The Prediction Markets

DFB Pokal Champion

Closes
Jun 12, 2027, in 8 months
Traded
$54K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
1 h ago
Share

What the markets expect

Bayern Munich 48.5%

Next is Borussia Dortmund at 13%. The venues differ most on Bayern Munich (Polymarket 40.9%, Kalshi 51%), a 10-point gap.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 h ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Bayern Munich
48.5%
Polymarket 40.9%polled, 1 h agoKalshi 51%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 41.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $240 (2.40x)
Polymarket
Contract
Bayern Munich
Last price
40.9%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
41.6¢
Sell Yes
40.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$240 (2.40x)
Volume
$461
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Bayern Munich
Last price
51%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
51¢
Sell Yes
48¢
$100 on Yes pays
$196 (1.96x)
Volume
$20K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Indicative only, prices are 1 h old: Buying on Polymarket at 41.6¢ and selling on Kalshi at 48¢ nets 640 bps before fees.

Borussia Dortmund
13%
Polymarket 13%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 14.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $690 (6.90x)
Polymarket
Contract
Borussia Dortmund
Last price
13%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
14.5¢
Sell Yes
11.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$690 (6.90x)
Volume
$644
Trade this on Polymarket
Dortmund
12%
Kalshi 12%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Dortmund
Last price
12%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Greuther Fürth
10.1%
Polymarket 10.1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 19.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $503 (5.03x)
Polymarket
Contract
Greuther Fürth
Last price
10.1%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
19.9¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$503 (5.03x)
Volume
$338
Trade this on Polymarket
Leverkusen
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
Contract
Leverkusen
Last price
8%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Hamburg
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Hamburg
Last price
7%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Wolfsburg
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Wolfsburg
Last price
7%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Karlsruher SC
5.6%
Polymarket 5.6%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 11.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $901 (9.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
Karlsruher SC
Last price
5.6%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
11.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$901 (9.01x)
Volume
$214
Trade this on Polymarket
Bayer Leverkusen
5.5%
Polymarket 5.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 6.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,563 (15.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
Bayer Leverkusen
Last price
5.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
6.4¢
Sell Yes
4.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,563 (15.6x)
Volume
$287
Trade this on Polymarket
Freiburg
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Freiburg
Last price
5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$860
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 45 more outcomes
RB Leipzig
4.3%
Polymarket 4.3%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 7.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,333 (13.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
RB Leipzig
Last price
4.3%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
7.5¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,333 (13.3x)
Volume
$263
Trade this on Polymarket
Leipzig
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Leipzig
Last price
4%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$920
Trade this on Kalshi
Stuttgart
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Stuttgart
Last price
4%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$812
Trade this on Kalshi
Eintracht Braunschweig
3.6%
Polymarket 3.6%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 5.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,852 (18.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Eintracht Braunschweig
Last price
3.6%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
5.4¢
Sell Yes
1.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,852 (18.5x)
Volume
$344
Trade this on Polymarket
Frankfurt
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Frankfurt
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$810
Trade this on Kalshi
VfB Stuttgart
3%
Polymarket 3%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 5.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,754 (17.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
VfB Stuttgart
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
5.7¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,754 (17.5x)
Volume
$301
Trade this on Polymarket
Eintracht Frankfurt
2.5%
Polymarket 2.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 4.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,128 (21.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Eintracht Frankfurt
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
4.7¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,128 (21.3x)
Volume
$238
Trade this on Polymarket
Hertha BSC
2.1%
Polymarket 2.1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Hertha BSC
Last price
2.1%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$367
Trade this on Polymarket
1. FC Nürnberg
2%
Polymarket 2%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 3.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,857 (28.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
1. FC Nürnberg
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
3.5¢
Sell Yes
0.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,857 (28.6x)
Volume
$374
Trade this on Polymarket
FC St. Pauli
1.9%
Polymarket 1.9%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 3.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,941 (29.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
FC St. Pauli
Last price
1.9%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
3.4¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,941 (29.4x)
Volume
$167
Trade this on Polymarket
Union Berlin
1.5%
Polymarket 3%polled, 1 h agoKalshi 1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Union Berlin
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
5.8¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,724 (17.2x)
Volume
$240
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Union Berlin
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Indicative only, prices are 1 h old: No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

