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Trading ended on Jun 21, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 125 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Above 5K99%99%96¢ bid, — askpolled, 3017 h agoNo askAbove 5K99%Kalshi 99%polled, 3017 h ago
Above 5K
99%
99%
96¢ bid, — ask
polled, 3017 h ago
No ask
Above 5K
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 3017 h ago
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 5K
- Last price
- 99%
- As of
- Polled 125 d ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 96¢
- Volume
- $577
Above 10K99%99%99¢ bid, — askpolled, 3017 h agoNo askAbove 10K99%Kalshi 99%polled, 3017 h ago
Above 10K
99%
99%
99¢ bid, — ask
polled, 3017 h ago
No ask
Above 10K
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 3017 h ago
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 10K
- Last price
- 99%
- As of
- Polled 125 d ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 99¢
- Volume
- $10K
Above 15K98%98%97¢ bid, — askpolled, 3017 h agoNo askAbove 15K98%Kalshi 98%polled, 3017 h ago
Above 15K
98%
98%
97¢ bid, — ask
polled, 3017 h ago
No ask
Above 15K
98%
Kalshi 98%polled, 3017 h ago
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 15K
- Last price
- 98%
- As of
- Polled 125 d ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 97¢
- Volume
- $4K
Above 20K13%13%6¢ bid, 15¢ askpolled, 3017 h ago15¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $667 (6.67x)Above 20K13%Kalshi 13%polled, 3017 h agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Above 20K
13%
13%
6¢ bid, 15¢ ask
polled, 3017 h ago
15¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Above 20K
13%
Kalshi 13%polled, 3017 h agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 20K
- Last price
- 13%
- As of
- Polled 125 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 15¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $667 (6.67x)
- Volume
- $1K
Above 25K5%5%4¢ bid, 5¢ askpolled, 3017 h ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Above 25K5%Kalshi 5%polled, 3017 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Above 25K
5%
5%
4¢ bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 3017 h ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Above 25K
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 3017 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 25K
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled 125 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $452
Above 30K5%5%4¢ bid, 13¢ askpolled, 3017 h ago13¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $769 (7.69x)Above 30K5%Kalshi 5%polled, 3017 h agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Above 30K
5%
5%
4¢ bid, 13¢ ask
polled, 3017 h ago
13¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Above 30K
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 3017 h agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 30K
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled 125 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 13¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $769 (7.69x)
- Volume
- $327
Above 65K2.5%2.5%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 3017 h ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Above 65K2.5%Kalshi 2.5%polled, 3017 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Above 65K
2.5%
2.5%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 3017 h ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Above 65K
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 3017 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 65K
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled 125 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
Above 35K2%2%2¢ bid, 8¢ askpolled, 3017 h ago8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)Above 35K2%Kalshi 2%polled, 3017 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Above 35K
2%
2%
2¢ bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 3017 h ago
8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Above 35K
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 3017 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 35K
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 125 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
- Volume
- $66
Above 40K2%2%— bid, 6¢ askpolled, 3017 h ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)Above 40K2%Kalshi 2%polled, 3017 h agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Above 40K
2%
2%
— bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 3017 h ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Above 40K
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 3017 h agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 40K
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 125 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
- Volume
- $370
Above 45K2%2%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 3017 h ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Above 45K2%Kalshi 2%polled, 3017 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Above 45K
2%
2%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 3017 h ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Above 45K
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 3017 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 45K
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 125 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $205
Show 5 more outcomesHide 5 outcomes
Above 50K2%2%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 3017 h ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Above 50K2%Kalshi 2%polled, 3017 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Above 50K
2%
2%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 3017 h ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Above 50K
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 3017 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 50K
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 125 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $288
Above 55K2%2%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 3017 h ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Above 55K2%Kalshi 2%polled, 3017 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Above 55K
2%
2%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 3017 h ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Above 55K
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 3017 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 55K
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 125 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $120
Above 70K1.5%1.5%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, 3017 h ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Above 70K1.5%Kalshi 1.5%polled, 3017 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Above 70K
1.5%
1.5%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 3017 h ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Above 70K
1.5%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 3017 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 70K
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled 125 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
Above 75K1.5%1.5%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, 3017 h ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Above 75K1.5%Kalshi 1.5%polled, 3017 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Above 75K
1.5%
1.5%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 3017 h ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Above 75K
1.5%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 3017 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 75K
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled 125 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
Above 60K1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 3017 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Above 60K1%Kalshi 1%polled, 3017 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Above 60K
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 3017 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Above 60K
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3017 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 60K
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 125 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $254
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Luminate
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Above 5K
- Above 10K
- Above 15K
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (culture rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Final prediction market prices for "DIRTY BLONDE: First Week Album Equivalent Units". Above 5K last traded at 99%. Next is Above 10K at 99%. $18K has traded across 15 outcomes on Kalshi. The market closed on Jun 21, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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