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What the markets expect
Dominic Calvert-Lewin 46.5%
Next is Morgan Rogers at 44.7%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Polymarket
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Polymarket
Best Yes price
Dominic Calvert-Lewin46.5%46.5%0.9¢ bid, 92¢ askpolled, 1 min ago92¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $109 (1.09x)Dominic Calvert-Lewin46.5%Polymarket 46.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 92¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Dominic Calvert-Lewin
46.5%
46.5%
0.9¢ bid, 92¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
92¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Dominic Calvert-Lewin
46.5%
Polymarket 46.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 92¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Dominic Calvert-Lewin
- Last price
- 46.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 92¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.9¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $109 (1.09x)
- Volume
- $140
Morgan Rogers44.7%44.7%0.2¢ bid, 89.1¢ askpolled, 1 min ago89.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $112 (1.12x)Morgan Rogers44.7%Polymarket 44.7%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 89.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Morgan Rogers
44.7%
44.7%
0.2¢ bid, 89.1¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
89.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Morgan Rogers
44.7%
Polymarket 44.7%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 89.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Morgan Rogers
- Last price
- 44.7%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 89.1¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $112 (1.12x)
- Volume
- $379
Morgan Gibbs-White40%40%1¢ bid, 78.9¢ askpolled, 1 min ago78.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $127 (1.27x)Morgan Gibbs-White40%Polymarket 40%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 78.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $127 (1.27x)
Morgan Gibbs-White
40%
40%
1¢ bid, 78.9¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
78.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $127 (1.27x)
Morgan Gibbs-White
40%
Polymarket 40%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 78.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $127 (1.27x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Morgan Gibbs-White
- Last price
- 40%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 78.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $127 (1.27x)
- Volume
- $130
Erling Haaland30.5%30.5%12¢ bid, 49¢ askpolled, 1 min ago49¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $204 (2.04x)Erling Haaland30.5%Polymarket 30.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 49¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Erling Haaland
30.5%
30.5%
12¢ bid, 49¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
49¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Erling Haaland
30.5%
Polymarket 30.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 49¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Erling Haaland
- Last price
- 30.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 49¢
- Sell Yes
- 12¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $204 (2.04x)
- Volume
- $452
Cole Palmer10.5%10.5%8¢ bid, 13¢ askpolled, 1 min ago13¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $769 (7.69x)Cole Palmer10.5%Polymarket 10.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Cole Palmer
10.5%
10.5%
8¢ bid, 13¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
13¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Cole Palmer
10.5%
Polymarket 10.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Cole Palmer
- Last price
- 10.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 13¢
- Sell Yes
- 8¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $769 (7.69x)
- Volume
- $470
Marcus Rashford5.2%5.2%0.5¢ bid, 9.9¢ askpolled, 1 min ago9.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,010 (10.1x)Marcus Rashford5.2%Polymarket 5.2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 9.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,010 (10.1x)
Marcus Rashford
5.2%
5.2%
0.5¢ bid, 9.9¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
9.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,010 (10.1x)
Marcus Rashford
5.2%
Polymarket 5.2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 9.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,010 (10.1x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Marcus Rashford
- Last price
- 5.2%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 9.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,010 (10.1x)
- Volume
- $40
Antoine Semenyo4.9%4.9%0.1¢ bid, 9.7¢ askpolled, 1 min ago9.7¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,031 (10.3x)Antoine Semenyo4.9%Polymarket 4.9%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 9.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,031 (10.3x)
Antoine Semenyo
4.9%
4.9%
0.1¢ bid, 9.7¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
9.7¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,031 (10.3x)
Antoine Semenyo
4.9%
Polymarket 4.9%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 9.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,031 (10.3x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Antoine Semenyo
- Last price
- 4.9%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 9.7¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,031 (10.3x)
- Volume
- $2K
Cody Gakpo4.5%4.5%3.1¢ bid, 5.9¢ askpolled, 1 min ago5.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,695 (16.9x)Cody Gakpo4.5%Polymarket 4.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,695 (16.9x)
Cody Gakpo
4.5%
4.5%
3.1¢ bid, 5.9¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
5.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,695 (16.9x)
