The Prediction Markets

"Dune: Part Three" Rotten Tomatoes score?

Full timeKickoff Waiting for the venues to settle
Traded
$304K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
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What the markets expect

Above 50 99%

Next is Above 55 at 99%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Above 50
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 50
Last price
99%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
98¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$38K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 55
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 55
Last price
99%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
98¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$64K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 60
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 60
Last price
99%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
98¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$26K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 45
98%
Kalshi 98%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 45
Last price
98%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
98¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$47K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 65
98%
Kalshi 98%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 65
Last price
98%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
97¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 70
95%
Kalshi 95%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 70
Last price
95%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
94¢
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 75
91%
Kalshi 91%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 91¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $110 (1.10x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 75
Last price
91%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
91¢
Sell Yes
90¢
$100 on Yes pays
$110 (1.10x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Kalshi
75+
85.6%
Polymarket 83%polled, 31s agoPolymarket 93.5%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 96¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Polymarket
Contract
75+
Last price
83%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
96¢
Sell Yes
70¢
$100 on Yes pays
$104 (1.04x)
Volume
$213
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
75+
Last price
93.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
89¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$33
Trade this on Polymarket
40+
83%
Polymarket 83%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 88¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Polymarket
Contract
40+
Last price
83%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
88¢
Sell Yes
78¢
$100 on Yes pays
$114 (1.14x)
Volume
$941
Trade this on Polymarket
Above 80
81%
Kalshi 81%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 81¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $123 (1.23x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 80
Last price
81%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
81¢
Sell Yes
80¢
$100 on Yes pays
$123 (1.23x)
Volume
$13K
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 10 more outcomes
50+
79.9%
Polymarket 99.6%polled, 31s agoPolymarket 26.5%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 44¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Polymarket
Contract
50+
Last price
99.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99.9¢
Sell Yes
99.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$100 (1.00x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
50+
Last price
26.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
44¢
Sell Yes
9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$227 (2.27x)
Volume
$500
Trade this on Polymarket
85+
79.5%
Polymarket 79.5%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 93¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Polymarket
Contract
85+
Last price
79.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
93¢
Sell Yes
66¢
$100 on Yes pays
$108 (1.08x)
Volume
$107
Trade this on Polymarket
Above 85
69%
Kalshi 69%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 70¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $143 (1.43x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 85
Last price
69%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
70¢
Sell Yes
69¢
$100 on Yes pays
$143 (1.43x)
Volume
$26K
Trade this on Kalshi
60+
51%
Polymarket 99.3%polled, 31s agoPolymarket 26%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 49¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Polymarket
Contract
60+
Last price
99.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99.9¢
Sell Yes
98.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$100 (1.00x)
Volume
$851
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
60+
Last price
26%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
49¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$204 (2.04x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Above 90
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 50¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 90
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
50¢
Sell Yes
49¢
$100 on Yes pays
$200 (2.00x)
Volume
$36K
Trade this on Kalshi
70+
44.6%
Polymarket 94%polled, 31s agoPolymarket 4.3%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 7.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,316 (13.2x)
Polymarket
Contract
70+
Last price
94%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
96¢
Sell Yes
92¢
$100 on Yes pays
$104 (1.04x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
70+
Last price
4.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7.6¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,316 (13.2x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
80+
24.9%
Polymarket 9%polled, 31s agoPolymarket 1.4%polled, 31s agoPolymarket 80%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 2.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,000 (40.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
80+
Last price
9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
80+
Last price
1.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.5¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$4,000 (40.0x)
Volume
$197
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
80+
Last price
80%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
93¢
Sell Yes
67¢
$100 on Yes pays
$108 (1.08x)
Volume
$266
Trade this on Polymarket
95+
24%
Polymarket 24%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 42¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Polymarket
Contract
95+
Last price
24%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
42¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$238 (2.38x)
Volume
$137
Trade this on Polymarket
Above 95
17%
Kalshi 17%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 95
Last price
17%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
17¢
Sell Yes
16¢
$100 on Yes pays
$588 (5.88x)
Volume
$24K
Trade this on Kalshi
90+
14.7%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 31s agoPolymarket 0.6%polled, 31s agoPolymarket 57%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
90+
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
90+
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$479
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
90+
Last price
57%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
63¢
Sell Yes
51¢
$100 on Yes pays
$159 (1.59x)
Volume
$559
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Rotten Tomatoes

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Above 50
  • Above 55
  • Above 60

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Polymarket doesn’t list Above 50 for this event.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (culture rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for ""Dune: Part Three" Rotten Tomatoes score?". Above 50 leads at 99%. Next is Above 55 at 99%. $304K has traded across 20 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 21, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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