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What the markets expect
Nebraska 36.4%
Next is Kentucky at 10.4%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Fair chance
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Nebraska36.4%42%36.4% fair42¢ bid, 48¢ askpolled, 38s ago48¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $208 (2.08x)Nebraska36.4%Kalshi 42%(36.4% fair)polled, 38s agoBest Yes 48¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Nebraska
36.4%
42%
36.4% fair
42¢ bid, 48¢ ask
polled, 38s ago
48¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Nebraska
36.4%
Kalshi 42%(36.4% fair)polled, 38s agoBest Yes 48¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Nebraska
- Last price
- 42%
- Fair, margin removed
- 36.4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 48¢
- Sell Yes
- 42¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $208 (2.08x)
- Volume
- $10K
Kentucky10.4%12%10.4% fair3¢ bid, 12¢ askpolled, 38s ago12¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $833 (8.33x)Kentucky10.4%Kalshi 12%(10.4% fair)polled, 38s agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kentucky
10.4%
12%
10.4% fair
3¢ bid, 12¢ ask
polled, 38s ago
12¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kentucky
10.4%
Kalshi 12%(10.4% fair)polled, 38s agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Kentucky
- Last price
- 12%
- Fair, margin removed
- 10.4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 12¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $833 (8.33x)
- Volume
- $1K
Wisconsin8.7%10%8.7% fair2¢ bid, 10¢ askpolled, 38s ago10¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)Wisconsin8.7%Kalshi 10%(8.7% fair)polled, 38s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Wisconsin
8.7%
10%
8.7% fair
2¢ bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 38s ago
10¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Wisconsin
8.7%
Kalshi 10%(8.7% fair)polled, 38s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Wisconsin
- Last price
- 10%
- Fair, margin removed
- 8.7%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
- Volume
- $2K
Louisville6.9%8%6.9% fair3¢ bid, 8¢ askpolled, 38s ago8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)Louisville6.9%Kalshi 8%(6.9% fair)polled, 38s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Louisville
6.9%
8%
6.9% fair
3¢ bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 38s ago
8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Louisville
6.9%
Kalshi 8%(6.9% fair)polled, 38s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Louisville
- Last price
- 8%
- Fair, margin removed
- 6.9%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
- Volume
- $2K
SMU5.2%6%5.2% fair2¢ bid, 6¢ askpolled, 38s ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)SMU5.2%Kalshi 6%(5.2% fair)polled, 38s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
SMU
5.2%
6%
5.2% fair
2¢ bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 38s ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
SMU
5.2%
Kalshi 6%(5.2% fair)polled, 38s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- SMU
- Last price
- 6%
- Fair, margin removed
- 5.2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
- Volume
- $1K
Florida3.5%4%3.5% fair1¢ bid, 4¢ askpolled, 38s ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Florida3.5%Kalshi 4%(3.5% fair)polled, 38s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Florida
3.5%
4%
3.5% fair
1¢ bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 38s ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Florida
3.5%
Kalshi 4%(3.5% fair)polled, 38s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Florida
- Last price
- 4%
- Fair, margin removed
- 3.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $2K
Pittsburgh2.6%3%2¢ bid, 30¢ askpolled, 38s ago30¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $333 (3.33x)Pittsburgh2.6%Kalshi 3%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 30¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Pittsburgh
2.6%
3%
2¢ bid, 30¢ ask
polled, 38s ago
30¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Pittsburgh
2.6%
Kalshi 3%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 30¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Pittsburgh
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 30¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $333 (3.33x)
- Volume
- $3K
Tennessee2.6%3%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 38s ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Tennessee2.6%Kalshi 3%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Tennessee
2.6%
3%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 38s ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Tennessee
2.6%
Kalshi 3%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Tennessee
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $500
Texas A&M2.6%3%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, 38s ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Texas A&M2.6%Kalshi 3%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Texas A&M
2.6%
3%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 38s ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Texas A&M
2.6%
Kalshi 3%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Texas A&M
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
- Volume
- $625
Texas1.7%2%1¢ bid, 3¢ askpolled, 38s ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Texas1.7%Kalshi 2%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Texas
1.7%
2%
1¢ bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 38s ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Texas
1.7%
Kalshi 2%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Texas
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
- Volume
- $619
Show 39 more outcomesHide 39 outcomes
Arizona State0.9%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 38s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Arizona State0.9%Kalshi 1%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Arizona State
0.9%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 38s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Arizona State
0.9%
Kalshi 1%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Arizona State
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $500
Colorado0.9%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 38s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Colorado0.9%Kalshi 1%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Colorado
0.9%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 38s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Colorado
0.9%
Kalshi 1%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Colorado
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $194
Northern Iowa0.9%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 38s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Northern Iowa0.9%Kalshi 1%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Northern Iowa
0.9%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 38s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Northern Iowa
0.9%
Kalshi 1%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Northern Iowa
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $1
Stanford0.9%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 38s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Stanford0.9%Kalshi 1%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Stanford
0.9%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 38s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Stanford
0.9%
Kalshi 1%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Stanford
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $2K
Texas State0.9%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 38s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Texas State0.9%Kalshi 1%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Texas State
0.9%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 38s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Texas State
0.9%
Kalshi 1%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Texas State
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $200
Utah State0.9%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 38s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Utah State0.9%Kalshi 1%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Utah State
0.9%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 38s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Utah State
0.9%
Kalshi 1%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Utah State
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $84
Arizona0.5%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 38s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Arizona0.5%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Arizona
0.5%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 38s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Arizona
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Arizona
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Ball State0.5%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 38s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Ball State0.5%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Ball State
0.5%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 38s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Ball State
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ball State
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Baylor0.5%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 38s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Baylor0.5%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Baylor
0.5%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 38s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Baylor
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Baylor
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Cal Poly0.5%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 38s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Cal Poly0.5%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Cal Poly
0.5%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 38s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Cal Poly
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Cal Poly
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Creighton0.5%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 38s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Creighton0.5%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Creighton
0.5%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 38s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Creighton
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Creighton
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Florida State0.5%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 38s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Florida State0.5%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Florida State
0.5%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 38s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Florida State
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Florida State
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Georgia Tech0.5%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 38s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Georgia Tech0.5%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Georgia Tech
0.5%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 38s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Georgia Tech
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Georgia Tech
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Indiana0.5%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 38s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Indiana0.5%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Indiana