Cody Gakpo
4.5%
Polymarket 4.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,695 (16.9x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Cody Gakpo
- Last price
- 4.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 5.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 3.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,695 (16.9x)
- Volume
- $284
Viktor Gyökeres4.3%4.3%2.1¢ bid, 6.5¢ askpolled, 1 min ago6.5¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,538 (15.4x)Viktor Gyökeres4.3%Polymarket 4.3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 6.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,538 (15.4x)
Viktor Gyökeres
4.3%
4.3%
2.1¢ bid, 6.5¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
6.5¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,538 (15.4x)
Viktor Gyökeres
4.3%
Polymarket 4.3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 6.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,538 (15.4x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Viktor Gyökeres
- Last price
- 4.3%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 6.5¢
- Sell Yes
- 2.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,538 (15.4x)
- Volume
- $225
Benjamin Šeško4.1%4.1%0.2¢ bid, 8¢ askpolled, 1 min ago8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)Benjamin Šeško4.1%Polymarket 4.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Benjamin Šeško
4.1%
4.1%
0.2¢ bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Benjamin Šeško
4.1%
Polymarket 4.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Benjamin Šeško
- Last price
- 4.1%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
- Volume
- $140
Show 16 more outcomesHide 16 outcomes
Igor Thiago4.1%4.1%1.1¢ bid, 7.1¢ askpolled, 1 min ago7.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,408 (14.1x)Igor Thiago4.1%Polymarket 4.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 7.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,408 (14.1x)
Igor Thiago
4.1%
4.1%
1.1¢ bid, 7.1¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
7.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,408 (14.1x)
Igor Thiago
4.1%
Polymarket 4.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 7.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,408 (14.1x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Igor Thiago
- Last price
- 4.1%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 7.1¢
- Sell Yes
- 1.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,408 (14.1x)
- Volume
- $82
Alexander Isak4.1%4.1%0.1¢ bid, 8¢ askpolled, 1 min ago8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)Alexander Isak4.1%Polymarket 4.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Alexander Isak
4.1%
4.1%
0.1¢ bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Alexander Isak
4.1%
Polymarket 4.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Alexander Isak
- Last price
- 4.1%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
- Volume
- $1K
Bruno Guimarães4%4%3¢ bid, 5¢ askpolled, 1 min ago5¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Bruno Guimarães4%Polymarket 4%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Bruno Guimarães
4%
4%
3¢ bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
5¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Bruno Guimarães
4%
Polymarket 4%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Bruno Guimarães
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $1K
Yoane Wissa3.8%3.8%1.2¢ bid, 6.3¢ askpolled, 1 min ago6.3¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,587 (15.9x)Yoane Wissa3.8%Polymarket 3.8%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 6.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,587 (15.9x)
Yoane Wissa
3.8%
3.8%
1.2¢ bid, 6.3¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
6.3¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,587 (15.9x)
Yoane Wissa
3.8%
Polymarket 3.8%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 6.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,587 (15.9x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Yoane Wissa
- Last price
- 3.8%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 6.3¢
- Sell Yes
- 1.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,587 (15.9x)
- Volume
- $138
Kai Havertz3.6%3.6%0.5¢ bid, 6.7¢ askpolled, 1 min ago6.7¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,493 (14.9x)Kai Havertz3.6%Polymarket 3.6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 6.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,493 (14.9x)
Kai Havertz
3.6%
3.6%
0.5¢ bid, 6.7¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
6.7¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,493 (14.9x)
Kai Havertz
3.6%
Polymarket 3.6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 6.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,493 (14.9x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Kai Havertz
- Last price
- 3.6%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 6.7¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,493 (14.9x)
- Volume
- $163
João Pedro3.1%3.1%1.1¢ bid, 5¢ askpolled, 1 min ago5¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)João Pedro3.1%Polymarket 3.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
João Pedro
3.1%
3.1%
1.1¢ bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
5¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
João Pedro
3.1%
Polymarket 3.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- João Pedro
- Last price
- 3.1%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- 1.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $170
Hugo Ekitike2.7%2.7%0.4¢ bid, 5¢ askpolled, 1 min ago5¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Hugo Ekitike2.7%Polymarket 2.7%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Hugo Ekitike
2.7%
2.7%
0.4¢ bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
5¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Hugo Ekitike
2.7%
