Combined depth · both venues
Loading both order books…
What the markets expect
Eternal Fire 58.9%
Next is Map 2 Winner at 56%. The venues differ most on Eternal Fire (Polymarket 59.5%, Kalshi 57%), a 2.5-point gap.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 39 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Polymarket
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Polymarket
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Eternal FirePolymarket: “Match Winner”58.9%59.5%59¢ bid, 60¢ askpolled, 38 min ago57%56¢ bid, 57¢ askpolled, 39 min ago57¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $175 (1.75x)Eternal Fire58.9%Polymarket 59.5%polled, 38 min agoKalshi 57%polled, 39 min agoBest Yes 57¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $175 (1.75x)
Eternal Fire
Polymarket: “Match Winner”
58.9%
59.5%
59¢ bid, 60¢ ask
polled, 38 min ago
57%
56¢ bid, 57¢ ask
polled, 39 min ago
57¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $175 (1.75x)
Eternal Fire
58.9%
Polymarket 59.5%polled, 38 min agoKalshi 57%polled, 39 min agoBest Yes 57¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $175 (1.75x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Match Winner
- Last price
- 59.5%
- As of
- Polled 38 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 60¢
- Sell Yes
- 59¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $167 (1.67x)
- Volume
- $7K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Eternal Fire
- Last price
- 57%
- As of
- Polled 39 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 57¢
- Sell Yes
- 56¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $175 (1.75x)
- Volume
- $2K
Partial parity
Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.
Indicative only, prices are 39 min old: Buying on Kalshi at 57¢ and selling on Polymarket at 59¢ nets 200 bps before fees.
Map 2 Winner56%56%55¢ bid, 57¢ askpolled, 38 min agoNot listed57¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $175 (1.75x)Map 2 Winner56%Polymarket 56%polled, 38 min agoBest Yes 57¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $175 (1.75x)
Map 2 Winner
56%
56%
55¢ bid, 57¢ ask
polled, 38 min ago
Not listed
57¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $175 (1.75x)
Map 2 Winner
56%
Polymarket 56%polled, 38 min agoBest Yes 57¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $175 (1.75x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Map 2 Winner
- Last price
- 56%
- As of
- Polled 38 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 57¢
- Sell Yes
- 55¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $175 (1.75x)
Map 1 Winner55.5%55.5%55¢ bid, 56¢ askpolled, 38 min agoNot listed56¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $179 (1.79x)Map 1 Winner55.5%Polymarket 55.5%polled, 38 min agoBest Yes 56¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $179 (1.79x)
Map 1 Winner
55.5%
55.5%
55¢ bid, 56¢ ask
polled, 38 min ago
Not listed
56¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $179 (1.79x)
Map 1 Winner
55.5%
Polymarket 55.5%polled, 38 min agoBest Yes 56¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $179 (1.79x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Map 1 Winner
- Last price
- 55.5%
- As of
- Polled 38 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 56¢
- Sell Yes
- 55¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $179 (1.79x)
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%50%3¢ bid, — askpolled, 38 min agoNot listedNo askMap 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%Polymarket 50%polled, 38 min ago
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
50%
50%
3¢ bid, — ask
polled, 38 min ago
Not listed
No ask
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 38 min ago
Polymarket
- Contract
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
- Last price
- 50%
- As of
- Polled 38 min ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%50%3¢ bid, — askpolled, 38 min agoNot listedNo askMap 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%Polymarket 50%polled, 38 min ago
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
50%
50%
3¢ bid, — ask
polled, 38 min ago
Not listed
No ask
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 38 min ago
Polymarket
- Contract
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
- Last price
- 50%
- As of
- Polled 38 min ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%50%3¢ bid, — askpolled, 38 min agoNot listedNo askMap 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%Polymarket 50%polled, 38 min ago
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
50%
50%
3¢ bid, — ask
polled, 38 min ago
Not listed
No ask
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 38 min ago
Polymarket
- Contract
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
- Last price
- 50%
- As of
- Polled 38 min ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Eternal Fire (-2.5) vs Eintracht Frankfurt (+2.5)49.5%49.5%3¢ bid, 99¢ askpolled, 38 min agoNot listed99¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $101 (1.01x)Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Eternal Fire (-2.5) vs Eintracht Frankfurt (+2.5)49.5%Polymarket 49.5%polled, 38 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Eternal Fire (-2.5) vs Eintracht Frankfurt (+2.5)
49.5%
49.5%
3¢ bid, 99¢ ask
polled, 38 min ago
Not listed
99¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Eternal Fire (-2.5) vs Eintracht Frankfurt (+2.5)
49.5%
Polymarket 49.5%polled, 38 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Eternal Fire (-2.5) vs Eintracht Frankfurt (+2.5)
- Last price
- 49.5%
- As of
- Polled 38 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Eternal Fire (-2.5) vs Eintracht Frankfurt (+2.5)49.5%49.5%3¢ bid, 99¢ askpolled, 38 min agoNot listed99¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $101 (1.01x)Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Eternal Fire (-2.5) vs Eintracht Frankfurt (+2.5)49.5%Polymarket 49.5%polled, 38 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Eternal Fire (-2.5) vs Eintracht Frankfurt (+2.5)
