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What the markets expect
Over 49.5 points 90%
Next is Over 51.5 points at 88%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 3 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Over 49.5 points90%90%82¢ bid, 98¢ askpolled, 3 min ago98¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $102 (1.02x)Over 49.5 points90%Kalshi 90%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Over 49.5 points
90%
90%
82¢ bid, 98¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
98¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Over 49.5 points
90%
Kalshi 90%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 49.5 points
- Last price
- 90%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 98¢
- Sell Yes
- 82¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $102 (1.02x)
Over 51.5 points88%88%79¢ bid, 97¢ askpolled, 3 min ago97¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $103 (1.03x)Over 51.5 points88%Kalshi 88%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Over 51.5 points
88%
88%
79¢ bid, 97¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
97¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Over 51.5 points
88%
Kalshi 88%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 51.5 points
- Last price
- 88%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 97¢
- Sell Yes
- 79¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $103 (1.03x)
Over 53.5 points83.5%83.5%73¢ bid, 94¢ askpolled, 3 min ago94¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $106 (1.06x)Over 53.5 points83.5%Kalshi 83.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 94¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Over 53.5 points
83.5%
83.5%
73¢ bid, 94¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
94¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Over 53.5 points
83.5%
Kalshi 83.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 94¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 53.5 points
- Last price
- 83.5%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 94¢
- Sell Yes
- 73¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $106 (1.06x)
Over 55.5 points78%78%67¢ bid, 89¢ askpolled, 3 min ago89¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $112 (1.12x)Over 55.5 points78%Kalshi 78%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 89¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Over 55.5 points
78%
78%
67¢ bid, 89¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
89¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Over 55.5 points
78%
Kalshi 78%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 89¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 55.5 points
- Last price
- 78%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 89¢
- Sell Yes
- 67¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $112 (1.12x)
Over 57.5 points67%67%62¢ bid, 72¢ askpolled, 3 min ago72¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $139 (1.39x)Over 57.5 points67%Kalshi 67%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 72¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $139 (1.39x)
Over 57.5 points
67%
67%
62¢ bid, 72¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
72¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $139 (1.39x)
Over 57.5 points
67%
Kalshi 67%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 72¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $139 (1.39x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 57.5 points
- Last price
- 67%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 72¢
- Sell Yes
- 62¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $139 (1.39x)
Over 59.5 points55%55%55¢ bid, 61¢ askpolled, 3 min ago61¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $164 (1.64x)Over 59.5 points55%Kalshi 55%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 61¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $164 (1.64x)
Over 59.5 points
55%
55%
55¢ bid, 61¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
61¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $164 (1.64x)
Over 59.5 points
55%
Kalshi 55%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 61¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $164 (1.64x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 59.5 points
- Last price
- 55%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 61¢
- Sell Yes
- 55¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $164 (1.64x)
- Volume
- $20
Over 61.5 points46%46%46¢ bid, 47¢ askpolled, 3 min ago47¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $213 (2.13x)Over 61.5 points46%Kalshi 46%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 47¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Over 61.5 points
46%
46%
46¢ bid, 47¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
47¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Over 61.5 points
46%
Kalshi 46%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 47¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 61.5 points
- Last price
- 46%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 47¢
- Sell Yes
- 46¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $213 (2.13x)
- Volume
- $4K
Over 63.5 points37%37%37¢ bid, 39¢ askpolled, 3 min ago39¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $256 (2.56x)Over 63.5 points37%Kalshi 37%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 39¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Over 63.5 points
37%
37%
37¢ bid, 39¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
39¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Over 63.5 points
37%
Kalshi 37%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 39¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 63.5 points
- Last price
- 37%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 39¢
- Sell Yes
- 37¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $256 (2.56x)
- Volume
- $75
Over 65.5 points28%28%28¢ bid, 32¢ askpolled, 3 min ago32¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $313 (3.13x)Over 65.5 points28%Kalshi 28%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 32¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Over 65.5 points
28%
28%
28¢ bid, 32¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
32¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Over 65.5 points
28%
Kalshi 28%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 32¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 65.5 points
- Last price
- 28%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 32¢
- Sell Yes
- 28¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $313 (3.13x)
- Volume
- $12
Over 67.5 points23.5%23.5%20¢ bid, 27¢ askpolled, 3 min ago27¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $370 (3.70x)Over 67.5 points23.5%Kalshi 23.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 27¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Over 67.5 points
23.5%
23.5%
20¢ bid, 27¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
27¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Over 67.5 points
23.5%
Kalshi 23.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 27¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 67.5 points
- Last price
- 23.5%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 27¢
- Sell Yes
- 20¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $370 (3.70x)
Show 3 more outcomesHide 3 outcomes
Over 69.5 points15%15%10¢ bid, 20¢ askpolled, 3 min ago20¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $500 (5.00x)Over 69.5 points15%Kalshi 15%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 20¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Over 69.5 points
15%
15%
10¢ bid, 20¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
20¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Over 69.5 points
15%
Kalshi 15%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 20¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 69.5 points
- Last price
- 15%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 20¢
- Sell Yes
- 10¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $500 (5.00x)
Over 71.5 points12%12%9¢ bid, 15¢ askpolled, 3 min ago15¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $667 (6.67x)Over 71.5 points12%Kalshi 12%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Over 71.5 points
12%
12%
9¢ bid, 15¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
15¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Over 71.5 points
12%
Kalshi 12%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 71.5 points
- Last price
- 12%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 15¢
- Sell Yes
- 9¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $667 (6.67x)
Over 73.5 points9%9%8¢ bid, 10¢ askpolled, 3 min ago10¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)Over 73.5 points9%Kalshi 9%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Over 73.5 points
9%
9%
8¢ bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
10¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Over 73.5 points
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 73.5 points
- Last price
- 9%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- 8¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: the Governing League, ESPN
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Over 49.5 points
- Over 51.5 points
- Over 53.5 points
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Detroit vs Miami: 1st Quarter Total". Over 49.5 points leads at 90%. Next is Over 51.5 points at 88%. $4K has traded across 13 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 26, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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