The Prediction Markets

English Premier League Last Place Finisher (2026-27)

Closes
Jun 14, 2027, in 8 months
Traded
$9K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

Manchester City 27.9%

Next is Hull City at 13.4%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Manchester City 27.9%Hull City 13.4%Coventry City 8.6%Fulham 6.9%Ipswich Town 4.8%15 others 38.4%

Odds by venue

Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
Manchester City
27.9%
Polymarket 40.5%(27.9% fair)polled, 58s agoBest Yes 43¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $233 (2.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
Manchester City
Last price
40.5%
Fair, margin removed
27.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
43¢
Sell Yes
38¢
$100 on Yes pays
$233 (2.33x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Hull City
13.4%
Polymarket 19.5%(13.4% fair)polled, 58s agoBest Yes 21¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Polymarket
Contract
Hull City
Last price
19.5%
Fair, margin removed
13.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
21¢
Sell Yes
18¢
$100 on Yes pays
$476 (4.76x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Coventry City
8.6%
Polymarket 12.5%(8.6% fair)polled, 58s agoBest Yes 15¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Polymarket
Contract
Coventry City
Last price
12.5%
Fair, margin removed
8.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
Fulham
6.9%
Polymarket 10%(6.9% fair)polled, 58s agoBest Yes 13¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Polymarket
Contract
Fulham
Last price
10%
Fair, margin removed
6.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Volume
$216
Trade this on Polymarket
Ipswich Town
4.8%
Polymarket 7%(4.8% fair)polled, 58s agoBest Yes 12¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ipswich Town
Last price
7%
Fair, margin removed
4.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Volume
$13
Trade this on Polymarket
Crystal Palace
3.9%
Polymarket 5.6%(3.9% fair)polled, 58s agoBest Yes 11¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Polymarket
Contract
Crystal Palace
Last price
5.6%
Fair, margin removed
3.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Volume
$7
Trade this on Polymarket
Sunderland
3.6%
Polymarket 5.2%(3.5% fair)polled, 58s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Sunderland
Last price
5.2%
Fair, margin removed
3.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$5
Trade this on Polymarket
Bournemouth
2.8%
Polymarket 4.1%(2.8% fair)polled, 58s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Bournemouth
Last price
4.1%
Fair, margin removed
2.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$7
Trade this on Polymarket
Nottingham Forest
2.8%
Polymarket 4.1%(2.8% fair)polled, 58s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Nottingham Forest
Last price
4.1%
Fair, margin removed
2.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$7
Trade this on Polymarket
Tottenham
2.7%
Polymarket 3.9%(2.7% fair)polled, 58s agoBest Yes 6.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,471 (14.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Tottenham
Last price
3.9%
Fair, margin removed
2.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6.8¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,471 (14.7x)
Volume
$110
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 10 more outcomes
Aston Villa
2.5%
Polymarket 3.6%(2.5% fair)polled, 58s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Aston Villa
Last price
3.6%
Fair, margin removed
2.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$7
Trade this on Polymarket
Everton
2.5%
Polymarket 3.6%(2.5% fair)polled, 58s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Everton
Last price
3.6%
Fair, margin removed
2.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$7
Trade this on Polymarket
Liverpool
2.5%
Polymarket 3.6%(2.5% fair)polled, 58s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Liverpool
Last price
3.6%
Fair, margin removed
2.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$7
Trade this on Polymarket
Newcastle United
2.5%
Polymarket 3.6%(2.5% fair)polled, 58s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Newcastle United
Last price
3.6%
Fair, margin removed
2.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$7
Trade this on Polymarket
Arsenal
2.1%
Polymarket 3.1%(2.1% fair)polled, 58s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Arsenal
Last price
3.1%
Fair, margin removed
2.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$7
Trade this on Polymarket
Brentford
2.1%
Polymarket 3.1%(2.1% fair)polled, 58s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Brentford
Last price
3.1%
Fair, margin removed
2.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$7
Trade this on Polymarket
Brighton
2.1%
Polymarket 3.1%(2.1% fair)polled, 58s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Brighton
Last price
3.1%
Fair, margin removed
2.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$7
Trade this on Polymarket
Chelsea
2.1%
Polymarket 3.1%(2.1% fair)polled, 58s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Chelsea
Last price
3.1%
Fair, margin removed
2.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$7
Trade this on Polymarket
Leeds United
2.1%
Polymarket 3.1%(2.1% fair)polled, 58s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Leeds United
Last price
3.1%
Fair, margin removed
2.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$7
Trade this on Polymarket
Manchester United
2.1%
Polymarket 3.1%(2.1% fair)polled, 58s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Manchester United
Last price
3.1%
Fair, margin removed
2.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$7
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Manchester City
  • Hull City
  • Coventry City

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "English Premier League Last Place Finisher (2026-27)". Manchester City leads at 27.9%. Next is Hull City at 13.4%. $9K has traded across 20 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Jun 14, 2027.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club finishes in last place (20th) in the final standings of the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to finish in last place in the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) season (e.g., they are mathematically guaranteed to finish above 20th), this market will resolve to "No". In the event of a tie for last place, this market will resolve based on the club officially recognized by the Premier League as finishing in 20th place. If multiple clubs are officially recognized as finishing in last place, this market will resolve to the club whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) season is cancelled, postponed after June 13, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no last-place club declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from the Premier League; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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