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What the markets expect
Bruno Fernandes 19.9%
Next is Rayan Cherki at 18.1%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Polymarket
Outcome
Fair chance
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Polymarket
Best Yes price
Bruno Fernandes19.9%22.5%19.9% fair21¢ bid, 24¢ askpolled, 24s ago24¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $417 (4.17x)Bruno Fernandes19.9%Polymarket 22.5%(19.9% fair)polled, 24s agoBest Yes 24¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Bruno Fernandes
19.9%
22.5%
19.9% fair
21¢ bid, 24¢ ask
polled, 24s ago
24¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Bruno Fernandes
19.9%
Polymarket 22.5%(19.9% fair)polled, 24s agoBest Yes 24¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Bruno Fernandes
- Last price
- 22.5%
- Fair, margin removed
- 19.9%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 24¢
- Sell Yes
- 21¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $417 (4.17x)
- Volume
- $6K
Rayan Cherki18.1%20.5%18.1% fair19¢ bid, 22¢ askpolled, 24s ago22¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $455 (4.55x)Rayan Cherki18.1%Polymarket 20.5%(18.1% fair)polled, 24s agoBest Yes 22¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Rayan Cherki
18.1%
20.5%
18.1% fair
19¢ bid, 22¢ ask
polled, 24s ago
22¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Rayan Cherki
18.1%
Polymarket 20.5%(18.1% fair)polled, 24s agoBest Yes 22¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Rayan Cherki
- Last price
- 20.5%
- Fair, margin removed
- 18.1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 22¢
- Sell Yes
- 19¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $455 (4.55x)
- Volume
- $3K
Cole Palmer7.1%8%7.1% fair4¢ bid, 12¢ askpolled, 24s ago12¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $833 (8.33x)Cole Palmer7.1%Polymarket 8%(7.1% fair)polled, 24s agoBest Yes 12¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Cole Palmer
7.1%
8%
7.1% fair
4¢ bid, 12¢ ask
polled, 24s ago
12¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Cole Palmer
7.1%
Polymarket 8%(7.1% fair)polled, 24s agoBest Yes 12¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Cole Palmer
- Last price
- 8%
- Fair, margin removed
- 7.1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 12¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $833 (8.33x)
- Volume
- $216
Bukayo Saka6.4%7.2%6.4% fair0.5¢ bid, 13.9¢ askpolled, 24s ago13.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $719 (7.19x)Bukayo Saka6.4%Polymarket 7.2%(6.4% fair)polled, 24s agoBest Yes 13.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $719 (7.19x)
Bukayo Saka
6.4%
7.2%
6.4% fair
0.5¢ bid, 13.9¢ ask
polled, 24s ago
13.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $719 (7.19x)
Bukayo Saka
6.4%
Polymarket 7.2%(6.4% fair)polled, 24s agoBest Yes 13.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $719 (7.19x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Bukayo Saka
- Last price
- 7.2%
- Fair, margin removed
- 6.4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 13.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $719 (7.19x)
- Volume
- $240
Antonee Robinson4.5%5.1%4.5% fair0.9¢ bid, 9.2¢ askpolled, 24s ago9.2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,087 (10.9x)Antonee Robinson4.5%Polymarket 5.1%(4.5% fair)polled, 24s agoBest Yes 9.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,087 (10.9x)
Antonee Robinson
4.5%
5.1%
4.5% fair
0.9¢ bid, 9.2¢ ask
polled, 24s ago
9.2¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,087 (10.9x)
Antonee Robinson
4.5%
Polymarket 5.1%(4.5% fair)polled, 24s agoBest Yes 9.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,087 (10.9x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Antonee Robinson
- Last price
- 5.1%
- Fair, margin removed
- 4.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 9.2¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.9¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,087 (10.9x)
- Volume
- $161
Bryan Mbeumo4.3%4.9%4.3% fair0.6¢ bid, 9.1¢ askpolled, 24s ago9.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,099 (11.0x)Bryan Mbeumo4.3%Polymarket 4.9%(4.3% fair)polled, 24s agoBest Yes 9.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,099 (11.0x)
Bryan Mbeumo
4.3%
4.9%
4.3% fair
0.6¢ bid, 9.1¢ ask
polled, 24s ago
9.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,099 (11.0x)
Bryan Mbeumo
4.3%
Polymarket 4.9%(4.3% fair)polled, 24s agoBest Yes 9.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,099 (11.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Bryan Mbeumo
- Last price
- 4.9%
- Fair, margin removed
- 4.3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 9.1¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,099 (11.0x)
- Volume
- $329
Mohammed Kudus4.1%4.7%4.1% fair1¢ bid, 8.3¢ askpolled, 24s ago8.3¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,205 (12.0x)Mohammed Kudus4.1%Polymarket 4.7%(4.1% fair)polled, 24s agoBest Yes 8.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,205 (12.0x)
Mohammed Kudus
4.1%
4.7%
4.1% fair
1¢ bid, 8.3¢ ask
polled, 24s ago
8.3¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,205 (12.0x)
Mohammed Kudus
4.1%
Polymarket 4.7%(4.1% fair)polled, 24s agoBest Yes 8.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,205 (12.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Mohammed Kudus
- Last price
- 4.7%
- Fair, margin removed
- 4.1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 8.3¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,205 (12.0x)
