The Prediction Markets

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Starts in 747 daysKickoff
Traded
$1.5B
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
39 min ago
Share

What the markets expect

Jon Ossoff 15.8%

Next is Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez at 15.6%. The venues differ most on Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (Polymarket 16.6%, Kalshi 13%), a 3.6-point gap.

Jon Ossoff 15.8%Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 15.6%Gavin Newsom 15.5%Kamala Harris 7.1%Josh Shapiro 5.1%52 others 40.9%

Odds by venue

Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

18 of 105 prices are live from the exchange feeds; the rest come from our regular price polls, the oldest 40 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Jon Ossoff
15.8%
Polymarket 15.2%(15.9% fair)polled, 40 min agoKalshi 16%(15.3% fair)live, 39 min agoBest Yes 15.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $654 (6.54x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jon Ossoff
Last price
15.2%
Fair, margin removed
15.9%
As of
Polled 40 min ago
Buy Yes
15.3¢
Sell Yes
15¢
$100 on Yes pays
$654 (6.54x)
Volume
$13.5M
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Jon Ossoff
Price
16%
Fair, margin removed
15.3%
As of
Live feed, 39 min ago
Buy Yes
16¢
Sell Yes
15¢
$100 on Yes pays
$625 (6.25x)
Volume
$9.2M
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Indicative only, prices are 40 min old: No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 15¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 15.3¢.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
15.6%
Polymarket 16.6%(17.4% fair)polled, 40 min agoKalshi 13%(12.4% fair)live, 39 min agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Polymarket
Contract
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
Last price
16.6%
Fair, margin removed
17.4%
As of
Polled 40 min ago
Buy Yes
17¢
Sell Yes
16.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$588 (5.88x)
Volume
$15.5M
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
Price
13%
Fair, margin removed
12.4%
As of
Live feed, 39 min ago
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
13¢
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Volume
$9.8M
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Indicative only, prices are 40 min old: Buying on Kalshi at 14¢ and selling on Polymarket at 16.2¢ nets 220 bps before fees.

Gavin Newsom
15.5%
Polymarket 15%(15.8% fair)polled, 40 min agoKalshi 15%(14.4% fair)live, 39 min agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Polymarket
Contract
Gavin Newsom
Last price
15%
Fair, margin removed
15.8%
As of
Polled 40 min ago
Buy Yes
15.6¢
Sell Yes
14.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$641 (6.41x)
Volume
$28.0M
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Gavin Newsom
Price
15%
Fair, margin removed
14.4%
As of
Live feed, 39 min ago
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
14¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Volume
$11.2M
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Indicative only, prices are 40 min old: No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 14.4¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 15¢.

Kamala Harris
7.1%
Polymarket 6.6%polled, 40 min agoKalshi 7.5%live, 39 min agoBest Yes 6.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,515 (15.2x)
Polymarket
Contract
Kamala Harris
Last price
6.6%
As of
Polled 40 min ago
Buy Yes
6.6¢
Sell Yes
6.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,515 (15.2x)
Volume
$14.2M
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Kamala Harris
Price
7.5%
As of
Live feed, 39 min ago
Buy Yes
7.5¢
Sell Yes
7.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,333 (13.3x)
Volume
$8.7M
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Indicative only, prices are 40 min old: Buying on Polymarket at 6.6¢ and selling on Kalshi at 7.4¢ nets 80 bps before fees.

Josh Shapiro
5.1%
Polymarket 5.2%polled, 40 min agoKalshi 4.6%live, 39 min agoBest Yes 4.6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,174 (21.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Josh Shapiro
Last price
5.2%
As of
Polled 40 min ago
Buy Yes
5.2¢
Sell Yes
5.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,923 (19.2x)
Volume
$10.3M
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Josh Shapiro
Price
4.6%
As of
Live feed, 39 min ago
Buy Yes
4.6¢
Sell Yes
4.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,174 (21.7x)
Volume
$5.9M
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Indicative only, prices are 40 min old: Buying on Kalshi at 4.6¢ and selling on Polymarket at 5.1¢ nets 50 bps before fees.

