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What the markets expect
Over 204.5 points 98%
Next is Over 206.5 points at 97%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Over 204.5 points98%98%97¢ bid, 98¢ askpolled, just now98¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $102 (1.02x)Over 204.5 points98%Kalshi 98%polled, just nowBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Over 204.5 points
98%
98%
97¢ bid, 98¢ ask
polled, just now
98¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Over 204.5 points
98%
Kalshi 98%polled, just nowBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 204.5 points
- Last price
- 98%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 98¢
- Sell Yes
- 97¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $102 (1.02x)
- Volume
- $1K
Over 206.5 points97%97%95¢ bid, 97¢ askpolled, just now97¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $103 (1.03x)Over 206.5 points97%Kalshi 97%polled, just nowBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Over 206.5 points
97%
97%
95¢ bid, 97¢ ask
polled, just now
97¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Over 206.5 points
97%
Kalshi 97%polled, just nowBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 206.5 points
- Last price
- 97%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 97¢
- Sell Yes
- 95¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $103 (1.03x)
- Volume
- $1K
Over 208.5 points95%95%94¢ bid, 95¢ askpolled, just now95¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $105 (1.05x)Over 208.5 points95%Kalshi 95%polled, just nowBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Over 208.5 points
95%
95%
94¢ bid, 95¢ ask
polled, just now
95¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Over 208.5 points
95%
Kalshi 95%polled, just nowBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 208.5 points
- Last price
- 95%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 95¢
- Sell Yes
- 94¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $105 (1.05x)
- Volume
- $864
Over 210.5 points94%94%93¢ bid, 94¢ askpolled, just now94¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $106 (1.06x)Over 210.5 points94%Kalshi 94%polled, just nowBest Yes 94¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Over 210.5 points
94%
94%
93¢ bid, 94¢ ask
polled, just now
94¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Over 210.5 points
94%
Kalshi 94%polled, just nowBest Yes 94¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 210.5 points
- Last price
- 94%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 94¢
- Sell Yes
- 93¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $106 (1.06x)
- Volume
- $937
Over 212.5 points92%92%92¢ bid, 93¢ askpolled, just now93¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $108 (1.08x)Over 212.5 points92%Kalshi 92%polled, just nowBest Yes 93¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Over 212.5 points
92%
92%
92¢ bid, 93¢ ask
polled, just now
93¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Over 212.5 points
92%
Kalshi 92%polled, just nowBest Yes 93¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 212.5 points
- Last price
- 92%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 93¢
- Sell Yes
- 92¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $108 (1.08x)
- Volume
- $478
Over 214.5 points91%91%90¢ bid, 91¢ askpolled, just now91¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $110 (1.10x)Over 214.5 points91%Kalshi 91%polled, just nowBest Yes 91¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $110 (1.10x)
Over 214.5 points
91%
91%
90¢ bid, 91¢ ask
polled, just now
91¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $110 (1.10x)
Over 214.5 points
91%
Kalshi 91%polled, just nowBest Yes 91¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $110 (1.10x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 214.5 points
- Last price
- 91%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 91¢
- Sell Yes
- 90¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $110 (1.10x)
- Volume
- $433
Over 216.5 points88%88%87¢ bid, 88¢ askpolled, just now88¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $114 (1.14x)Over 216.5 points88%Kalshi 88%polled, just nowBest Yes 88¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Over 216.5 points
88%
88%
87¢ bid, 88¢ ask
polled, just now
88¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Over 216.5 points
88%
Kalshi 88%polled, just nowBest Yes 88¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 216.5 points
- Last price
- 88%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 88¢
- Sell Yes
- 87¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $114 (1.14x)
- Volume
- $220
Over 218.5 points86%86%85¢ bid, 86¢ askpolled, just now86¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $116 (1.16x)Over 218.5 points86%Kalshi 86%polled, just nowBest Yes 86¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $116 (1.16x)
Over 218.5 points
86%
86%
85¢ bid, 86¢ ask
polled, just now
86¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $116 (1.16x)
Over 218.5 points