- Volume
- $233
Morgan Rogers3.5%4%0.6¢ bid, 7.4¢ askpolled, 24s ago7.4¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,351 (13.5x)Morgan Rogers3.5%Polymarket 4%polled, 24s agoBest Yes 7.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,351 (13.5x)
Morgan Rogers
3.5%
4%
0.6¢ bid, 7.4¢ ask
polled, 24s ago
7.4¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,351 (13.5x)
Morgan Rogers
3.5%
Polymarket 4%polled, 24s agoBest Yes 7.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,351 (13.5x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Morgan Rogers
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 7.4¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,351 (13.5x)
- Volume
- $179
Phil Foden3.5%3.9%1¢ bid, 6.8¢ askpolled, 24s ago6.8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,471 (14.7x)Phil Foden3.5%Polymarket 3.9%polled, 24s agoBest Yes 6.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,471 (14.7x)
Phil Foden
3.5%
3.9%
1¢ bid, 6.8¢ ask
polled, 24s ago
6.8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,471 (14.7x)
Phil Foden
3.5%
Polymarket 3.9%polled, 24s agoBest Yes 6.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,471 (14.7x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Phil Foden
- Last price
- 3.9%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6.8¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,471 (14.7x)
- Volume
- $333
Antoine Semenyo3.4%3.9%1¢ bid, 6.7¢ askpolled, 24s ago6.7¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,493 (14.9x)Antoine Semenyo3.4%Polymarket 3.9%polled, 24s agoBest Yes 6.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,493 (14.9x)
Antoine Semenyo
3.4%
3.9%
1¢ bid, 6.7¢ ask
polled, 24s ago
6.7¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,493 (14.9x)
Antoine Semenyo
3.4%
Polymarket 3.9%polled, 24s agoBest Yes 6.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,493 (14.9x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Antoine Semenyo
- Last price
- 3.9%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6.7¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,493 (14.9x)
- Volume
- $124
Show 11 more outcomesHide 11 outcomes
Eberechi Eze3.1%3.5%0.9¢ bid, 6¢ askpolled, 24s ago6¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)Eberechi Eze3.1%Polymarket 3.5%polled, 24s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Eberechi Eze
3.1%
3.5%
0.9¢ bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 24s ago
6¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Eberechi Eze
3.1%
Polymarket 3.5%polled, 24s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Eberechi Eze
- Last price
- 3.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.9¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
- Volume
- $133
Pedro Neto3%3.4%0.5¢ bid, 6.3¢ askpolled, 24s ago6.3¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,587 (15.9x)Pedro Neto3%Polymarket 3.4%polled, 24s agoBest Yes 6.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,587 (15.9x)
Pedro Neto
3%
3.4%
0.5¢ bid, 6.3¢ ask
polled, 24s ago
6.3¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,587 (15.9x)
Pedro Neto
3%
Polymarket 3.4%polled, 24s agoBest Yes 6.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,587 (15.9x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Pedro Neto
- Last price
- 3.4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6.3¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,587 (15.9x)
- Volume
- $593
Bruno Guimarães2.7%3.1%0.4¢ bid, 5.8¢ askpolled, 24s ago5.8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,724 (17.2x)Bruno Guimarães2.7%Polymarket 3.1%polled, 24s agoBest Yes 5.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,724 (17.2x)
Bruno Guimarães
2.7%
3.1%
0.4¢ bid, 5.8¢ ask
polled, 24s ago
5.8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,724 (17.2x)
Bruno Guimarães
2.7%
Polymarket 3.1%polled, 24s agoBest Yes 5.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,724 (17.2x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Bruno Guimarães
- Last price
- 3.1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5.8¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,724 (17.2x)
- Volume
- $139
Florian Wirtz2.7%3%0.5¢ bid, 5.5¢ askpolled, 24s ago5.5¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,818 (18.2x)Florian Wirtz2.7%Polymarket 3%polled, 24s agoBest Yes 5.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,818 (18.2x)
Florian Wirtz
2.7%
3%
0.5¢ bid, 5.5¢ ask
polled, 24s ago
5.5¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,818 (18.2x)
Florian Wirtz
2.7%
Polymarket 3%polled, 24s agoBest Yes 5.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,818 (18.2x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Florian Wirtz
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5.5¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,818 (18.2x)
- Volume
- $126
Jeremy Doku2.7%3.1%0.7¢ bid, 5.5¢ askpolled, 24s ago5.5¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,818 (18.2x)Jeremy Doku2.7%Polymarket 3.1%polled, 24s agoBest Yes 5.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,818 (18.2x)
Jeremy Doku
2.7%
3.1%
0.7¢ bid, 5.5¢ ask
polled, 24s ago
5.5¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,818 (18.2x)
Jeremy Doku
2.7%
Polymarket 3.1%polled, 24s agoBest Yes 5.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,818 (18.2x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Jeremy Doku
- Last price
