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What the markets expect
Drew Mestemaker 38%
Next is Darian Mensah at 35%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 h ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Drew Mestemaker38%38%1¢ bid, 38¢ askpolled, 1 h ago38¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $263 (2.63x)Drew Mestemaker38%Kalshi 38%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 38¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Drew Mestemaker
38%
38%
1¢ bid, 38¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
38¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Drew Mestemaker
38%
Kalshi 38%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 38¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Drew Mestemaker
- Last price
- 38%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 38¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $263 (2.63x)
- Volume
- $249
Darian Mensah35%35%12¢ bid, 44¢ askpolled, 1 h ago44¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $227 (2.27x)Darian Mensah35%Kalshi 35%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 44¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Darian Mensah
35%
35%
12¢ bid, 44¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
44¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Darian Mensah
35%
Kalshi 35%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 44¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Darian Mensah
- Last price
- 35%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 44¢
- Sell Yes
- 12¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $227 (2.27x)
- Volume
- $2K
Byrum Brown32%32%— bid, 32¢ askpolled, 1 h ago32¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $313 (3.13x)Byrum Brown32%Kalshi 32%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 32¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Byrum Brown
32%
32%
— bid, 32¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
32¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Byrum Brown
32%
Kalshi 32%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 32¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Byrum Brown
- Last price
- 32%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 32¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $313 (3.13x)
- Volume
- $469
Brad Jackson23%23%— bid, 23¢ askpolled, 1 h ago23¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $435 (4.35x)Brad Jackson23%Kalshi 23%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 23¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Brad Jackson
23%
23%
— bid, 23¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
23¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Brad Jackson
23%
Kalshi 23%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 23¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Brad Jackson
- Last price
- 23%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 23¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $435 (4.35x)
- Volume
- $101
Braden Atkinson21%21%— bid, 21¢ askpolled, 1 h ago21¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $476 (4.76x)Braden Atkinson21%Kalshi 21%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 21¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Braden Atkinson
21%
21%
— bid, 21¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
21¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Braden Atkinson
21%
Kalshi 21%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 21¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Braden Atkinson
- Last price
- 21%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 21¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $476 (4.76x)
- Volume
- $618
Trinidad Chambliss20%20%10¢ bid, 37¢ askpolled, 1 h ago37¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $270 (2.70x)Trinidad Chambliss20%Kalshi 20%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 37¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Trinidad Chambliss
20%
20%
10¢ bid, 37¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
37¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Trinidad Chambliss
20%
Kalshi 20%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 37¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Trinidad Chambliss
- Last price
- 20%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 37¢
- Sell Yes
- 10¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $270 (2.70x)
- Volume
- $687
Alonza Barnett III17%17%— bid, 34¢ askpolled, 1 h ago34¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $294 (2.94x)Alonza Barnett III17%Kalshi 17%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Alonza Barnett III
17%
17%
— bid, 34¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
34¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Alonza Barnett III
17%
Kalshi 17%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Alonza Barnett III
- Last price
- 17%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 34¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $294 (2.94x)
Broc Lowry17%17%— bid, 34¢ askpolled, 1 h ago34¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $294 (2.94x)Broc Lowry17%Kalshi 17%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Broc Lowry
17%
17%
— bid, 34¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
34¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Broc Lowry
17%
Kalshi 17%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Broc Lowry
- Last price
- 17%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 34¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $294 (2.94x)
Bryson Barnes17%17%— bid, 34¢ askpolled, 1 h ago34¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $294 (2.94x)Bryson Barnes17%Kalshi 17%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Bryson Barnes
17%
17%
— bid, 34¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
34¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Bryson Barnes
17%
Kalshi 17%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Bryson Barnes
- Last price
- 17%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 34¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $294 (2.94x)
Caden Pinnick17%17%— bid, 34¢ askpolled, 1 h ago34¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $294 (2.94x)Caden Pinnick17%Kalshi 17%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Caden Pinnick
17%
17%
— bid, 34¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
34¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Caden Pinnick
17%
Kalshi 17%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Caden Pinnick
- Last price
- 17%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 34¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $294 (2.94x)
Show 40 more outcomesHide 40 outcomes
Carlos Del Rio-Wilson17%17%— bid, 34¢ askpolled, 1 h ago34¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $294 (2.94x)Carlos Del Rio-Wilson17%Kalshi 17%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Carlos Del Rio-Wilson
17%
17%
— bid, 34¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
34¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Carlos Del Rio-Wilson
17%
Kalshi 17%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Carlos Del Rio-Wilson
- Last price
- 17%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 34¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $294 (2.94x)
CJ Bailey17%17%— bid, 34¢ askpolled, 1 h ago34¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $294 (2.94x)CJ Bailey17%Kalshi 17%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
CJ Bailey
17%
17%
— bid, 34¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
34¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $294 (2.94x)
CJ Bailey
17%
Kalshi 17%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- CJ Bailey
- Last price
- 17%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 34¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $294 (2.94x)
Colton Joseph17%17%— bid, 34¢ askpolled, 1 h ago34¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $294 (2.94x)Colton Joseph17%Kalshi 17%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Colton Joseph
17%
17%
— bid, 34¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
34¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Colton Joseph
17%
Kalshi 17%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Colton Joseph
- Last price
- 17%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 34¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $294 (2.94x)
Conner Weigman17%17%— bid, 34¢ askpolled, 1 h ago34¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $294 (2.94x)Conner Weigman17%Kalshi 17%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Conner Weigman
17%
17%
— bid, 34¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
34¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Conner Weigman
17%
Kalshi 17%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Conner Weigman
- Last price
- 17%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 34¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $294 (2.94x)
Dean DeNobile17%17%— bid, 34¢ askpolled, 1 h ago34¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $294 (2.94x)Dean DeNobile17%Kalshi 17%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Dean DeNobile
17%
17%
— bid, 34¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
34¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Dean DeNobile
17%
Kalshi 17%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Dean DeNobile
- Last price
- 17%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 34¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $294 (2.94x)
Devon Dampier17%17%— bid, 34¢ askpolled, 1 h ago34¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $294 (2.94x)Devon Dampier17%Kalshi 17%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Devon Dampier
17%
17%
— bid, 34¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
34¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Devon Dampier
17%
Kalshi 17%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Devon Dampier
- Last price
- 17%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 34¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $294 (2.94x)
Jaden Craig17%17%— bid, 34¢ askpolled, 1 h ago34¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $294 (2.94x)Jaden Craig17%Kalshi 17%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Jaden Craig
17%
17%
— bid, 34¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
34¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Jaden Craig
17%
Kalshi 17%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jaden Craig
- Last price
- 17%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 34¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $294 (2.94x)
Jayden Maiava17%17%— bid, 34¢ askpolled, 1 h ago34¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $294 (2.94x)Jayden Maiava17%Kalshi 17%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Jayden Maiava
17%
17%
— bid, 34¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
34¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Jayden Maiava
17%
Kalshi 17%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jayden Maiava
- Last price
- 17%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 34¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $294 (2.94x)
Jaylen Raynor17%17%— bid, 34¢ askpolled, 1 h ago34¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $294 (2.94x)Jaylen Raynor17%Kalshi 17%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Jaylen Raynor
17%
17%
— bid, 34¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
34¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Jaylen Raynor
17%
Kalshi 17%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jaylen Raynor
- Last price
- 17%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 34¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $294 (2.94x)
JC French IV17%17%— bid, 34¢ askpolled, 1 h ago34¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $294 (2.94x)JC French IV17%Kalshi 17%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
JC French IV
17%
17%
— bid, 34¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
34¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $294 (2.94x)
JC French IV
17%
Kalshi 17%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- JC French IV
- Last price
- 17%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 34¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $294 (2.94x)
Josh Hoover17%17%— bid, 34¢ askpolled, 1 h ago34¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $294 (2.94x)Josh Hoover17%Kalshi 17%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Josh Hoover
17%
17%
— bid, 34¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
34¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Josh Hoover
17%
Kalshi 17%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Josh Hoover
- Last price
- 17%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 34¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $294 (2.94x)
Katin Houser17%17%— bid, 34¢ askpolled, 1 h ago34¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $294 (2.94x)Katin Houser17%Kalshi 17%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Katin Houser
17%
17%
— bid, 34¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
34¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Katin Houser
17%
Kalshi 17%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Katin Houser
- Last price
- 17%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 34¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $294 (2.94x)
Kevin Jennings17%17%— bid, 34¢ askpolled, 1 h ago34¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $294 (2.94x)Kevin Jennings17%Kalshi 17%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kevin Jennings
17%
17%
— bid, 34¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
34¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kevin Jennings
17%
Kalshi 17%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Kevin Jennings
- Last price
- 17%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 34¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $294 (2.94x)
LaNorris Sellers17%17%— bid, 34¢ askpolled, 1 h ago34¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $294 (2.94x)LaNorris Sellers17%Kalshi 17%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
LaNorris Sellers
17%
17%
— bid, 34¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
34¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $294 (2.94x)
LaNorris Sellers
17%
Kalshi 17%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- LaNorris Sellers
- Last price
- 17%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 34¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $294 (2.94x)
Luke Fahey17%17%— bid, 34¢ askpolled, 1 h ago34¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $294 (2.94x)Luke Fahey17%Kalshi 17%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Luke Fahey
17%
17%
— bid, 34¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
34¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Luke Fahey
17%
Kalshi 17%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Luke Fahey
- Last price
- 17%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 34¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $294 (2.94x)
