The Prediction Markets

Elon Musk net worth on December 31, 2026

Closes
Dec 31, 2026, in 2 months
Traded
$99K
Venues
Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

Above $600 billion 93%

Next is Above $500 billion at 87%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
Above $600 billion
93%
Kalshi 93%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $600 billion
Last price
93%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
80¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $500 billion
87%
Kalshi 87%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $500 billion
Last price
87%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
74¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$117
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $700 billion
86%
Kalshi 86%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 86¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $116 (1.16x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $700 billion
Last price
86%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
86¢
Sell Yes
73¢
$100 on Yes pays
$116 (1.16x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $800 billion
68%
Kalshi 68%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 68¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $147 (1.47x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $800 billion
Last price
68%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
68¢
Sell Yes
53¢
$100 on Yes pays
$147 (1.47x)
Volume
$13K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $900 billion
54%
Kalshi 54%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 58¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $172 (1.72x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $900 billion
Last price
54%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
58¢
Sell Yes
51¢
$100 on Yes pays
$172 (1.72x)
Volume
$11K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $1.0 trillion
32%
Kalshi 32%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 32¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $1.0 trillion
Last price
32%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
32¢
Sell Yes
9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$313 (3.13x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $1.1 trillion
24%
Kalshi 24%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $1.1 trillion
Last price
24%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
24¢
Sell Yes
21¢
$100 on Yes pays
$417 (4.17x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $1.4 trillion
20%
Kalshi 20%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 23¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $1.4 trillion
Last price
20%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
23¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$435 (4.35x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $1.2 trillion
15%
Kalshi 15%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $1.2 trillion
Last price
15%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $1.3 trillion
15%
Kalshi 15%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 20¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $1.3 trillion
Last price
15%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
20¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$500 (5.00x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 11 more outcomes
Above $1.6 trillion
14%
Kalshi 14%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 20¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $1.6 trillion
Last price
14%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
20¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$500 (5.00x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $1.5 trillion
12%
Kalshi 12%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $1.5 trillion
Last price
12%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
25¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$400 (4.00x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $1.7 trillion
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $1.7 trillion
Last price
8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $1.8 trillion
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $1.8 trillion
Last price
7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$8K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $1.9 trillion
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 31¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $1.9 trillion
Last price
6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
31¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$323 (3.23x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $2.1 trillion
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $2.1 trillion
Last price
5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$575
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $2.0 trillion
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $2.0 trillion
Last price
4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$9K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $2.4 trillion
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $2.4 trillion
Last price
4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $2.2 trillion
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $2.2 trillion
Last price
3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $2.3 trillion
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $2.3 trillion
Last price
3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $2.5 trillion
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $2.5 trillion
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Forbes

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Above $600 billion
  • Above $500 billion
  • Above $700 billion

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (economics rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Elon Musk net worth on December 31, 2026". Above $600 billion leads at 93%. Next is Above $500 billion at 87%. $99K has traded across 21 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 31, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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