The Prediction Markets

Denver Opening Game Starters

Closes
Nov 7, 2026, in 15 days
Traded
$11K
Venues
Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
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What the markets expect

Jamal Murray 99%

Next is Cameron Johnson at 98%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
Jamal Murray
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 35s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Jamal Murray
Last price
99%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
92¢
Volume
$210
Trade this on Kalshi
Cameron Johnson
98%
Kalshi 98%polled, 35s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Cameron Johnson
Last price
98%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
93¢
Volume
$794
Trade this on Kalshi
Christian Braun
98%
Kalshi 98%polled, 35s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Christian Braun
Last price
98%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
94¢
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Aaron Gordon
96%
Kalshi 96%polled, 35s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Aaron Gordon
Last price
96%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
89¢
Volume
$210
Trade this on Kalshi
Nikola Jokić
51%
Kalshi 51%polled, 35s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Nikola Jokić
Last price
51%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
2¢
Trade this on Kalshi
DaRon Holmes II
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 35s ago
Kalshi
Contract
DaRon Holmes II
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Trade this on Kalshi
Jalen Pickett
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 35s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Jalen Pickett
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Trade this on Kalshi
Julian Strawther
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 35s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Julian Strawther
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Trade this on Kalshi
Tyus Jones
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 35s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Tyus Jones
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Trade this on Kalshi
Zeke Nnaji
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 35s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Zeke Nnaji
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Trade this on Kalshi
Marvin Bagley III
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Kalshi
Contract
Marvin Bagley III
Last price
6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
18¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$556 (5.56x)
Volume
$1
Trade this on Kalshi
Peyton Watson
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Peyton Watson
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$8K
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ESPN, the Governing League

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Jamal Murray
  • Cameron Johnson
  • Christian Braun

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Denver Opening Game Starters". Jamal Murray leads at 99%. Next is Cameron Johnson at 98%. $11K has traded across 12 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 7, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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