The Prediction Markets

DFB-Pokal: 2026-27 Champion

Closes
May 29, 2027, in 7 months
Traded
$54K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

Bayern Munich 46.2%

Next is Borussia Dortmund at 13.2%. The venues differ most on Bayern Munich (Polymarket 40.7%, Kalshi 48%), a 7.3-point gap.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Bayern MunichArb
46.2%
Polymarket 40.7%polled, 40s agoKalshi 48%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 41.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $242 (2.42x)
Polymarket
Contract
Bayern Munich
Last price
40.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
41.3¢
Sell Yes
40.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$242 (2.42x)
Volume
$461
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Bayern Munich
Last price
48%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
51¢
Sell Yes
48¢
$100 on Yes pays
$196 (1.96x)
Volume
$20K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 41.3¢ and selling on Kalshi at 48¢ nets 670 bps before fees.

Borussia Dortmund
13.2%
Polymarket 13.2%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 15.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $654 (6.54x)
Polymarket
Contract
Borussia Dortmund
Last price
13.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
15.3¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$654 (6.54x)
Volume
$644
Trade this on Polymarket
Dortmund
12%
Kalshi 12%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Dortmund
Last price
12%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Greuther Fürth
10.1%
Polymarket 10.1%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 19.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $503 (5.03x)
Polymarket
Contract
Greuther Fürth
Last price
10.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
19.9¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$503 (5.03x)
Volume
$338
Trade this on Polymarket
Leverkusen
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
Contract
Leverkusen
Last price
8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Hamburg
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Hamburg
Last price
7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Wolfsburg
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Wolfsburg
Last price
7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Bayer Leverkusen
6.7%
Polymarket 6.7%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 8.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,149 (11.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Bayer Leverkusen
Last price
6.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8.7¢
Sell Yes
4.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,149 (11.5x)
Volume
$287
Trade this on Polymarket
Karlsruher SC
6.1%
Polymarket 6.1%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 12.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $826 (8.26x)
Polymarket
Contract
Karlsruher SC
Last price
6.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
12.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$826 (8.26x)
Volume
$214
Trade this on Polymarket
Freiburg
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Freiburg
Last price
5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$860
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 45 more outcomes
RB Leipzig
4.3%
Polymarket 4.3%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 7.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,333 (13.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
RB Leipzig
Last price
4.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7.5¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,333 (13.3x)
Volume
$263
Trade this on Polymarket
Leipzig
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Leipzig
Last price
4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$920
Trade this on Kalshi
Stuttgart
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Stuttgart
Last price
4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$812
Trade this on Kalshi
Hertha BSC
3.9%
Polymarket 3.9%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 7.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,282 (12.8x)
Polymarket
Contract
Hertha BSC
Last price
3.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7.8¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,282 (12.8x)
Volume
$367
Trade this on Polymarket
Frankfurt
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Frankfurt
Last price
3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$810
Trade this on Kalshi
VfB Stuttgart
2.9%
Polymarket 2.9%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 5.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,754 (17.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
VfB Stuttgart
Last price
2.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5.7¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,754 (17.5x)
Volume
$301
Trade this on Polymarket
Eintracht Frankfurt
2.4%
Polymarket 2.4%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 4.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,128 (21.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Eintracht Frankfurt
Last price
2.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.7¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,128 (21.3x)
Volume
$238
Trade this on Polymarket
1. FC Nürnberg
2%
Polymarket 2%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 3.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,857 (28.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
1. FC Nürnberg
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3.5¢
Sell Yes
0.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,857 (28.6x)
Volume
$374
Trade this on Polymarket
FC St. Pauli
1.9%
Polymarket 1.9%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 3.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,941 (29.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
FC St. Pauli
Last price
1.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3.4¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,941 (29.4x)
Volume
$167
Trade this on Polymarket
Eintracht Braunschweig
1.8%
Polymarket 1.8%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 3.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,030 (30.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Eintracht Braunschweig
Last price
1.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3.3¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,030 (30.3x)
Volume
$344
Trade this on Polymarket
Union Berlin
1.5%
Polymarket 3.1%polled, 40s agoKalshi 1%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Union Berlin
Last price
3.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$240
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Union Berlin
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.2¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