49.5%
49.5%
3¢ bid, 99¢ ask
polled, 38 min ago
Not listed
99¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Eternal Fire (-2.5) vs Eintracht Frankfurt (+2.5)
49.5%
Polymarket 49.5%polled, 38 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Eternal Fire (-2.5) vs Eintracht Frankfurt (+2.5)
- Last price
- 49.5%
- As of
- Polled 38 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Eternal Fire (-2.5) vs Eintracht Frankfurt (+2.5)49.5%49.5%3¢ bid, 99¢ askpolled, 38 min agoNot listed99¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $101 (1.01x)Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Eternal Fire (-2.5) vs Eintracht Frankfurt (+2.5)49.5%Polymarket 49.5%polled, 38 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Eternal Fire (-2.5) vs Eintracht Frankfurt (+2.5)
49.5%
49.5%
3¢ bid, 99¢ ask
polled, 38 min ago
Not listed
99¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Eternal Fire (-2.5) vs Eintracht Frankfurt (+2.5)
49.5%
Polymarket 49.5%polled, 38 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Eternal Fire (-2.5) vs Eintracht Frankfurt (+2.5)
- Last price
- 49.5%
- As of
- Polled 38 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
O/U 2.5 Games48%48%47¢ bid, 49¢ askpolled, 38 min agoNot listed49¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $204 (2.04x)O/U 2.5 Games48%Polymarket 48%polled, 38 min agoBest Yes 49¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
O/U 2.5 Games
48%
48%
47¢ bid, 49¢ ask
polled, 38 min ago
Not listed
49¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $204 (2.04x)
O/U 2.5 Games
48%
Polymarket 48%polled, 38 min agoBest Yes 49¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- O/U 2.5 Games
- Last price
- 48%
- As of
- Polled 38 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 49¢
- Sell Yes
- 47¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $204 (2.04x)
Eintracht Frankfurt43%Not listed43%42¢ bid, 43¢ askpolled, 39 min ago43¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $233 (2.33x)Eintracht Frankfurt43%Kalshi 43%polled, 39 min agoBest Yes 43¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $233 (2.33x)
Eintracht Frankfurt
43%
Not listed
43%
42¢ bid, 43¢ ask
polled, 39 min ago
43¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $233 (2.33x)
Eintracht Frankfurt
43%
Kalshi 43%polled, 39 min agoBest Yes 43¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $233 (2.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Eintracht Frankfurt
- Last price
- 43%
- As of
- Polled 39 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 43¢
- Sell Yes
- 42¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $233 (2.33x)
- Volume
- $811
Map Handicap: EF (-1.5) vs Eintracht Frankfurt (+1.5)31.5%31.5%30¢ bid, 33¢ askpolled, 38 min agoNot listed33¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $303 (3.03x)Map Handicap: EF (-1.5) vs Eintracht Frankfurt (+1.5)31.5%Polymarket 31.5%polled, 38 min agoBest Yes 33¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $303 (3.03x)
Map Handicap: EF (-1.5) vs Eintracht Frankfurt (+1.5)
31.5%
31.5%
30¢ bid, 33¢ ask
polled, 38 min ago
Not listed
33¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $303 (3.03x)
Map Handicap: EF (-1.5) vs Eintracht Frankfurt (+1.5)
31.5%
Polymarket 31.5%polled, 38 min agoBest Yes 33¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $303 (3.03x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Map Handicap: EF (-1.5) vs Eintracht Frankfurt (+1.5)
- Last price
- 31.5%
- As of
- Polled 38 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 33¢
- Sell Yes
- 30¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $303 (3.03x)
Indicative gap, prices are 39 min old: Eternal Fire asks 57¢ on Kalshi and bids 59¢ on Polymarket (200 bps). Recheck both venues before trading. See all spreads
Mostly the same bet: two differences
Where they differ
- If the game is postponed: Kalshi resolves to a fair price if the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time; Polymarket stays open until the game is played and resolves 50-50 only if it is cancelled with no make-up.
- Trading closes at different times: Oct 23, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC on Polymarket and Oct 25, 2026, 11:00 AM UTC on Kalshi.
- Polymarket resolves via:
- UMA optimistic oracle, source: twitch.tv
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Valorant, Gamers World, BO3
Show full rule comparisonHide full rule comparison
- If the game is postponed: Kalshi resolves to a fair price if the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time; Polymarket stays open until the game is played and resolves 50-50 only if it is cancelled with no make-up.
- Trading closes Oct 23, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC on Polymarket and Oct 25, 2026, 11:00 AM UTC on Kalshi.
Summarized from each venue’s published rules; the venue’s own rules page is the final word.
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Eternal Fire
- Map 2 Winner
- Map 1 Winner
Live prices for Eternal Fire
What it costs to buy Yes, what you would get selling it, and the last trade on each exchange, updating as orders change. Hover a status for timing details.
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
Polymarket
Open on Polymarket ↗Top of book
ConnectingBest bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—
Waiting for the first live quote…
Depth · top 8 levels
Loading snapshot…Recent trades
Loading…Kalshi
Open on Kalshi ↗Top of book
ConnectingBest bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—
Waiting for the first live quote…
Depth · top 8 levels
Loading snapshot…Recent trades
Loading…What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Eternal Fire". Eternal Fire leads at 58.9%. Next is Map 2 Winner at 56%. $10K has traded across 12 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 25, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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