The Prediction Markets

Ebenezer · Rotten Tomatoes score

Full timeKickoff Waiting for the venues to settle
Traded
$359K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

94+ 98.8%

Next is 92+ at 98.8%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
94+
98.8%
Polymarket 98.8%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 99.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100 (1.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
94+
Last price
98.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99.9¢
Sell Yes
97.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$100 (1.00x)
Volume
$900
Trade this on Polymarket
92+
98.8%
Polymarket 98.8%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
92+
Last price
98.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
98.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$784
Trade this on Polymarket
85+
98.5%
Polymarket 98.5%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 99.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100 (1.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
85+
Last price
98.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99.6¢
Sell Yes
97.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$100 (1.00x)
Volume
$30
Trade this on Polymarket
96+
97.3%
Polymarket 97.3%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 98.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
96+
Last price
97.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98.8¢
Sell Yes
95.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
40+
93%
Polymarket 93%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 97¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Polymarket
Contract
40+
Last price
93%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
89¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Volume
$900
Trade this on Polymarket
Above 20
92%
Kalshi 92%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 93¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 20
Last price
92%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
93¢
Sell Yes
92¢
$100 on Yes pays
$108 (1.08x)
Volume
$14K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 25
88%
Kalshi 88%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 89¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 25
Last price
88%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
89¢
Sell Yes
88¢
$100 on Yes pays
$112 (1.12x)
Volume
$10K
Trade this on Kalshi
98+
86.5%
Polymarket 86.5%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 88¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Polymarket
Contract
98+
Last price
86.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
88¢
Sell Yes
85¢
$100 on Yes pays
$114 (1.14x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Polymarket
Above 30
81%
Kalshi 81%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 81¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $123 (1.23x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 30
Last price
81%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
81¢
Sell Yes
80¢
$100 on Yes pays
$123 (1.23x)
Volume
$18K
Trade this on Kalshi
50+
80.9%
Polymarket 99.6%polled, 23s agoPolymarket 30%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 53¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $189 (1.89x)
Polymarket
Contract
50+
Last price
99.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99.9¢
Sell Yes
99.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$100 (1.00x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
50+
Last price
30%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
53¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$189 (1.89x)
Volume
$500
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 17 more outcomes
Above 35
69%
Kalshi 69%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 69¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $145 (1.45x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 35
Last price
69%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
69¢
Sell Yes
68¢
$100 on Yes pays
$145 (1.45x)
Volume
$14K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 40
60%
Kalshi 60%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 61¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $164 (1.64x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 40
Last price
60%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
61¢
Sell Yes
60¢
$100 on Yes pays
$164 (1.64x)
Volume
$19K
Trade this on Kalshi
75+
57%
Polymarket 57%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 59¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $169 (1.69x)
Polymarket
Contract
75+
Last price
57%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
59¢
Sell Yes
55¢
$100 on Yes pays
$169 (1.69x)
Volume
$114
Trade this on Polymarket
Above 45
54%
Kalshi 54%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 54¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $185 (1.85x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 45
Last price
54%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
54¢
Sell Yes
53¢
$100 on Yes pays
$185 (1.85x)
Volume
$18K
Trade this on Kalshi
60+
51%
Polymarket 99.3%polled, 23s agoPolymarket 26%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 49¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Polymarket
Contract
60+
Last price
99.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99.9¢
Sell Yes
98.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$100 (1.00x)
Volume
$851
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
60+
Last price
26%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
49¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$204 (2.04x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Above 50
44%
Kalshi 44%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 44¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 50
Last price
44%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
44¢
Sell Yes
43¢
$100 on Yes pays
$227 (2.27x)
Volume
$27K
Trade this on Kalshi
90+
40.4%
Polymarket 98.7%polled, 23s agoPolymarket 0.6%polled, 23s agoPolymarket 0.6%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
90+
Last price
98.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99.9¢
Sell Yes
97.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$100 (1.00x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
90+
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
90+
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$479
Trade this on Polymarket
70+
39.8%
Polymarket 94%polled, 23s agoPolymarket 4.6%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 8.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,220 (12.2x)
Polymarket
Contract
70+
Last price
94%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
93¢
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
70+
Last price
4.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8.2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,220 (12.2x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Above 55
22%
Kalshi 22%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 22¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 55
Last price
22%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
22¢
Sell Yes
21¢
$100 on Yes pays
$455 (4.55x)
Volume
$15K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 60
20%
Kalshi 20%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 20¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 60
Last price
20%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
20¢
Sell Yes
19¢
$100 on Yes pays
$500 (5.00x)
Volume
$25K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 65
13%
Kalshi 13%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 65
Last price
13%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
12¢
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Volume
$25K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 70
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 70
Last price
10%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$29K
Trade this on Kalshi
80+
7.2%
Polymarket 9%polled, 23s agoPolymarket 1.7%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
80+
Last price
9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
80+
Last price
1.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$197
Trade this on Polymarket
Above 75
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 75
Last price
7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$28K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 80
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 80
Last price
5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$44K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 85
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 85
Last price
4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$31K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 90
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 90
Last price
3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$15K
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Rotten Tomatoes

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • 94+
  • 92+
  • 85+

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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Kalshi

Kalshi doesn’t list 94+ for this event.

What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (culture rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Ebenezer · Rotten Tomatoes score". 94+ leads at 98.8%. Next is 92+ at 98.8%. $359K has traded across 27 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 16, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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