Malik Washington17%17%— bid, 34¢ askpolled, 1 h ago34¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $294 (2.94x)Malik Washington17%Kalshi 17%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Malik Washington
17%
17%
— bid, 34¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
34¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Malik Washington
17%
Kalshi 17%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Malik Washington
- Last price
- 17%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 34¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $294 (2.94x)
Marcel Reed17%17%— bid, 34¢ askpolled, 1 h ago34¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $294 (2.94x)Marcel Reed17%Kalshi 17%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Marcel Reed
17%
17%
— bid, 34¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
34¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Marcel Reed
17%
Kalshi 17%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Marcel Reed
- Last price
- 17%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 34¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $294 (2.94x)
Matt Vezza17%17%— bid, 34¢ askpolled, 1 h ago34¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $294 (2.94x)Matt Vezza17%Kalshi 17%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Matt Vezza
17%
17%
— bid, 34¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
34¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Matt Vezza
17%
Kalshi 17%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Matt Vezza
- Last price
- 17%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 34¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $294 (2.94x)
Micah Alejado17%17%— bid, 34¢ askpolled, 1 h ago34¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $294 (2.94x)Micah Alejado17%Kalshi 17%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Micah Alejado
17%
17%
— bid, 34¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
34¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Micah Alejado
17%
Kalshi 17%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Micah Alejado
- Last price
- 17%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 34¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $294 (2.94x)
Nick Minicucci17%17%— bid, 34¢ askpolled, 1 h ago34¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $294 (2.94x)Nick Minicucci17%Kalshi 17%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Nick Minicucci
17%
17%
— bid, 34¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
34¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Nick Minicucci
17%
Kalshi 17%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Nick Minicucci
- Last price
- 17%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 34¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $294 (2.94x)
Noah Kim17%17%— bid, 34¢ askpolled, 1 h ago34¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $294 (2.94x)Noah Kim17%Kalshi 17%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Noah Kim
17%
17%
— bid, 34¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
34¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Noah Kim
17%
Kalshi 17%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Noah Kim
- Last price
- 17%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 34¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $294 (2.94x)
Owen McCown17%17%— bid, 34¢ askpolled, 1 h ago34¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $294 (2.94x)Owen McCown17%Kalshi 17%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Owen McCown
17%
17%
— bid, 34¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
34¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Owen McCown
17%
Kalshi 17%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Owen McCown
- Last price
- 17%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 34¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $294 (2.94x)
Ryder Hayes17%17%— bid, 34¢ askpolled, 1 h ago34¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $294 (2.94x)Ryder Hayes17%Kalshi 17%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Ryder Hayes
17%
17%
— bid, 34¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
34¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Ryder Hayes
17%
Kalshi 17%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ryder Hayes
- Last price
- 17%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 34¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $294 (2.94x)
Sam Leavitt17%17%— bid, 34¢ askpolled, 1 h ago34¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $294 (2.94x)Sam Leavitt17%Kalshi 17%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Sam Leavitt
17%
17%
— bid, 34¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
34¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Sam Leavitt
17%
Kalshi 17%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Sam Leavitt
- Last price
- 17%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 34¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $294 (2.94x)
Taron Dickens17%17%— bid, 34¢ askpolled, 1 h ago34¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $294 (2.94x)Taron Dickens17%Kalshi 17%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Taron Dickens
17%
17%
— bid, 34¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
34¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Taron Dickens
17%
Kalshi 17%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Taron Dickens
- Last price
- 17%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 34¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $294 (2.94x)
Trey Hedden17%17%— bid, 34¢ askpolled, 1 h ago34¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $294 (2.94x)Trey Hedden17%Kalshi 17%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Trey Hedden
17%
17%
— bid, 34¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
34¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Trey Hedden
17%
Kalshi 17%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Trey Hedden
- Last price
- 17%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 34¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $294 (2.94x)
Walker Eget17%17%— bid, 34¢ askpolled, 1 h ago34¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $294 (2.94x)Walker Eget17%Kalshi 17%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Walker Eget
17%
17%
— bid, 34¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
34¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Walker Eget
17%
Kalshi 17%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Walker Eget
- Last price
- 17%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 34¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $294 (2.94x)
Bear Bachmeier16.5%16.5%1¢ bid, 32¢ askpolled, 1 h ago32¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $313 (3.13x)Bear Bachmeier16.5%Kalshi 16.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 32¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Bear Bachmeier
16.5%
16.5%
1¢ bid, 32¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
32¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Bear Bachmeier
16.5%
Kalshi 16.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 32¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Bear Bachmeier
- Last price
- 16.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 32¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $313 (3.13x)
CJ Carr13%13%— bid, 30¢ askpolled, 1 h ago30¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $333 (3.33x)CJ Carr13%Kalshi 13%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 30¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