SC Freiburg
1.4%
Polymarket 1.4%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 2.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,704 (37.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
SC Freiburg
Last price
1.4%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
2.7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,704 (37.0x)
Volume
$228
Trade this on Polymarket
VfL Wolfsburg
1.1%
Polymarket 1.1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 1.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,556 (55.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
VfL Wolfsburg
Last price
1.1%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
1.8¢
Sell Yes
0.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,556 (55.6x)
Volume
$307
Trade this on Polymarket
Augsburg
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Augsburg
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Bremen
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Bremen
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Elversberg
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Elversberg
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
FC Cologne
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
FC Cologne
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$900
Trade this on Kalshi
Heidenheim
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Heidenheim
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Hoffenheim
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Hoffenheim
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$847
Trade this on Kalshi
M´gladbach
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
M´gladbach
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$969
Trade this on Kalshi
Mainz
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Mainz
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Paderborn
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Paderborn
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Schalke
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Schalke
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
St. Pauli
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
St. Pauli
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
1. FC Köln
1%
Polymarket 1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 1.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,882 (58.8x)
Polymarket
Contract
1. FC Köln
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
1.7¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,882 (58.8x)
Volume
$234
Trade this on Polymarket
FC Augsburg
1%
Polymarket 1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 1.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,882 (58.8x)
Polymarket
Contract
FC Augsburg
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
1.7¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,882 (58.8x)
Volume
$234
Trade this on Polymarket
TSG Hoffenheim
0.9%
Polymarket 0.9%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 1.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $6,250 (62.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
TSG Hoffenheim
Last price
0.9%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
1.6¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$6,250 (62.5x)
Volume
$238
Trade this on Polymarket
Werder Bremen
0.9%
Polymarket 0.9%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 1.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $6,250 (62.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Werder Bremen
Last price
0.9%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
1.6¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$6,250 (62.5x)
Volume
$234
Trade this on Polymarket
Schalke 04
0.8%
Polymarket 0.8%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 1.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $7,143 (71.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Schalke 04
Last price
0.8%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
1.4¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$7,143 (71.4x)
Volume
$234
Trade this on Polymarket
Borussia Mönchengladbach
0.7%
Polymarket 0.7%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 1.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $9,091 (90.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Last price
0.7%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
1.1¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$9,091 (90.9x)
Volume
$234
Trade this on Polymarket
Mainz 05
0.7%
Polymarket 0.7%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 1.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $9,091 (90.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Mainz 05
Last price
0.7%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
1.1¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$9,091 (90.9x)
Volume
$234
Trade this on Polymarket
Arminia Bielefeld
0.6%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 1.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $8,333 (83.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Arminia Bielefeld
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
1.2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$8,333 (83.3x)
Volume
$203
Trade this on Polymarket
Hamburger SV
0.6%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Hamburger SV
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$234
Trade this on Polymarket
SC Paderborn
0.4%
Polymarket 0.4%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 0.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $12,500 (125x)
Polymarket
Contract
SC Paderborn
Last price
0.4%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
0.8¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$12,500 (125x)
Volume
$214
Trade this on Polymarket
Holstein Kiel
0.3%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 0.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $16,667 (167x)
Polymarket
Contract
Holstein Kiel
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
0.6¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$16,667 (167x)
Volume
$214
Trade this on Polymarket
1. FC Heidenheim
0.3%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Polymarket
Contract
1. FC Heidenheim
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
0.5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$20,000 (200x)
Volume
$172
Trade this on Polymarket
1. FC Kaiserslautern
0.3%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Polymarket
Contract
1. FC Kaiserslautern
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
0.5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$20,000 (200x)
Volume
$219
Trade this on Polymarket
1. FC Magdeburg
0.3%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Polymarket
Contract
1. FC Magdeburg
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
0.5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$20,000 (200x)
Volume
$214
Trade this on Polymarket
Darmstadt 98
0.3%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Polymarket
Contract
Darmstadt 98
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
0.5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$20,000 (200x)
Volume
$234
Trade this on Polymarket
Dynamo Dresden
0.3%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Polymarket
Contract
Dynamo Dresden
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
0.5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$20,000 (200x)
Volume
$211
Trade this on Polymarket
Hannover 96
0.3%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Polymarket
Contract
Hannover 96
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
0.5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$20,000 (200x)
Volume
$214
Trade this on Polymarket
SV Elversberg
0.3%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Polymarket
Contract
SV Elversberg
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
0.5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$20,000 (200x)
Volume
$214
Trade this on Polymarket
VfL Bochum
0.3%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Polymarket
Contract
VfL Bochum
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
0.5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$20,000 (200x)
Volume
$214
Trade this on Polymarket
Energie Cottbus
0.2%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Polymarket
Contract
Energie Cottbus
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
0.4¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$25,000 (250x)
Volume
$181
Trade this on Polymarket
VfL Osnabrück
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
VfL Osnabrück
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$213
Trade this on Polymarket

Indicative gap, prices are 1 h old: Bayern Munich asks 41.6¢ on Polymarket and bids 48¢ on Kalshi (640 bps). Recheck both venues before trading. See all spreads

Mostly the same bet: one difference

Where they differ

  • Trading closes at different times: May 29, 2027, 11:59 PM UTC on Polymarket and Jun 12, 2027, 6:00 PM UTC on Kalshi.
Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ESPN, Fox Sports
Show full rule comparison
  • Trading closes May 29, 2027, 11:59 PM UTC on Polymarket and Jun 12, 2027, 6:00 PM UTC on Kalshi.

Summarized from each venue’s published rules; the venue’s own rules page is the final word.

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Bayern Munich
  • Borussia Dortmund
  • Dortmund

Live prices for Bayern Munich

What it costs to buy Yes, what you would get selling it, and the last trade on each exchange, updating as orders change. Hover a status for timing details.

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Combined depth · both venues

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Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

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Best bid
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Best ask
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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
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Spread
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Best ask
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Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

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Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "DFB Pokal Champion". Bayern Munich leads at 48.5%. Next is Borussia Dortmund at 13%. $54K has traded across 55 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Jun 12, 2027.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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