SC Freiburg
1.4%
Polymarket 1.4%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 2.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,704 (37.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
SC Freiburg
Last price
1.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,704 (37.0x)
Volume
$228
Trade this on Polymarket
VfL Wolfsburg
1.1%
Polymarket 1.1%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 1.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,556 (55.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
VfL Wolfsburg
Last price
1.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.8¢
Sell Yes
0.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,556 (55.6x)
Volume
$307
Trade this on Polymarket
Augsburg
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Augsburg
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Bremen
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Bremen
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Elversberg
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Elversberg
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
FC Cologne
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
FC Cologne
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$900
Trade this on Kalshi
Heidenheim
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Heidenheim
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Hoffenheim
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Hoffenheim
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$847
Trade this on Kalshi
M´gladbach
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
M´gladbach
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$969
Trade this on Kalshi
Mainz
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Mainz
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Paderborn
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Paderborn
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Schalke
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Schalke
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
St. Pauli
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
St. Pauli
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
1. FC Köln
1%
Polymarket 1%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 1.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,882 (58.8x)
Polymarket
Contract
1. FC Köln
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.7¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,882 (58.8x)
Volume
$234
Trade this on Polymarket
FC Augsburg
0.9%
Polymarket 0.9%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 1.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $6,250 (62.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
FC Augsburg
Last price
0.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.6¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$6,250 (62.5x)
Volume
$234
Trade this on Polymarket
Werder Bremen
0.9%
Polymarket 0.9%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 1.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $6,250 (62.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Werder Bremen
Last price
0.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.6¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$6,250 (62.5x)
Volume
$234
Trade this on Polymarket
Schalke 04
0.9%
Polymarket 0.9%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 1.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $6,667 (66.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Schalke 04
Last price
0.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.5¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$6,667 (66.7x)
Volume
$234
Trade this on Polymarket
TSG Hoffenheim
0.9%
Polymarket 0.9%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 1.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $6,250 (62.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
TSG Hoffenheim
Last price
0.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.6¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$6,250 (62.5x)
Volume
$238
Trade this on Polymarket
Borussia Mönchengladbach
0.7%
Polymarket 0.7%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 1.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $9,091 (90.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Last price
0.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.1¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$9,091 (90.9x)
Volume
$234
Trade this on Polymarket
Mainz 05
0.7%
Polymarket 0.7%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 1.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $9,091 (90.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Mainz 05
Last price
0.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.1¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$9,091 (90.9x)
Volume
$234
Trade this on Polymarket
Arminia Bielefeld
0.6%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 1.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $8,333 (83.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Arminia Bielefeld
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$8,333 (83.3x)
Volume
$201
Trade this on Polymarket
Hamburger SV
0.6%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Hamburger SV
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$234
Trade this on Polymarket
SC Paderborn
0.4%
Polymarket 0.4%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 0.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $12,500 (125x)
Polymarket
Contract
SC Paderborn
Last price
0.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.8¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$12,500 (125x)
Volume
$214
Trade this on Polymarket
Holstein Kiel
0.3%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 0.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $16,667 (167x)
Polymarket
Contract
Holstein Kiel
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.6¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$16,667 (167x)
Volume
$214
Trade this on Polymarket
1. FC Heidenheim
0.3%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Polymarket
Contract
1. FC Heidenheim
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$20,000 (200x)
Volume
$172
Trade this on Polymarket
1. FC Kaiserslautern
0.3%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Polymarket
Contract
1. FC Kaiserslautern
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$20,000 (200x)
Volume
$219
Trade this on Polymarket
1. FC Magdeburg
0.3%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Polymarket
Contract
1. FC Magdeburg
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$20,000 (200x)
Volume
$214
Trade this on Polymarket
Darmstadt 98
0.3%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Polymarket
Contract
Darmstadt 98
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$20,000 (200x)
Volume
$234
Trade this on Polymarket
Dynamo Dresden
0.3%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Polymarket
Contract
Dynamo Dresden
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$20,000 (200x)
Volume
$209
Trade this on Polymarket
Hannover 96
0.3%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Polymarket
Contract
Hannover 96
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$20,000 (200x)
Volume
$214
Trade this on Polymarket
SV Elversberg
0.3%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Polymarket
Contract
SV Elversberg
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$20,000 (200x)
Volume
$214
Trade this on Polymarket
VfL Bochum
0.3%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Polymarket
Contract
VfL Bochum
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$20,000 (200x)
Volume
$214
Trade this on Polymarket
Energie Cottbus
0.2%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Polymarket
Contract
Energie Cottbus
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.4¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$25,000 (250x)
Volume
$179
Trade this on Polymarket
VfL Osnabrück
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
VfL Osnabrück
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$213
Trade this on Polymarket

Possible arbitrage before fees: buy Bayern Munich on Polymarket at 41.3¢, sell on Kalshi at 48¢ (670 bps). Check the rules below before trading. See all live spreads

Mostly the same bet: one difference

Where they differ

  • Trading closes at different times: May 29, 2027, 11:59 PM UTC on Polymarket and Jun 12, 2027, 6:00 PM UTC on Kalshi.
Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ESPN, Fox Sports
Show full rule comparison
  • Trading closes May 29, 2027, 11:59 PM UTC on Polymarket and Jun 12, 2027, 6:00 PM UTC on Kalshi.

Summarized from each venue’s published rules; the venue’s own rules page is the final word.

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Bayern Munich
  • Borussia Dortmund
  • Dortmund

Live prices for Bayern Munich

What it costs to buy Yes, what you would get selling it, and the last trade on each exchange, updating as orders change. Hover a status for timing details.

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Combined depth · both venues

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Top of book

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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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Top of book

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Best bid
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Spread
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Best ask
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Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

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Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "DFB-Pokal: 2026-27 Champion". Bayern Munich leads at 46.2%. Next is Borussia Dortmund at 13.2%. $54K has traded across 55 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by May 29, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the club that wins the 2026-27 DFB-Pokal. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed club to win the 2026-27 DFB-Pokal per the rules of the competition (e.g., they are eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 DFB-Pokal is cancelled, postponed after June 12, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from the Deutscher Fußball-Bund (DFB); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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