CJ Carr
13%
13%
— bid, 30¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
30¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $333 (3.33x)
CJ Carr
13%
Kalshi 13%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 30¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- CJ Carr
- Last price
- 13%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 30¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $333 (3.33x)
- Volume
- $83
Gunner Stockton8%8%1¢ bid, 35¢ askpolled, 1 h ago35¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $286 (2.86x)Gunner Stockton8%Kalshi 8%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 35¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Gunner Stockton
8%
8%
1¢ bid, 35¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
35¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Gunner Stockton
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 35¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Gunner Stockton
- Last price
- 8%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 35¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $286 (2.86x)
- Volume
- $59
Rocco Becht8%8%— bid, 22¢ askpolled, 1 h ago22¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $455 (4.55x)Rocco Becht8%Kalshi 8%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 22¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Rocco Becht
8%
8%
— bid, 22¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
22¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Rocco Becht
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 22¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Rocco Becht
- Last price
- 8%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 22¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $455 (4.55x)
- Volume
- $400
Dante Moore6%6%1¢ bid, 40¢ askpolled, 1 h ago40¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $250 (2.50x)Dante Moore6%Kalshi 6%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 40¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Dante Moore
6%
6%
1¢ bid, 40¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
40¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Dante Moore
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 40¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Dante Moore
- Last price
- 6%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 40¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $250 (2.50x)
- Volume
- $686
Julian Sayin6%6%— bid, 30¢ askpolled, 1 h ago30¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $333 (3.33x)Julian Sayin6%Kalshi 6%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 30¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Julian Sayin
6%
6%
— bid, 30¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
30¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Julian Sayin
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 30¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Julian Sayin
- Last price
- 6%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 30¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $333 (3.33x)
- Volume
- $442
John Mateer5%5%— bid, 22¢ askpolled, 1 h ago22¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $455 (4.55x)John Mateer5%Kalshi 5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 22¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
John Mateer
5%
5%
— bid, 22¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
22¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $455 (4.55x)
John Mateer
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 22¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- John Mateer
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 22¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $455 (4.55x)
- Volume
- $195
Anthony Colandrea4%4%— bid, 34¢ askpolled, 1 h ago34¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $294 (2.94x)Anthony Colandrea4%Kalshi 4%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Anthony Colandrea
4%
4%
— bid, 34¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
34¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Anthony Colandrea
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Anthony Colandrea
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 34¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $294 (2.94x)
- Volume
- $183
Caden Veltkamp4%4%— bid, 34¢ askpolled, 1 h ago34¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $294 (2.94x)Caden Veltkamp4%Kalshi 4%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Caden Veltkamp
4%
4%
— bid, 34¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
34¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Caden Veltkamp
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Caden Veltkamp
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 34¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $294 (2.94x)
- Volume
- $17
Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele4%4%— bid, 34¢ askpolled, 1 h ago34¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $294 (2.94x)Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele4%Kalshi 4%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele
4%
4%
— bid, 34¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
34¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 34¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $294 (2.94x)
- Volume
- $47
Noah Fifita4%4%— bid, 34¢ askpolled, 1 h ago34¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $294 (2.94x)Noah Fifita4%Kalshi 4%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Noah Fifita
4%
4%
— bid, 34¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
34¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Noah Fifita
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Noah Fifita
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 34¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $294 (2.94x)
- Volume
- $31
Arch Manning3%3%— bid, 34¢ askpolled, 1 h ago34¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $294 (2.94x)Arch Manning3%Kalshi 3%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Arch Manning
3%
3%
— bid, 34¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
34¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Arch Manning
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Arch Manning
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 34¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $294 (2.94x)
- Volume
- $341
Demond Williams Jr.1%1%— bid, 34¢ askpolled, 1 h ago34¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $294 (2.94x)Demond Williams Jr.1%Kalshi 1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Demond Williams Jr.
1%
1%
— bid, 34¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
34¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Demond Williams Jr.
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Demond Williams Jr.
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 34¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $294 (2.94x)
- Volume
- $400
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Kalshi using information originating from the NCAA, Fox Sports, Bleacher Report
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Drew Mestemaker
- Darian Mensah
- Byrum Brown
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Davey O'Brien Award Winner". Drew Mestemaker leads at 38%. Next is Darian Mensah at 35%. $7K has traded across 50 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 7, 2027.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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