The Prediction Markets

EFL Championship: Team promoted to EPL (2026-27)

Closes
Jul 1, 2027, in 8 months
Traded
$4K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

West Ham United 77%

Next is Middlesbrough at 51%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
West Ham United
77%
Polymarket 77%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 78¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $128 (1.28x)
Polymarket
Contract
West Ham United
Last price
77%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
78¢
Sell Yes
76¢
$100 on Yes pays
$128 (1.28x)
Volume
$80
Trade this on Polymarket
Middlesbrough
51%
Polymarket 51%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 52¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $192 (1.92x)
Polymarket
Contract
Middlesbrough
Last price
51%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
52¢
Sell Yes
50¢
$100 on Yes pays
$192 (1.92x)
Volume
$60
Trade this on Polymarket
Wolverhampton Wanderers
43%
Polymarket 43%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 44¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Polymarket
Contract
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Last price
43%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
44¢
Sell Yes
42¢
$100 on Yes pays
$227 (2.27x)
Volume
$60
Trade this on Polymarket
Bristol City
24.5%
Polymarket 24.5%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 25¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
Birmingham City
Last price
24.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
25¢
Sell Yes
24¢
$100 on Yes pays
$400 (4.00x)
Volume
$80
Trade this on Polymarket
Southampton
22.5%
Polymarket 22.5%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 24¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Polymarket
Contract
Southampton
Last price
22.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
24¢
Sell Yes
21¢
$100 on Yes pays
$417 (4.17x)
Volume
$40
Trade this on Polymarket
Swansea City
19.5%
Polymarket 19.5%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 21¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Polymarket
Contract
Swansea City
Last price
19.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
21¢
Sell Yes
18¢
$100 on Yes pays
$476 (4.76x)
Volume
$640
Trade this on Polymarket
West Bromwich Albion
15.5%
Polymarket 15.5%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 17¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Polymarket
Contract
West Bromwich Albion
Last price
15.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
17¢
Sell Yes
14¢
$100 on Yes pays
$588 (5.88x)
Volume
$40
Trade this on Polymarket
Wrexham
10.5%
Polymarket 10.5%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 11¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Polymarket
Contract
Wrexham
Last price
10.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Volume
$153
Trade this on Polymarket
Millwall
7.5%
Polymarket 7.5%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Polymarket
Contract
Millwall
Last price
7.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$362
Trade this on Polymarket
Swansea City
7%
Polymarket 7%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Stoke City
Last price
7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$425
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 14 more outcomes
Norwich City
6.5%
Polymarket 6.5%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Norwich City
Last price
6.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$81
Trade this on Polymarket
Burnley
6%
Polymarket 6%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Burnley
Last price
6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$161
Trade this on Polymarket
Sheffield United
5.5%
Polymarket 5.5%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Sheffield United
Last price
5.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$559
Trade this on Polymarket
Queens Park Rangers
4.5%
Polymarket 4.5%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Queens Park Rangers
Last price
4.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$302
Trade this on Polymarket
Bristol City
4%
Polymarket 4%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Bristol City
Last price
4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$183
Trade this on Polymarket
Cardiff City
4%
Polymarket 4%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 6.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,449 (14.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Cardiff City
Last price
4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6.9¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,449 (14.5x)
Volume
$40
Trade this on Polymarket
Preston North End
3.8%
Polymarket 3.8%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 6.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,449 (14.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Preston North End
Last price
3.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6.9¢
Sell Yes
0.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,449 (14.5x)
Volume
$100
Trade this on Polymarket
Charlton Athletic
3.2%
Polymarket 3.2%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Charlton Athletic
Last price
3.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$60
Trade this on Polymarket
Lincoln City
3.1%
Polymarket 3.1%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 5.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,724 (17.2x)
Polymarket
Contract
Lincoln City
Last price
3.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5.8¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,724 (17.2x)
Volume
$208
Trade this on Polymarket
Blackburn Rovers
3%
Polymarket 3%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Blackburn Rovers
Last price
3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$82
Trade this on Polymarket
Watford
2.8%
Polymarket 2.8%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 4.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,128 (21.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Watford
Last price
2.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.7¢
Sell Yes
0.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,128 (21.3x)
Volume
$21
Trade this on Polymarket
Derby County
2.5%
Polymarket 2.5%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 4.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,222 (22.2x)
Polymarket
Contract
Derby County
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.5¢
Sell Yes
0.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,222 (22.2x)
Volume
$142
Trade this on Polymarket
Bolton Wanderers
2.2%
Polymarket 2.2%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Bolton Wanderers
Last price
2.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
0.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$100
Trade this on Polymarket
Portsmouth
1%
Polymarket 1%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 1.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,556 (55.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
Portsmouth
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.8¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,556 (55.6x)
Volume
$402
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • West Ham United
  • Middlesbrough
  • Wolverhampton Wanderers

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
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Spread
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Best ask
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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (other / general rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "EFL Championship: Team promoted to EPL (2026-27)". West Ham United leads at 77%. Next is Middlesbrough at 51%. $4K has traded across 24 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Jul 1, 2027.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team achieves promotion from the EFL Championship to the Premier League for the 2027-28 season at the conclusion of the current league season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Official promotion is defined as a team clinching a place in the Premier League for the 2027-28 season through their final standing in the EFL Championship, via playoff victory, or by any other official league decision recognized by the EFL Championship and Premier League. If the 2026-27 EFL Championship season is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there are no teams confirmed for promotion within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official announcements from the EFL Championship and Premier League. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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