The Prediction Markets

EFL Championship: Promotion

Closes
Jun 14, 2027, in 8 months
Traded
$29K
Venues
Kalshi
Prices updated
1 min ago
Share

What the markets expect

West Ham 66%

Next is Middlesbrough at 54%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
West Ham
66%
Kalshi 66%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 77¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $130 (1.30x)
Kalshi
Contract
West Ham
Last price
66%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
77¢
Sell Yes
66¢
$100 on Yes pays
$130 (1.30x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Middlesbrough
54%
Kalshi 54%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 66¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $152 (1.52x)
Kalshi
Contract
Middlesbrough
Last price
54%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
66¢
Sell Yes
52¢
$100 on Yes pays
$152 (1.52x)
Volume
$697
Trade this on Kalshi
Cardiff
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 1 min ago
Kalshi
Contract
Cardiff
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Trade this on Kalshi
Derby
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 1 min ago
Kalshi
Contract
Derby
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Trade this on Kalshi
Preston
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 1 min ago
Kalshi
Contract
Preston
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Trade this on Kalshi
Portsmouth
49.5%
Kalshi 49.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Portsmouth
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Wolverhampton
41%
Kalshi 41%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 52¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $192 (1.92x)
Kalshi
Contract
Wolverhampton
Last price
41%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
52¢
Sell Yes
41¢
$100 on Yes pays
$192 (1.92x)
Volume
$12K
Trade this on Kalshi
Birmingham
34%
Kalshi 34%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kalshi
Contract
Birmingham
Last price
34%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
34¢
Sell Yes
24¢
$100 on Yes pays
$294 (2.94x)
Volume
$124
Trade this on Kalshi
Southampton
32%
Kalshi 32%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 56¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $179 (1.79x)
Kalshi
Contract
Southampton
Last price
32%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
56¢
Sell Yes
28¢
$100 on Yes pays
$179 (1.79x)
Volume
$442
Trade this on Kalshi
Swansea
27%
Kalshi 27%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 27¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Kalshi
Contract
Swansea
Last price
27%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
27¢
Sell Yes
19¢
$100 on Yes pays
$370 (3.70x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 14 more outcomes
Millwall
19%
Kalshi 19%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Kalshi
Contract
Millwall
Last price
19%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
19¢
Sell Yes
12¢
$100 on Yes pays
$526 (5.26x)
Volume
$626
Trade this on Kalshi
QPR
19%
Kalshi 19%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Kalshi
Contract
QPR
Last price
19%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
19¢
Sell Yes
8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$526 (5.26x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Stoke
19%
Kalshi 19%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Kalshi
Contract
Stoke
Last price
19%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
19¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$526 (5.26x)
Volume
$139
Trade this on Kalshi
Burnley
18%
Kalshi 18%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Kalshi
Contract
Burnley
Last price
18%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
18¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$556 (5.56x)
Volume
$27
Trade this on Kalshi
Sheffield United
18%
Kalshi 18%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Kalshi
Contract
Sheffield United
Last price
18%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
18¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$556 (5.56x)
Volume
$25
Trade this on Kalshi
West Bromwich
18%
Kalshi 18%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Kalshi
Contract
West Bromwich
Last price
18%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
18¢
Sell Yes
12¢
$100 on Yes pays
$556 (5.56x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Norwich
15%
Kalshi 15%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Kalshi
Contract
Norwich
Last price
15%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
19¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$526 (5.26x)
Volume
$680
Trade this on Kalshi
Bristol City
14%
Kalshi 14%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
Contract
Bristol City
Last price
14%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Volume
$485
Trade this on Kalshi
Charlton
13%
Kalshi 13%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
Contract
Charlton
Last price
13%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Watford
13%
Kalshi 13%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
Contract
Watford
Last price
13%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Volume
$5
Trade this on Kalshi
Wrexham
12%
Kalshi 12%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Wrexham
Last price
12%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Kalshi
Blackburn
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 38¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Kalshi
Contract
Blackburn
Last price
5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
38¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$263 (2.63x)
Volume
$408
Trade this on Kalshi
Bolton
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 1 min ago
Kalshi
Contract
Bolton
Last price
5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Volume
$19
Trade this on Kalshi
Lincoln
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 1 min ago
Kalshi
Contract
Lincoln
Last price
4%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Volume
$10
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Fox Sports, ESPN, Sky Sports

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • West Ham
  • Middlesbrough
  • Cardiff

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "EFL Championship: Promotion". West Ham leads at 66%. Next is Middlesbrough at 54%. $29K has traded across 24 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Jun 14, 2027.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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