86%
Kalshi 86%polled, just nowBest Yes 86¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $116 (1.16x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 218.5 points
- Last price
- 86%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 86¢
- Sell Yes
- 85¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $116 (1.16x)
- Volume
- $53
Over 220.5 points83%83%82¢ bid, 83¢ askpolled, just now83¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $120 (1.20x)Over 220.5 points83%Kalshi 83%polled, just nowBest Yes 83¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $120 (1.20x)
Over 220.5 points
83%
83%
82¢ bid, 83¢ ask
polled, just now
83¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $120 (1.20x)
Over 220.5 points
83%
Kalshi 83%polled, just nowBest Yes 83¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $120 (1.20x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 220.5 points
- Last price
- 83%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 83¢
- Sell Yes
- 82¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $120 (1.20x)
- Volume
- $217
Over 222.5 points79%79%78¢ bid, 79¢ askpolled, just now79¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $127 (1.27x)Over 222.5 points79%Kalshi 79%polled, just nowBest Yes 79¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $127 (1.27x)
Over 222.5 points
79%
79%
78¢ bid, 79¢ ask
polled, just now
79¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $127 (1.27x)
Over 222.5 points
79%
Kalshi 79%polled, just nowBest Yes 79¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $127 (1.27x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 222.5 points
- Last price
- 79%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 79¢
- Sell Yes
- 78¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $127 (1.27x)
- Volume
- $82
Show 19 more outcomesHide 19 outcomes
Over 224.5 points76%76%75¢ bid, 76¢ askpolled, just now76¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $132 (1.32x)Over 224.5 points76%Kalshi 76%polled, just nowBest Yes 76¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $132 (1.32x)
Over 224.5 points
76%
76%
75¢ bid, 76¢ ask
polled, just now
76¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $132 (1.32x)
Over 224.5 points
76%
Kalshi 76%polled, just nowBest Yes 76¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $132 (1.32x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 224.5 points
- Last price
- 76%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 76¢
- Sell Yes
- 75¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $132 (1.32x)
- Volume
- $786
Over 226.5 points71%71%71¢ bid, 72¢ askpolled, just now72¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $139 (1.39x)Over 226.5 points71%Kalshi 71%polled, just nowBest Yes 72¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $139 (1.39x)
Over 226.5 points
71%
71%
71¢ bid, 72¢ ask
polled, just now
72¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $139 (1.39x)
Over 226.5 points
71%
Kalshi 71%polled, just nowBest Yes 72¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $139 (1.39x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 226.5 points
- Last price
- 71%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 72¢
- Sell Yes
- 71¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $139 (1.39x)
- Volume
- $753
Over 228.5 points68%68%67¢ bid, 68¢ askpolled, just now68¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $147 (1.47x)Over 228.5 points68%Kalshi 68%polled, just nowBest Yes 68¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $147 (1.47x)
Over 228.5 points
68%
68%
67¢ bid, 68¢ ask
polled, just now
68¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $147 (1.47x)
Over 228.5 points
68%
Kalshi 68%polled, just nowBest Yes 68¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $147 (1.47x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 228.5 points
- Last price
- 68%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 68¢
- Sell Yes
- 67¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $147 (1.47x)
- Volume
- $923
Over 230.5 points65%65%64¢ bid, 65¢ askpolled, just now65¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $154 (1.54x)Over 230.5 points65%Kalshi 65%polled, just nowBest Yes 65¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $154 (1.54x)
Over 230.5 points
65%
65%
64¢ bid, 65¢ ask
polled, just now
65¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $154 (1.54x)
Over 230.5 points
65%
Kalshi 65%polled, just nowBest Yes 65¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $154 (1.54x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 230.5 points
- Last price
- 65%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 65¢
- Sell Yes
- 64¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $154 (1.54x)
- Volume
- $2K
Over 232.5 points61%61%60¢ bid, 61¢ askpolled, just now61¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $164 (1.64x)Over 232.5 points61%Kalshi 61%polled, just nowBest Yes 61¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $164 (1.64x)
Over 232.5 points
61%
61%
60¢ bid, 61¢ ask
polled, just now
61¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $164 (1.64x)
Over 232.5 points
61%
Kalshi 61%polled, just nowBest Yes 61¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $164 (1.64x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 232.5 points
- Last price
- 61%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 61¢
- Sell Yes
- 60¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $164 (1.64x)
- Volume
- $3K
Over 234.5 points56%56%55¢ bid, 56¢ askpolled, just now56¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $179 (1.79x)Over 234.5 points56%Kalshi 56%polled, just nowBest Yes 56¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $179 (1.79x)
Over 234.5 points
56%
56%
55¢ bid, 56¢ ask
polled, just now
56¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $179 (1.79x)
Over 234.5 points
56%
Kalshi 56%polled, just nowBest Yes 56¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $179 (1.79x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 234.5 points
- Last price
- 56%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 56¢
- Sell Yes
- 55¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $179 (1.79x)
- Volume
- $12K
Over 236.5 points49%49%49¢ bid, 51¢ askpolled, just now51¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $196 (1.96x)Over 236.5 points49%Kalshi 49%polled, just nowBest Yes 51¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Over 236.5 points
49%
49%
49¢ bid, 51¢ ask
polled, just now
51¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Over 236.5 points
49%
Kalshi 49%polled, just nowBest Yes 51¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 236.5 points
- Last price
- 49%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 51¢
- Sell Yes
- 49¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $196 (1.96x)
- Volume
- $42K
Over 238.5 points46%46%44¢ bid, 46¢ askpolled, just now46¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $217 (2.17x)Over 238.5 points46%Kalshi 46%polled, just nowBest Yes 46¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $217 (2.17x)
Over 238.5 points
46%
46%
44¢ bid, 46¢ ask
polled, just now
46¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $217 (2.17x)
Over 238.5 points
46%
Kalshi 46%polled, just nowBest Yes 46¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $217 (2.17x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 238.5 points
- Last price
- 46%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 46¢
- Sell Yes
- 44¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $217 (2.17x)
- Volume
- $1K
Over 240.5 points40%40%40¢ bid, 41¢ askpolled, just now41¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $244 (2.44x)Over 240.5 points40%Kalshi 40%polled, just nowBest Yes 41¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $244 (2.44x)
Over 240.5 points
40%
40%
40¢ bid, 41¢ ask
polled, just now
41¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $244 (2.44x)
Over 240.5 points
40%
Kalshi 40%polled, just nowBest Yes 41¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $244 (2.44x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 240.5 points
- Last price
- 40%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 41¢
- Sell Yes
- 40¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $244 (2.44x)
- Volume
- $1K
Over 242.5 points37%37%37¢ bid, 38¢ askpolled, just now38¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $263 (2.63x)Over 242.5 points37%Kalshi 37%polled, just nowBest Yes 38¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Over 242.5 points
37%
37%
37¢ bid, 38¢ ask
polled, just now
38¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Over 242.5 points
37%
Kalshi 37%polled, just nowBest Yes 38¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 242.5 points
- Last price
- 37%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 38¢
- Sell Yes
- 37¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $263 (2.63x)
- Volume
- $254
Over 244.5 points32%32%32¢ bid, 34¢ askpolled, just now34¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $294 (2.94x)Over 244.5 points32%Kalshi 32%polled, just nowBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Over 244.5 points
32%
32%
32¢ bid, 34¢ ask
polled, just now
34¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Over 244.5 points
32%
Kalshi 32%polled, just nowBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 244.5 points
- Last price
- 32%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 34¢
- Sell Yes
- 32¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $294 (2.94x)
- Volume
- $97
Over 246.5 points28%28%27¢ bid, 28¢ askpolled, just now28¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $357 (3.57x)Over 246.5 points28%Kalshi 28%polled, just nowBest Yes 28¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Over 246.5 points
28%
28%
27¢ bid, 28¢ ask
polled, just now
28¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Over 246.5 points
28%
Kalshi 28%polled, just nowBest Yes 28¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 246.5 points
- Last price
- 28%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 28¢
- Sell Yes