Pete Buttigieg
4.9%
Polymarket 4.9%polled, 40 min agoKalshi 4.7%live, 39 min agoBest Yes 4.7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,128 (21.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Pete Buttigieg
Last price
4.9%
As of
Polled 40 min ago
Buy Yes
4.9¢
Sell Yes
4.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,041 (20.4x)
Volume
$12.3M
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Pete Buttigieg
Price
4.7%
As of
Live feed, 39 min ago
Buy Yes
4.7¢
Sell Yes
4.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,128 (21.3x)
Volume
$6.6M
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Indicative only, prices are 40 min old: Buying on Kalshi at 4.7¢ and selling on Polymarket at 4.8¢ nets 10 bps before fees.

Andy Beshear
3.9%
Polymarket 3.3%polled, 40 min agoKalshi 5%live, 39 min agoBest Yes 3.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,030 (30.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Andy Beshear
Last price
3.3%
As of
Polled 40 min ago
Buy Yes
3.3¢
Sell Yes
3.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,030 (30.3x)
Volume
$13.5M
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Andy Beshear
Price
5%
As of
Live feed, 39 min ago
Buy Yes
5.6¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,786 (17.9x)
Volume
$6.8M
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Indicative only, prices are 40 min old: Buying on Polymarket at 3.3¢ and selling on Kalshi at 5¢ nets 170 bps before fees.

James Talarico
2.7%
Polymarket 2.8%polled, 40 min agoKalshi 2.4%live, 39 min agoBest Yes 2.5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $4,000 (40.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
James Talarico
Last price
2.8%
As of
Polled 40 min ago
Buy Yes
2.8¢
Sell Yes
2.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,571 (35.7x)
Volume
$11.2M
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
James Talarico
Price
2.4%
As of
Live feed, 39 min ago
Buy Yes
2.5¢
Sell Yes
2.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$4,000 (40.0x)
Volume
$8.4M
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Indicative only, prices are 40 min old: Buying on Kalshi at 2.5¢ and selling on Polymarket at 2.7¢ nets 20 bps before fees.

Mark Kelly
2.6%
Polymarket 2.1%polled, 40 min agoKalshi 3.7%live, 39 min agoBest Yes 2.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,762 (47.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
Mark Kelly
Last price
2.1%
As of
Polled 40 min ago
Buy Yes
2.1¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$4,762 (47.6x)
Volume
$17.8M
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Mark Kelly
Price
3.7%
As of
Live feed, 39 min ago
Buy Yes
3.7¢
Sell Yes
3.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,703 (27.0x)
Volume
$8.2M
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Indicative only, prices are 40 min old: Buying on Polymarket at 2.1¢ and selling on Kalshi at 3.6¢ nets 150 bps before fees.

Raphael Warnock
2.1%
Polymarket 2%polled, 40 min agoKalshi 2.3%live, 39 min agoBest Yes 2.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,762 (47.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
Raphael Warnock
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 40 min ago
Buy Yes
2.1¢
Sell Yes
1.9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$4,762 (47.6x)
Volume
$34.4M
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Raphael Warnock
Price
2.3%
As of
Live feed, 39 min ago
Buy Yes
2.3¢
Sell Yes
2.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$4,348 (43.5x)
Volume
$5.7M
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Indicative only, prices are 40 min old: Buying on Polymarket at 2.1¢ and selling on Kalshi at 2.2¢ nets 10 bps before fees.

Show 52 more outcomes
Rahm Emanuel
2%
Polymarket 1.6%polled, 40 min agoKalshi 2.9%live, 39 min agoBest Yes 1.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $6,250 (62.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Rahm Emanuel
Last price
1.6%
As of
Polled 40 min ago
Buy Yes
1.6¢
Sell Yes
1.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$6,250 (62.5x)
Volume
$14.7M
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Rahm Emanuel
Price
2.9%
As of
Live feed, 39 min ago
Buy Yes
2.9¢
Sell Yes
2.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,448 (34.5x)
Volume
$7.7M
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Indicative only, prices are 40 min old: Buying on Polymarket at 1.6¢ and selling on Kalshi at 2.6¢ nets 100 bps before fees.

Wes Moore
2%
Polymarket 1.9%polled, 40 min agoKalshi 2%polled, 40 min agoBest Yes 1.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,263 (52.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
Wes Moore
Last price
1.9%
As of
Polled 40 min ago
Buy Yes
1.9¢
Sell Yes
1.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,263 (52.6x)
Volume
$18.6M
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Wes Moore
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 40 min ago
Buy Yes
2.1¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$4,762 (47.6x)
Volume
$5.2M
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Indicative only, prices are 40 min old: Buying on Polymarket at 1.9¢ and selling on Kalshi at 2¢ nets 10 bps before fees.

