The Prediction Markets

DIRTY BLONDE: First Week Pure Album Sales

Closed
Jun 21, 2026
Traded
$16K
Venues
Kalshi
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This market has closed

Trading ended on Jun 21, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 125 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
Above 3K
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 3018 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 3K
Last price
99%
As of
Polled 125 d ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
98¢
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 9K
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 3018 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 9K
Last price
99%
As of
Polled 125 d ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
98¢
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 12K
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 3018 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 12K
Last price
99%
As of
Polled 125 d ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 6K
95%
Kalshi 95%polled, 3018 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 6K
Last price
95%
As of
Polled 125 d ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
95¢
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 15K
14%
Kalshi 14%polled, 3018 h agoBest Yes 38¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 15K
Last price
14%
As of
Polled 125 d ago
Buy Yes
38¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$263 (2.63x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 18K
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 3018 h agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 18K
Last price
7%
As of
Polled 125 d ago
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Volume
$285
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 24K
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 3018 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 24K
Last price
5%
As of
Polled 125 d ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$15
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 21K
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 3018 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 21K
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 125 d ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$255
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 27K
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 3018 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 27K
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 125 d ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$250
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 30K
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 3018 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 30K
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 125 d ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$11
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Luminate

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Above 3K
  • Above 9K
  • Above 12K

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
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Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (culture rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Final prediction market prices for "DIRTY BLONDE: First Week Pure Album Sales". Above 3K last traded at 99%. Next is Above 9K at 99%. $16K has traded across 10 outcomes on Kalshi. The market closed on Jun 21, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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