The Prediction Markets

Daytime Emmy Awards: Outstanding Travel and Adventure Program

Closes
Oct 31, 2027, in 12 months
Traded
$10K
Venues
Kalshi
Prices updated
2 min ago
Share

What the markets expect

Superskilled with Eva zu Beck 36.3%

Next is Expedition Unknown at 32.4%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Superskilled with Eva zu Beck 36.3%Expedition Unknown 32.4%Long Way Home 23.5%Solo Traveling with Tracee Ellis Ross 3.9%The Lovely Lemurs of Madagascar 2.9%Tie 1%

Odds by venue

Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 2 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
Superskilled with Eva zu Beck
36.3%
Kalshi 37%(36.3% fair)polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 39¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Kalshi
Contract
Superskilled with Eva zu Beck
Last price
37%
Fair, margin removed
36.3%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
39¢
Sell Yes
31¢
$100 on Yes pays
$256 (2.56x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Kalshi
Expedition Unknown
32.4%
Kalshi 33%(32.4% fair)polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 38¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Kalshi
Contract
Expedition Unknown
Last price
33%
Fair, margin removed
32.4%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
38¢
Sell Yes
29¢
$100 on Yes pays
$263 (2.63x)
Volume
$381
Trade this on Kalshi
Long Way Home
23.5%
Kalshi 24%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 27¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Kalshi
Contract
Long Way Home
Last price
24%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
27¢
Sell Yes
18¢
$100 on Yes pays
$370 (3.70x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Solo Traveling with Tracee Ellis Ross
3.9%
Kalshi 4%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Solo Traveling with Tracee Ellis Ross
Last price
4%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$522
Trade this on Kalshi
The Lovely Lemurs of Madagascar
2.9%
Kalshi 3%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
The Lovely Lemurs of Madagascar
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$529
Trade this on Kalshi
Tie
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tie
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$261
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Daytime Emmy Awards

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Superskilled with Eva zu Beck
  • Expedition Unknown
  • Long Way Home

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Top of book

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Best ask
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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (culture rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Daytime Emmy Awards: Outstanding Travel and Adventure Program". Superskilled with Eva zu Beck leads at 36.3%. Next is Expedition Unknown at 32.4%. $10K has traded across 6 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 31, 2027.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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