J.B. Pritzker
1.7%
Polymarket 1.3%polled, 40 min agoKalshi 2.7%polled, 40 min agoBest Yes 1.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $7,143 (71.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
J.B. Pritzker
Last price
1.3%
As of
Polled 40 min ago
Buy Yes
1.4¢
Sell Yes
1.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$7,143 (71.4x)
Volume
$15.9M
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
J.B. Pritzker
Last price
2.7%
As of
Polled 40 min ago
Buy Yes
2.7¢
Sell Yes
2.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,704 (37.0x)
Volume
$6.5M
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Indicative only, prices are 40 min old: Buying on Polymarket at 1.4¢ and selling on Kalshi at 2.6¢ nets 120 bps before fees.

Ro Khanna
1.5%
Polymarket 1.5%polled, 40 min agoKalshi 1.4%polled, 40 min agoBest Yes 1.4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $7,143 (71.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ro Khanna
Last price
1.5%
As of
Polled 40 min ago
Buy Yes
1.5¢
Sell Yes
1.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$6,667 (66.7x)
Volume
$11.5M
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Ro Khanna
Last price
1.4%
As of
Polled 40 min ago
Buy Yes
1.4¢
Sell Yes
1.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$7,143 (71.4x)
Volume
$6.8M
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Indicative only, prices are 40 min old: No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1.4¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1.4¢.

Bernie Sanders
1.2%
Polymarket 1.4%polled, 40 min agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 40 min agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Polymarket
Contract
Bernie Sanders
Last price
1.4%
As of
Polled 40 min ago
Buy Yes
1.5¢
Sell Yes
1.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$6,667 (66.7x)
Volume
$52.9M
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Bernie Sanders
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 40 min ago
Buy Yes
0.5¢
Sell Yes
0.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$20,000 (200x)
Volume
$5.4M
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Indicative only, prices are 40 min old: Buying on Kalshi at 0.5¢ and selling on Polymarket at 1.3¢ nets 80 bps before fees.

Dwayne Johnson
1.1%
Polymarket 1%polled, 40 min agoBest Yes 1.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $9,091 (90.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 40 min ago
Buy Yes
1.1¢
Sell Yes
0.9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$9,091 (90.9x)
Volume
$12.5M
Trade this on Polymarket
Abdul El-Sayed
1%
Kalshi 1%live, 39 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Abdul El-Sayed
Price
1%
As of
Live feed, 39 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$5.0M
Trade this on Kalshi
Chelsea Clinton
1%
Polymarket 1%polled, 40 min agoBest Yes 1.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $9,091 (90.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Chelsea Clinton
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 40 min ago
Buy Yes
1.1¢
Sell Yes
0.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$9,091 (90.9x)
Volume
$50.9M
Trade this on Polymarket
David Jolly
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 40 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
David Jolly
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 40 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$287
Trade this on Kalshi
Mary Peltola
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 40 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Mary Peltola
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 40 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$194
Trade this on Kalshi
Shawn Fain
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 40 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Shawn Fain
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 40 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$34K
Trade this on Kalshi
Sherrod Brown
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 40 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Sherrod Brown
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 40 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$94
Trade this on Kalshi
Cory Booker
0.7%
Polymarket 0.8%polled, 40 min agoKalshi 0.6%polled, 40 min agoBest Yes 0.7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $14,286 (143x)
Polymarket
Contract
Cory Booker
Last price
0.8%
As of
Polled 40 min ago
Buy Yes
0.8¢
Sell Yes
0.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$12,500 (125x)
Volume
$26.5M
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Cory Booker
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled 40 min ago
Buy Yes
0.7¢
Sell Yes
0.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$14,286 (143x)
Volume
$4.2M
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Indicative only, prices are 40 min old: No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.7¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 0.7¢.

Michelle Obama
0.7%
Polymarket 0.4%polled, 40 min agoKalshi 1.8%polled, 40 min agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Polymarket
Contract
Michelle Obama
Last price
0.4%
As of
Polled 40 min ago
Buy Yes
0.4¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$25,000 (250x)
Volume
$26.4M
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Michelle Obama
Last price
1.8%
As of
Polled 40 min ago
Buy Yes
1.8¢
Sell Yes
1.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,556 (55.6x)
Volume
$7.5M
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Indicative only, prices are 40 min old: Buying on Polymarket at 0.4¢ and selling on Kalshi at 1.7¢ nets 130 bps before fees.

