The Prediction Markets

Daytime Emmy Awards: Outstanding Arts and Popular Culture Program

Closes
Oct 31, 2027, in 12 months
Traded
$4K
Venues
Kalshi
Prices updated
1 min ago
Share

What the markets expect

Beyond the Gates: Welcome to the Neighborhood 35.4%

Next is Variety & CNN Actors on Actors at 30.9%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Beyond the Gates: Welcome to the Neighborhood 35.4%Variety & CNN Actors on Actors 30.9%Off Script With The Hollywood Reporter 12.2%Working in the Theatre 10.5%Variety Studio: Actors on Actors 8.8%Tie 2.2%

Odds by venue

Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
Beyond the Gates: Welcome to the Neighborhood
35.4%
Kalshi 32%(35.4% fair)polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 33¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $303 (3.03x)
Kalshi
Contract
Beyond the Gates: Welcome to the Neighborhood
Last price
32%
Fair, margin removed
35.4%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
33¢
Sell Yes
24¢
$100 on Yes pays
$303 (3.03x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Variety & CNN Actors on Actors
30.9%
Kalshi 28%(30.9% fair)polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 37¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Kalshi
Contract
Variety & CNN Actors on Actors
Last price
28%
Fair, margin removed
30.9%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
37¢
Sell Yes
28¢
$100 on Yes pays
$270 (2.70x)
Volume
$161
Trade this on Kalshi
Off Script With The Hollywood Reporter
12.2%
Kalshi 11%(12.2% fair)polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
Off Script With The Hollywood Reporter
Last price
11%
Fair, margin removed
12.2%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Volume
$150
Trade this on Kalshi
Working in the Theatre
10.5%
Kalshi 9.5%(10.5% fair)polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
Working in the Theatre
Last price
9.5%
Fair, margin removed
10.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Variety Studio: Actors on Actors
8.8%
Kalshi 8%(8.8% fair)polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
Variety Studio: Actors on Actors
Last price
8%
Fair, margin removed
8.8%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Volume
$218
Trade this on Kalshi
Tie
2.2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tie
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$800
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Daytime Emmy Awards

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Beyond the Gates: Welcome to the Neighborhood
  • Variety & CNN Actors on Actors
  • Off Script With The Hollywood Reporter

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (culture rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Daytime Emmy Awards: Outstanding Arts and Popular Culture Program". Beyond the Gates: Welcome to the Neighborhood leads at 35.4%. Next is Variety & CNN Actors on Actors at 30.9%. $4K has traded across 6 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 31, 2027.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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