- 3.1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5.5¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.7¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,818 (18.2x)
- Volume
- $144
Adam Wharton2.5%2.8%1.1¢ bid, 4.5¢ askpolled, 24s ago4.5¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,222 (22.2x)Adam Wharton2.5%Polymarket 2.8%polled, 24s agoBest Yes 4.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,222 (22.2x)
Adam Wharton
2.5%
2.8%
1.1¢ bid, 4.5¢ ask
polled, 24s ago
4.5¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,222 (22.2x)
Adam Wharton
2.5%
Polymarket 2.8%polled, 24s agoBest Yes 4.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,222 (22.2x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Adam Wharton
- Last price
- 2.8%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4.5¢
- Sell Yes
- 1.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,222 (22.2x)
- Volume
- $148
James Maddison2.4%2.8%0.6¢ bid, 4.9¢ askpolled, 24s ago4.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)James Maddison2.4%Polymarket 2.8%polled, 24s agoBest Yes 4.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)
James Maddison
2.4%
2.8%
0.6¢ bid, 4.9¢ ask
polled, 24s ago
4.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)
James Maddison
2.4%
Polymarket 2.8%polled, 24s agoBest Yes 4.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- James Maddison
- Last price
- 2.8%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,041 (20.4x)
- Volume
- $123
Dominik Szoboszlai2%2.3%0.8¢ bid, 3.8¢ askpolled, 24s ago3.8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,632 (26.3x)Dominik Szoboszlai2%Polymarket 2.3%polled, 24s agoBest Yes 3.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,632 (26.3x)
Dominik Szoboszlai
2%
2.3%
0.8¢ bid, 3.8¢ ask
polled, 24s ago
3.8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,632 (26.3x)
Dominik Szoboszlai
2%
Polymarket 2.3%polled, 24s agoBest Yes 3.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,632 (26.3x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Dominik Szoboszlai
- Last price
- 2.3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3.8¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.8¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,632 (26.3x)
- Volume
- $192
Martin Ødegaard2%2.3%0.5¢ bid, 4¢ askpolled, 24s ago4¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Martin Ødegaard2%Polymarket 2.3%polled, 24s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Martin Ødegaard
2%
2.3%
0.5¢ bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 24s ago
4¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Martin Ødegaard
2%
Polymarket 2.3%polled, 24s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Martin Ødegaard
- Last price
- 2.3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $91
Anthony Elanga1.7%1.9%1¢ bid, 2.8¢ askpolled, 24s ago2.8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $3,571 (35.7x)Anthony Elanga1.7%Polymarket 1.9%polled, 24s agoBest Yes 2.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,571 (35.7x)
Anthony Elanga
1.7%
1.9%
1¢ bid, 2.8¢ ask
polled, 24s ago
2.8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $3,571 (35.7x)
Anthony Elanga
1.7%
Polymarket 1.9%polled, 24s agoBest Yes 2.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,571 (35.7x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Anthony Elanga
- Last price
- 1.9%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2.8¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,571 (35.7x)
- Volume
- $124
Morgan Gibbs-White0.4%0.5%0.3¢ bid, 0.7¢ askpolled, 24s ago0.7¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $14,286 (143x)Morgan Gibbs-White0.4%Polymarket 0.5%polled, 24s agoBest Yes 0.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $14,286 (143x)
Morgan Gibbs-White
0.4%
0.5%
0.3¢ bid, 0.7¢ ask
polled, 24s ago
0.7¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $14,286 (143x)
Morgan Gibbs-White
0.4%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 24s agoBest Yes 0.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $14,286 (143x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Morgan Gibbs-White
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.7¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $14,286 (143x)
- Volume
- $139
Who resolves this market
- Polymarket resolves via:
- UMA optimistic oracle
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Bruno Fernandes
- Rayan Cherki
- Cole Palmer
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "English Premier League: Most Assists 2026-27". Bruno Fernandes leads at 19.9%. Next is Rayan Cherki at 18.1%. $14K has traded across 21 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by May 31, 2027.
This market will resolve to the player who records the most assists during the 2026-27 Premier League season. Only assists recorded in Premier League matches will count. Assists in other competitions (e.g., domestic cups, UEFA Champions League, UEFA Europa League, UEFA Conference League, international matches) will not count for this market. If multiple players tie for the most assists, this market will resolve to the tied player who completed more passes during the 2026-27 Premier League season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player whose last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026-27 Premier League season is canceled or not completed by June 14, 2027, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official statistics from Premier League. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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