Gretchen Whitmer
0.6%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 40 min agoKalshi 0.8%polled, 40 min agoBest Yes 0.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $16,667 (167x)
Polymarket
Contract
Gretchen Whitmer
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled 40 min ago
Buy Yes
0.6¢
Sell Yes
0.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$16,667 (167x)
Volume
$12.1M
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Gretchen Whitmer
Last price
0.8%
As of
Polled 40 min ago
Buy Yes
0.8¢
Sell Yes
0.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$12,500 (125x)
Volume
$4.9M
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Indicative only, prices are 40 min old: Buying on Polymarket at 0.6¢ and selling on Kalshi at 0.7¢ nets 10 bps before fees.

Jon Stewart
0.5%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 40 min agoKalshi 0.3%polled, 40 min agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jon Stewart
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled 40 min ago
Buy Yes
0.6¢
Sell Yes
0.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$16,667 (167x)
Volume
$24.8M
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Jon Stewart
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled 40 min ago
Buy Yes
0.3¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$33,333 (333x)
Volume
$5.3M
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Indicative only, prices are 40 min old: Buying on Kalshi at 0.3¢ and selling on Polymarket at 0.5¢ nets 20 bps before fees.

Chris Murphy
0.4%
Polymarket 0.4%polled, 40 min agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 40 min agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Polymarket
Contract
Chris Murphy
Last price
0.4%
As of
Polled 40 min ago
Buy Yes
0.4¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$25,000 (250x)
Volume
$17.6M
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Chris Murphy
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 40 min ago
Buy Yes
0.6¢
Sell Yes
0.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$16,667 (167x)
Volume
$4.1M
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Indicative only, prices are 40 min old: Buying on Polymarket at 0.4¢ and selling on Kalshi at 0.5¢ nets 10 bps before fees.

Chris Van Hollen
0.4%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 40 min agoKalshi 1%polled, 40 min agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
Contract
Chris Van Hollen
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled 40 min ago
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$2.0M
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Chris Van Hollen
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 40 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$354K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Indicative only, prices are 40 min old: No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

Elissa Slotkin
0.4%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 40 min agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 40 min agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
Contract
Elissa Slotkin
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled 40 min ago
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$1.7M
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Elissa Slotkin
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 40 min ago
Buy Yes
0.5¢
Sell Yes
0.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$20,000 (200x)
Volume
$3.7M
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Indicative only, prices are 40 min old: Buying on Polymarket at 0.2¢ and selling on Kalshi at 0.4¢ nets 20 bps before fees.

Hakeem Jeffries
0.4%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 40 min agoKalshi 1%polled, 40 min agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
Contract
Hakeem Jeffries
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled 40 min ago
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$2.2M
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Hakeem Jeffries
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 40 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$47K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Indicative only, prices are 40 min old: No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

Mark Cuban
0.4%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 40 min agoKalshi 0.9%polled, 40 min agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Polymarket
Contract
Mark Cuban
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled 40 min ago
Buy Yes
0.3¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$33,333 (333x)
Volume
$23.3M
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Mark Cuban
Last price
0.9%
As of
Polled 40 min ago
Buy Yes
0.9¢
Sell Yes
0.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$11,111 (111x)
Volume
$6.0M
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Indicative only, prices are 40 min old: Buying on Polymarket at 0.3¢ and selling on Kalshi at 0.7¢ nets 40 bps before fees.

Mitch Landrieu
0.4%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 40 min agoKalshi 1%polled, 40 min agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
Contract
Mitch Landrieu
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled 40 min ago
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$1.0M
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Mitch Landrieu
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 40 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$124K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Indicative only, prices are 40 min old: No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

Roy Cooper
0.4%
Polymarket 0.4%polled, 40 min agoKalshi 0.7%polled, 40 min agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Polymarket
Contract
Roy Cooper
Last price
0.4%
As of
Polled 40 min ago
Buy Yes
0.4¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$25,000 (250x)
Volume
$31.8M
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Roy Cooper
Last price
0.7%
As of
Polled 40 min ago
Buy Yes
0.7¢
Sell Yes
0.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$14,286 (143x)
Volume
$3.6M
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Indicative only, prices are 40 min old: Buying on Polymarket at 0.4¢ and selling on Kalshi at 0.6¢ nets 20 bps before fees.