0.5%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 38s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Indiana
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Indiana
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Iowa State0.4%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 38s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Iowa State0.4%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Iowa State
0.4%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 38s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Iowa State
0.4%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Iowa State
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Kansas0.4%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 38s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Kansas0.4%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kansas
0.4%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 38s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kansas
0.4%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Kansas
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Kansas State0.4%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 38s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Kansas State0.4%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kansas State
0.4%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 38s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kansas State
0.4%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Kansas State
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Marquette0.4%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 38s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Marquette0.4%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Marquette
0.4%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 38s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Marquette
0.4%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Marquette
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Miami (FL)0.4%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 38s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Miami (FL)0.4%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Miami (FL)
0.4%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 38s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Miami (FL)
0.4%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Miami (FL)
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Michigan0.4%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 38s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Michigan0.4%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Michigan
0.4%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 38s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Michigan
0.4%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Michigan
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Minnesota0.4%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 38s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Minnesota0.4%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Minnesota
0.4%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 38s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Minnesota
0.4%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Minnesota
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
North Carolina0.4%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 38s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)North Carolina0.4%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
North Carolina
0.4%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 38s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
North Carolina
0.4%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- North Carolina
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Oregon0.4%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 38s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Oregon0.4%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Oregon
0.4%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 38s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Oregon
0.4%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Oregon
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Penn State0.4%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 38s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Penn State0.4%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Penn State
0.4%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 38s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Penn State
0.4%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Penn State
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Pepperdine0.4%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 38s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Pepperdine0.4%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Pepperdine
0.4%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 38s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Pepperdine
0.4%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Pepperdine
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Purdue0.4%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 38s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Purdue0.4%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Purdue
0.4%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 38s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Purdue
0.4%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Purdue
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Rice0.4%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 38s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Rice0.4%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Rice
0.4%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 38s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Rice
0.4%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Rice
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
San Diego0.4%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 38s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)San Diego0.4%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
San Diego
0.4%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 38s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
San Diego
0.4%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- San Diego
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
South Dakota State0.4%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 38s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)South Dakota State0.4%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
South Dakota State
0.4%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 38s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
South Dakota State
0.4%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- South Dakota State
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
South Florida0.4%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 38s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)South Florida0.4%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
South Florida
0.4%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 38s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
South Florida
0.4%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- South Florida
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Southern California0.4%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 38s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Southern California0.4%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Southern California
0.4%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 38s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Southern California
0.4%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Southern California
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
TCU0.4%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 38s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)TCU0.4%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
TCU
0.4%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 38s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
TCU
0.4%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- TCU
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Tulsa0.4%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 38s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Tulsa0.4%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Tulsa
0.4%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 38s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Tulsa
0.4%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Tulsa
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
UCLA0.4%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 38s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)UCLA0.4%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
UCLA
0.4%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 38s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
UCLA
0.4%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- UCLA
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Utah0.4%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 38s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Utah0.4%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Utah
0.4%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 38s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Utah
0.4%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Utah
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
UTEP0.4%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 38s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)UTEP0.4%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
UTEP
0.4%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 38s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
UTEP
0.4%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- UTEP
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Villanova0.4%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 38s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Villanova0.4%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Villanova
0.4%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 38s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Villanova
0.4%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Villanova
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Western Kentucky0.4%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 38s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Western Kentucky0.4%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Western Kentucky
0.4%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 38s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Western Kentucky
0.4%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Western Kentucky
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Xavier0.4%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 38s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Xavier0.4%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Xavier
0.4%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 38s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Xavier
0.4%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Xavier
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ESPN, Kalshi using information originating from the NCAA
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Nebraska
- Kentucky
- Wisconsin
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Division I Women's Volleyball Champion". Nebraska leads at 36.4%. Next is Kentucky at 10.4%. $26K has traded across 49 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 7, 2027.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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