Polymarket 2.7%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Hugo Ekitike
- Last price
- 2.7%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $90
João Gomes1.4%1.4%0.8¢ bid, 2¢ askpolled, 1 min ago2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)João Gomes1.4%Polymarket 1.4%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
João Gomes
1.4%
1.4%
0.8¢ bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
2¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
João Gomes
1.4%
Polymarket 1.4%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- João Gomes
- Last price
- 1.4%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.8¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $54
Liam Delap1.3%1.3%0.6¢ bid, 2¢ askpolled, 1 min ago2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Liam Delap1.3%Polymarket 1.3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Liam Delap
1.3%
1.3%
0.6¢ bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
2¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Liam Delap
1.3%
Polymarket 1.3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Liam Delap
- Last price
- 1.3%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $54
Callum Wilson1.2%1.2%0.4¢ bid, 2¢ askpolled, 1 min ago2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Callum Wilson1.2%Polymarket 1.2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Callum Wilson
1.2%
1.2%
0.4¢ bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
2¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Callum Wilson
1.2%
Polymarket 1.2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Callum Wilson
- Last price
- 1.2%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $54
Chris Wood1.2%1.2%0.4¢ bid, 2¢ askpolled, 1 min ago2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Chris Wood1.2%Polymarket 1.2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Chris Wood
1.2%
1.2%
0.4¢ bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
2¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Chris Wood
1.2%
Polymarket 1.2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Chris Wood
- Last price
- 1.2%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $54
Jean-Philippe Mateta1.2%1.2%0.4¢ bid, 2¢ askpolled, 1 min ago2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Jean-Philippe Mateta1.2%Polymarket 1.2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Jean-Philippe Mateta
1.2%
1.2%
0.4¢ bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
2¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Jean-Philippe Mateta
1.2%
Polymarket 1.2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Jean-Philippe Mateta
- Last price
- 1.2%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $48
Nick Woltemade1.2%1.2%0.4¢ bid, 2¢ askpolled, 1 min ago2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Nick Woltemade1.2%Polymarket 1.2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Nick Woltemade
1.2%
1.2%
0.4¢ bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
2¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Nick Woltemade
1.2%
Polymarket 1.2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Nick Woltemade
- Last price
- 1.2%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $48
Ollie Watkins1.2%1.2%0.4¢ bid, 2¢ askpolled, 1 min ago2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Ollie Watkins1.2%Polymarket 1.2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Ollie Watkins
1.2%
1.2%
0.4¢ bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
2¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Ollie Watkins
1.2%
Polymarket 1.2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Ollie Watkins
- Last price
- 1.2%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $54
Dominic Solanke1.1%1.1%0.1¢ bid, 2¢ askpolled, 1 min ago2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Dominic Solanke1.1%Polymarket 1.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Dominic Solanke
1.1%
1.1%
0.1¢ bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
2¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Dominic Solanke
1.1%
Polymarket 1.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Dominic Solanke
- Last price
- 1.1%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $54
Bryan Mbeumo1%1%0.8¢ bid, 1.1¢ askpolled, 1 min ago1.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $9,091 (90.9x)Bryan Mbeumo1%Polymarket 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $9,091 (90.9x)
Bryan Mbeumo
1%
1%
0.8¢ bid, 1.1¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
1.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $9,091 (90.9x)
Bryan Mbeumo
1%
Polymarket 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $9,091 (90.9x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Bryan Mbeumo
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 1.1¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.8¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $9,091 (90.9x)
- Volume
- $2K
Who resolves this market
- Polymarket resolves via:
- UMA optimistic oracle, source: premierleague.com
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Dominic Calvert-Lewin
- Morgan Rogers
- Morgan Gibbs-White
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (other / general rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "EPL: 2026-27 Player of the Season". Dominic Calvert-Lewin leads at 46.5%. Next is Morgan Rogers at 44.7%. $9K has traded across 26 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Jun 14, 2027.
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026-27 Premier League Player of the Season award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by the Premier League. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026-27 Premier League season is cancelled, or there is otherwise no such award announced by June 13, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Premier League (https://www.premierleague.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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