Ruben Gallego
0.4%
Polymarket 0.4%polled, 40 min agoKalshi 0.4%polled, 40 min agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ruben Gallego
Last price
0.4%
As of
Polled 40 min ago
Buy Yes
0.4¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$25,000 (250x)
Volume
$9.0M
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Ruben Gallego
Last price
0.4%
As of
Polled 40 min ago
Buy Yes
0.5¢
Sell Yes
0.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$20,000 (200x)
Volume
$3.7M
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Indicative only, prices are 40 min old: No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.4¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 0.4¢.

Barack Obama
0.3%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 40 min agoKalshi 0.3%live, 39 min agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Polymarket
Contract
Barack Obama
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled 40 min ago
Buy Yes
0.3¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$33,333 (333x)
Volume
$34.4M
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Barack Obama
Price
0.3%
As of
Live feed, 39 min ago
Buy Yes
0.3¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$33,333 (333x)
Volume
$6.3M
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Indicative only, prices are 40 min old: No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.2¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 0.3¢.

Hunter Biden
0.3%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 40 min agoKalshi 0.4%polled, 40 min agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Polymarket
Contract
Hunter Biden
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled 40 min ago
Buy Yes
0.3¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$33,333 (333x)
Volume
$44.8M
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Hunter Biden
Last price
0.4%
As of
Polled 40 min ago
Buy Yes
0.4¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$25,000 (250x)
Volume
$8.3M
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Indicative only, prices are 40 min old: No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.2¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 0.3¢.

Stephen A. Smith
0.3%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 40 min agoKalshi 0.6%live, 39 min agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
Contract
Stephen A. Smith
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled 40 min ago
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$23.3M
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Stephen A. Smith
Price
0.6%
As of
Live feed, 39 min ago
Buy Yes
0.6¢
Sell Yes
0.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$16,667 (167x)
Volume
$7.2M
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Indicative only, prices are 40 min old: Buying on Polymarket at 0.2¢ and selling on Kalshi at 0.4¢ nets 20 bps before fees.

Jamie Dimon
0.3%
Kalshi 0.3%live, 39 min agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jamie Dimon
Price
0.3%
As of
Live feed, 39 min ago
Buy Yes
0.3¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$33,333 (333x)
Volume
$3.5M
Trade this on Kalshi
Abigail Spanberger
0.2%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 40 min agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
Contract
Abigail Spanberger
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled 40 min ago
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$3.1M
Trade this on Polymarket
Amy Klobuchar
0.2%
Kalshi 0.2%polled, 40 min agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Kalshi
Contract
Amy Klobuchar
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled 40 min ago
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$3.3M
Trade this on Kalshi
Dwayne Johnson
0.2%
Kalshi 0.2%live, 39 min agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Kalshi
Contract
Dwayne Johnson
Price
0.2%
As of
Live feed, 39 min ago
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$3.1M
Trade this on Kalshi
Jon Stewart
0.2%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 40 min agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
Contract
Josh Stein
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled 40 min ago
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$2.5M
Trade this on Polymarket
Andrew Yang
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 40 min agoKalshi 0.1%polled, 40 min agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Andrew Yang
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 40 min ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$48.9M
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Andrew Yang
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 40 min ago
Buy Yes
0.3¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$33,333 (333x)
Volume
$5.1M
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Indicative only, prices are 40 min old: No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 0.1¢.

Beto O'Rourke
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 40 min agoKalshi 0.1%polled, 40 min agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Beto O’Rourke
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 40 min ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$42.8M
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Beto O'Rourke
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 40 min ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$2.2M
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Gina Raimondo
0.1%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 40 min agoKalshi 0.1%polled, 40 min agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Gina Raimondo
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled 40 min ago
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$35.9M
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Gina Raimondo
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 40 min ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$2.7M
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Indicative only, prices are 40 min old: No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 0.1¢.

Graham Platner
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 40 min agoKalshi 0.1%polled, 40 min agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Graham Platner
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 40 min ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$8.5M
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Graham Platner
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 40 min ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$4.3M
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Hillary Clinton
0.1%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 40 min agoKalshi 0.1%polled, 40 min agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Hillary Clinton
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled 40 min ago
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$44.2M
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Hillary Clinton
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 40 min ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$3.2M
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Indicative only, prices are 40 min old: No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 0.1¢.

