rules page is the final word.
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Ezra Frech
- Amber Glenn
- Harry Shum Jr.
Live prices for Ezra Frech
What it costs to buy Yes, what you would get selling it, and the last trade on each exchange, updating as orders change. Hover a status for timing details.
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
Polymarket
Open on Polymarket ↗Top of book
ConnectingBest bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—
Waiting for the first live quote…
Depth · top 8 levels
Loading snapshot…Recent trades
Loading…Kalshi
Open on Kalshi ↗Top of book
ConnectingBest bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—
Waiting for the first live quote…
Depth · top 8 levels
Loading snapshot…Recent trades
Loading…What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (culture rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Dancing with the Stars Season 35 · Finalists". Ezra Frech leads at 55.2%. Next is Amber Glenn at 44.1%. $342K has traded across 16 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 7, 2027.
Kalshi event status: open
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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