The Prediction Markets

"Dune: Part Three" Rotten Tomatoes Score?

Closes
Dec 21, 2026, in 59 days
Traded
$1.6M
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

Above 50 99%

Next is Above 52 at 99%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 5 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Above 50
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 40s agoKalshi 99%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 50
Last price
99%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Volume
$30K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Above 50
Last price
99%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
98¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$38K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 52
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 40s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 52
Last price
99%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Volume
$11K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 55
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 40s agoKalshi 99%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 55
Last price
99%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Volume
$50K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Above 55
Last price
99%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
98¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$64K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 57
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 40s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 57
Last price
99%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Volume
$16K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 60
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 40s agoKalshi 99%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 60
Last price
99%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Volume
$71K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Above 60
Last price
99%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
98¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$26K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 62
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 40s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 62
Last price
99%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Volume
$25K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 65
98.7%
Kalshi 99%polled, 40s agoKalshi 98%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 65
Last price
99%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Volume
$102K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Above 65
Last price
98%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
97¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 45
98.5%
Kalshi 99%polled, 40s agoKalshi 98%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 45
Last price
99%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Volume
$41K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Above 45
Last price
98%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
98¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$47K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 67
98%
Kalshi 98%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 67
Last price
98%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
97¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$53K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 70
95%
Kalshi 95%polled, 40s agoKalshi 95%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 70
Last price
95%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
96¢
Sell Yes
95¢
$100 on Yes pays
$104 (1.04x)
Volume
$175K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Above 70
Last price
95%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
94¢
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 13 more outcomes
75+
93.5%
Polymarket 93.5%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 98¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Polymarket
Contract
75+
Last price
93.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
89¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$33
Trade this on Polymarket
Dune: Part Three
88%
Kalshi 88%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 89¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Kalshi
Contract
Dune: Part Three
Last price
88%
As of
Polled 5 min ago
Buy Yes
89¢
Sell Yes
83¢
$100 on Yes pays
$112 (1.12x)
Volume
$740
Trade this on Kalshi
80+
80%
Polymarket 80%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 92¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Polymarket
Contract
80+
Last price
80%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
92¢
Sell Yes
68¢
$100 on Yes pays
$109 (1.09x)
Volume
$266
Trade this on Polymarket
85+
77%
Polymarket 77%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 88¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Polymarket
Contract
85+
Last price
77%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
88¢
Sell Yes
66¢
$100 on Yes pays
$114 (1.14x)
Volume
$107
Trade this on Polymarket
Above 75
73%
Kalshi 67%polled, 40s agoKalshi 91%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 71¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $141 (1.41x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 75
Last price
67%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
71¢
Sell Yes
67¢
$100 on Yes pays
$141 (1.41x)
Volume
$160K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Above 75
Last price
91%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
91¢
Sell Yes
90¢
$100 on Yes pays
$110 (1.10x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Kalshi
90+
57%
Polymarket 57%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 63¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $159 (1.59x)
Polymarket
Contract
90+
Last price
57%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
63¢
Sell Yes
51¢
$100 on Yes pays
$159 (1.59x)
Volume
$559
Trade this on Polymarket
Above 77
32%
Kalshi 32%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 77
Last price
32%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
34¢
Sell Yes
32¢
$100 on Yes pays
$294 (2.94x)
Volume
$14K
Trade this on Kalshi
Avengers: Doomsday
27%
Kalshi 27%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 27¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Kalshi
Contract
Avengers: Doomsday
Last price
27%
As of
Polled 5 min ago
Buy Yes
27¢
Sell Yes
25¢
$100 on Yes pays
$370 (3.70x)
Volume
$11K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 80
25.5%
Kalshi 7%polled, 40s agoKalshi 81%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 80
Last price
7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$259K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Above 80
Last price
81%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
81¢
Sell Yes
80¢
$100 on Yes pays
$123 (1.23x)
Volume
$13K
Trade this on Kalshi
95+
24%
Polymarket 24%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 42¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Polymarket
Contract
95+
Last price
24%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
42¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$238 (2.38x)
Volume
$137
Trade this on Polymarket
Above 85
18.3%
Kalshi 1%polled, 40s agoKalshi 70%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 85
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$163K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Above 85
Last price
70%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
70¢
Sell Yes
69¢
$100 on Yes pays
$143 (1.43x)
Volume
$26K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 95
17%
Kalshi 17%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 95
Last price
17%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
17¢
Sell Yes
16¢
$100 on Yes pays
$588 (5.88x)
Volume
$24K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 90
13.3%
Kalshi 1%polled, 40s agoKalshi 50%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 90
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$124K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Above 90
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
50¢
Sell Yes
49¢
$100 on Yes pays
$200 (2.00x)
Volume
$36K
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Rotten Tomatoes, Rotten Tomatoes, Rotten Tomatoes

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Above 50
  • Above 52
  • Above 55

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Polymarket doesn’t list Above 50 for this event.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (culture rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for ""Dune: Part Three" Rotten Tomatoes Score?". Above 50 leads at 99%. Next is Above 52 at 99%. $1.6M has traded across 23 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 21, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the displayed Rotten Tomatoes "All Critics" Tomatometer score for Dune: Part Three is at least equal to the specified number at 10:00 AM ET on the Monday following the movie's wide theatrical release. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If, for any reason, the resolution data is unavailable at this market's specified check time, the resolution source will be checked until the relevant data is available. This market will resolve to "No" if no data is available by the Friday of that same week, 11:59 PM ET, or the movie does not release by December 31, 2027.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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