Jared Polis
0.1%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 40 min agoKalshi 0.1%polled, 40 min agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jared Polis
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled 40 min ago
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$27.5M
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Jared Polis
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 40 min ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$2.7M
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Indicative only, prices are 40 min old: No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 0.1¢.

Jasmine Crockett
0.1%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 40 min agoKalshi 0.1%polled, 40 min agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jasmine Crockett
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled 40 min ago
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$36.5M
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Jasmine Crockett
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 40 min ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$2.3M
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Indicative only, prices are 40 min old: No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 0.1¢.

John Fetterman
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 40 min agoKalshi 0.2%polled, 40 min agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
John Fetterman
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 40 min ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$25.8M
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
John Fetterman
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled 40 min ago
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$5.1M
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Indicative only, prices are 40 min old: No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 0.1¢.

LeBron James
0.1%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 40 min agoKalshi 0.1%polled, 40 min agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
LeBron James
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled 40 min ago
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$44.3M
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
LeBron James
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 40 min ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$3.2M
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Indicative only, prices are 40 min old: No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 0.1¢.

Liz Cheney
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 40 min agoKalshi 0.1%polled, 40 min agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Liz Cheney
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 40 min ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$38.7M
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Liz Cheney
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 40 min ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$4.1M
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Phil Murphy
0.1%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 40 min agoKalshi 0.1%live, 39 min agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Phil Murphy
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled 40 min ago
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$42.9M
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Phil Murphy
Price
0.1%
As of
Live feed, 39 min ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$2.7M
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Indicative only, prices are 40 min old: No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 0.1¢.

Tim Walz
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 40 min agoKalshi 0.2%polled, 40 min agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Tim Walz
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 40 min ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$43.9M
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Tim Walz
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled 40 min ago
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$3.5M
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Zohran Mamdani
0.1%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 40 min agoKalshi 0.1%live, 39 min agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
Contract
Zohran Mamdani
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled 40 min ago
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$39.0M
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Zohran Mamdani
Price
0.1%
As of
Live feed, 39 min ago
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$9.9M
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Indicative only, prices are 40 min old: No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 0.2¢.

Adam Schiff
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 40 min agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Adam Schiff
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 40 min ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$703K
Trade this on Polymarket
Elizabeth Warren
0.1%
Kalshi 0.1%polled, 40 min agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Kalshi
Contract
Elizabeth Warren
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 40 min ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$2.1M
Trade this on Kalshi
Alex Padilla
0%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 40 min agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Alex Padilla
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 40 min ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$1.0M
Trade this on Polymarket
George Clooney
0%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 40 min agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
George Clooney
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 40 min ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$43.5M
Trade this on Polymarket
Kim Kardashian
0%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 40 min agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Kim Kardashian
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 40 min ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$42.9M
Trade this on Polymarket
MrBeast
0%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 40 min agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
MrBeast
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 40 min ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$41.1M
Trade this on Polymarket
Oprah Winfrey
0%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 40 min agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Oprah Winfrey
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 40 min ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$54.4M
Trade this on Polymarket

Indicative gap, prices are 40 min old: Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez asks 14¢ on Kalshi and bids 16.2¢ on Polymarket (220 bps). Recheck both venues before trading. See all spreads

Mostly the same bet: one difference

Where they differ

  • Trading closes at different times: Nov 8, 2028, 4:59 AM UTC on Polymarket and Nov 7, 2028, 3:00 PM UTC on Kalshi.
Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Democratic Party
Show full rule comparison
  • Trading closes Nov 8, 2028, 4:59 AM UTC on Polymarket and Nov 7, 2028, 3:00 PM UTC on Kalshi.

Summarized from each venue’s published rules; the venue’s own rules page is the final word.

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Jon Ossoff
  • Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
  • Gavin Newsom

Live prices for Jon Ossoff

What it costs to buy Yes, what you would get selling it, and the last trade on each exchange, updating as orders change. Hover a status for timing details.

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Combined depth · both venues

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Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
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Spread
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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
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Spread
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Best ask
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Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.04 × price × (1 − price) per share (politics rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028". Jon Ossoff leads at 15.8%. Next is Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez at 15.6%. $1.5B has traded across 62 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 8, 2028.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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