This market has closed
Trading ended on Mar 13, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets
Odds by venue
Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 223 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Polymarket
Ends in Daytime100%100%99.9¢ bid, — askpolled, 5361 h agoNo askEnds in Daytime100%Polymarket 100%polled, 5361 h ago
- Contract
- Ends in Daytime
- Last price
- 100%
- As of
- Polled 223 d ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 99.9¢
Ends in Daytime0%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 5361 h ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Ends in Daytime0%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 5361 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
- Contract
- Ends in Daytime
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 223 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $175
Who resolves this market
- Polymarket resolves via:

- UMA optimistic oracle, source: kick.com
How the odds have moved
The top 2 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Ends in Daytime
- Ends in Daytime
About this market
Final prediction market prices for "Dota 2: Cloud Rising vs Cloud Dawning (BO3) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Group Stage". Ends in Daytime last traded at 100%. Next is Ends in Daytime at 0%. $31K has traded across 2 outcomes on Polymarket. The market closed on Mar 13, 2026.
This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Cloud Rising and Cloud Dawning in the EPL World Series Southeast Asia Group Stage, initially scheduled for March 13 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Cloud Rising" if Cloud Rising win the match against Cloud Dawning. This market will resolve to "Cloud Dawning" if Cloud Dawning win the match against Cloud Rising. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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