The Prediction Markets

Drake: Highest daily view count (October 19, 2026 - October 25, 2026)

Closes
Oct 27, 2026, in 4 days
Traded
$31K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
1 min ago
Share

What the markets expect

Above 11.25M 99%

Next is Above 11M at 99%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 3 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Above 11.25M
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 1 min ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 11.25M
Last price
99%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
98¢
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 11M
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 1 min ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 11M
Last price
99%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
98¢
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 11.5M
98%
Kalshi 98%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 11.5M
Last price
98%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
97¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 11.75M
97%
Kalshi 97%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 11.75M
Last price
97%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
96¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 12M
95%
Kalshi 95%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 12M
Last price
95%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
91¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 12.5M
90%
Kalshi 90%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 90¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 12.5M
Last price
90%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
90¢
Sell Yes
69¢
$100 on Yes pays
$111 (1.11x)
Volume
$29
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 12.25M
72%
Kalshi 72%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 94¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 12.25M
Last price
72%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
94¢
Sell Yes
72¢
$100 on Yes pays
$106 (1.06x)
Volume
$23
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 12.75M
47%
Kalshi 47%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 66¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $152 (1.52x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 12.75M
Last price
47%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
66¢
Sell Yes
47¢
$100 on Yes pays
$152 (1.52x)
Volume
$77
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 13M
26%
Kalshi 26%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 41¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $244 (2.44x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 13M
Last price
26%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
41¢
Sell Yes
26¢
$100 on Yes pays
$244 (2.44x)
Volume
$670
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 13.75M
25%
Kalshi 25%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 13.75M
Last price
25%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
25¢
Sell Yes
8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$400 (4.00x)
Volume
$5
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 11 more outcomes
Above 13.25M
20%
Kalshi 20%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 38¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 13.25M
Last price
20%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
38¢
Sell Yes
20¢
$100 on Yes pays
$263 (2.63x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 14M
16.5%
Kalshi 16.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 14M
Last price
16.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
25¢
Sell Yes
8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$400 (4.00x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 13.5M
12%
Kalshi 12%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 23¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 13.5M
Last price
12%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
23¢
Sell Yes
12¢
$100 on Yes pays
$435 (4.35x)
Volume
$3
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 14.25M
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 14.25M
Last price
8%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$22
Trade this on Kalshi
25M
4.9%
Polymarket 4.9%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 5.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,923 (19.2x)
Polymarket
Contract
25M
Last price
4.9%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
5.2¢
Sell Yes
4.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,923 (19.2x)
Volume
$10K
Trade this on Polymarket
Above 14.75M
4.5%
Kalshi 4.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 14.75M
Last price
4.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
24M
4.4%
Polymarket 4.4%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 4.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,083 (20.8x)
Polymarket
Contract
24M
Last price
4.4%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
4.8¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,083 (20.8x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Polymarket
Above 14.5M
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 14.5M
Last price
4%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 15M
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 15M
Last price
4%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Trade this on Kalshi
26M
2%
Polymarket 2%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
26M
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Polymarket
27M
1.2%
Polymarket 1.2%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 1.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $8,333 (83.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
27M
Last price
1.2%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
1.2¢
Sell Yes
1.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$8,333 (83.3x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: charts.youtube.com
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: YouTube Charts

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Above 11.25M
  • Above 11M
  • Above 11.5M

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Polymarket doesn’t list Above 11.25M for this event.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (culture rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Drake: Highest daily view count (October 19, 2026 - October 25, 2026)". Above 11.25M leads at 99%. Next is Above 11M at 99%. $31K has traded across 21 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 27, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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