The Prediction Markets

Elon Musk Net Worth on May 31?

Closed
May 31, 2026
Traded
$21K
Venues
Polymarket
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This market has closed

Trading ended on May 31, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets

Odds by venue

Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 159 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
690b+
35.1%
Polymarket 45.5%(35.1% fair)polled, 3828 h agoBest Yes 52¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $192 (1.92x)
Polymarket
Contract
690b+
Last price
45.5%
Fair, margin removed
35.1%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
52¢
Sell Yes
39¢
$100 on Yes pays
$192 (1.92x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
680-690b
14.7%
Polymarket 19%(14.7% fair)polled, 3828 h agoBest Yes 24¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Polymarket
Contract
680-690b
Last price
19%
Fair, margin removed
14.7%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
24¢
Sell Yes
14¢
$100 on Yes pays
$417 (4.17x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
670-680b
12.4%
Polymarket 16%(12.4% fair)polled, 3828 h agoBest Yes 19¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Polymarket
Contract
670-680b
Last price
16%
Fair, margin removed
12.4%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
19¢
Sell Yes
13¢
$100 on Yes pays
$526 (5.26x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
610b
9.2%
Polymarket 12%(9.2% fair)polled, 3828 h agoBest Yes 18.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $532 (5.32x)
Polymarket
Contract
610b
Last price
12%
Fair, margin removed
9.2%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
18.8¢
Sell Yes
5.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$532 (5.32x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
630-640b
6.2%
Polymarket 8.1%(6.2% fair)polled, 3828 h agoBest Yes 15¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Polymarket
Contract
630-640b
Last price
8.1%
Fair, margin removed
6.2%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
1.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
650-660b
6.2%
Polymarket 8%(6.2% fair)polled, 3828 h agoBest Yes 11¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Polymarket
Contract
650-660b
Last price
8%
Fair, margin removed
6.2%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
660-670b
5.8%
Polymarket 7.5%(5.8% fair)polled, 3828 h agoBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Polymarket
Contract
660-670b
Last price
7.5%
Fair, margin removed
5.8%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
620-630b
5.4%
Polymarket 7%(5.4% fair)polled, 3828 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
620-630b
Last price
7%
Fair, margin removed
5.4%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
610-620b
2.6%
Polymarket 3.4%(2.6% fair)polled, 3828 h agoBest Yes 5.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,961 (19.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
610-620b
Last price
3.4%
Fair, margin removed
2.6%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
5.1¢
Sell Yes
1.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,961 (19.6x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
640-650b
2.4%
Polymarket 3.1%(2.4% fair)polled, 3828 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
640-650b
Last price
3.1%
Fair, margin removed
2.4%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
1.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • 690b+
  • 680-690b
  • 670-680b

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

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Best bid
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Spread
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Best ask
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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (other / general rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Final prediction market prices for "Elon Musk Net Worth on May 31?". 690b+ last traded at 35.1%. Next is 680-690b at 14.7%. $21K has traded across 10 outcomes on Polymarket. The market closed on May 31, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the value of Elon Musk's net worth on May 31, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true), specifically the datapoint for April 30, 2026, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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