- 27¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $357 (3.57x)
- Volume
- $533
Over 248.5 points26%26%25¢ bid, 26¢ askpolled, just now26¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $385 (3.85x)Over 248.5 points26%Kalshi 26%polled, just nowBest Yes 26¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $385 (3.85x)
Over 248.5 points
26%
26%
25¢ bid, 26¢ ask
polled, just now
26¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $385 (3.85x)
Over 248.5 points
26%
Kalshi 26%polled, just nowBest Yes 26¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $385 (3.85x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 248.5 points
- Last price
- 26%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 26¢
- Sell Yes
- 25¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $385 (3.85x)
- Volume
- $123
Over 250.5 points21%21%21¢ bid, 22¢ askpolled, just now22¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $455 (4.55x)Over 250.5 points21%Kalshi 21%polled, just nowBest Yes 22¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Over 250.5 points
21%
21%
21¢ bid, 22¢ ask
polled, just now
22¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Over 250.5 points
21%
Kalshi 21%polled, just nowBest Yes 22¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 250.5 points
- Last price
- 21%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 22¢
- Sell Yes
- 21¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $455 (4.55x)
- Volume
- $151
Over 252.5 points18%18%18¢ bid, 20¢ askpolled, just now20¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $500 (5.00x)Over 252.5 points18%Kalshi 18%polled, just nowBest Yes 20¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Over 252.5 points
18%
18%
18¢ bid, 20¢ ask
polled, just now
20¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Over 252.5 points
18%
Kalshi 18%polled, just nowBest Yes 20¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 252.5 points
- Last price
- 18%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 20¢
- Sell Yes
- 18¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $500 (5.00x)
- Volume
- $32
Over 254.5 points16%16%16¢ bid, 17¢ askpolled, just now17¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $588 (5.88x)Over 254.5 points16%Kalshi 16%polled, just nowBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Over 254.5 points
16%
16%
16¢ bid, 17¢ ask
polled, just now
17¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Over 254.5 points
16%
Kalshi 16%polled, just nowBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 254.5 points
- Last price
- 16%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 17¢
- Sell Yes
- 16¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $588 (5.88x)
- Volume
- $1
Over 256.5 points13%13%13¢ bid, 15¢ askpolled, just now15¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $667 (6.67x)Over 256.5 points13%Kalshi 13%polled, just nowBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Over 256.5 points
13%
13%
13¢ bid, 15¢ ask
polled, just now
15¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Over 256.5 points
13%
Kalshi 13%polled, just nowBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 256.5 points
- Last price
- 13%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 15¢
- Sell Yes
- 13¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $667 (6.67x)
- Volume
- $7
Over 258.5 points12%12%11¢ bid, 12¢ askpolled, just now12¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $833 (8.33x)Over 258.5 points12%Kalshi 12%polled, just nowBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Over 258.5 points
12%
12%
11¢ bid, 12¢ ask
polled, just now
12¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Over 258.5 points
12%
Kalshi 12%polled, just nowBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 258.5 points
- Last price
- 12%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 12¢
- Sell Yes
- 11¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $833 (8.33x)
- Volume
- $249
Over 260.5 points10%10%9¢ bid, 10¢ askpolled, just now10¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)Over 260.5 points10%Kalshi 10%polled, just nowBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Over 260.5 points
10%
10%
9¢ bid, 10¢ ask
polled, just now
10¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Over 260.5 points
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, just nowBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 260.5 points
- Last price
- 10%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- 9¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
- Volume
- $1K
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: the Governing League, ESPN
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Over 204.5 points
- Over 206.5 points
- Over 208.5 points
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Denver vs Oklahoma City: Total Points". Over 204.5 points leads at 98%. Next is Over 206.5 points at 97%. $72K has traded across 29 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 25, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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