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Best ask
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What the markets expect
Pierre Sage 94%
Next is Frank Lampard at 49.9%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Polymarket
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Polymarket
Best Yes price
Pierre Sage94%94%92¢ bid, 96¢ askpolled, just now96¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $104 (1.04x)Pierre Sage94%Polymarket 94%polled, just nowBest Yes 96¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Pierre Sage
94%
94%
92¢ bid, 96¢ ask
polled, just now
96¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Pierre Sage
94%
Polymarket 94%polled, just nowBest Yes 96¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Pierre Sage
- Last price
- 94%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 96¢
- Sell Yes
- 92¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $104 (1.04x)
- Volume
- $74
Frank Lampard49.9%49.9%0.2¢ bid, 99.5¢ askpolled, just now99.5¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $101 (1.01x)Frank Lampard49.9%Polymarket 49.9%polled, just nowBest Yes 99.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Frank Lampard
49.9%
49.9%
0.2¢ bid, 99.5¢ ask
polled, just now
99.5¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Frank Lampard
49.9%
Polymarket 49.9%polled, just nowBest Yes 99.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Frank Lampard
- Last price
- 49.9%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 99.5¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
- Volume
- $15
Matthias Jaissle49.9%49.9%0.2¢ bid, 99.5¢ askpolled, just now99.5¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $101 (1.01x)Matthias Jaissle49.9%Polymarket 49.9%polled, just nowBest Yes 99.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Matthias Jaissle
49.9%
49.9%
0.2¢ bid, 99.5¢ ask
polled, just now
99.5¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Matthias Jaissle
49.9%
Polymarket 49.9%polled, just nowBest Yes 99.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Matthias Jaissle
- Last price
- 49.9%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 99.5¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
- Volume
- $23
Roberto De Zerbi49.9%49.9%— bid, 99.7¢ askpolled, just now99.7¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100 (1.00x)Roberto De Zerbi49.9%Polymarket 49.9%polled, just nowBest Yes 99.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100 (1.00x)
Roberto De Zerbi
49.9%
49.9%
— bid, 99.7¢ ask
polled, just now
99.7¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100 (1.00x)
Roberto De Zerbi
49.9%
Polymarket 49.9%polled, just nowBest Yes 99.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100 (1.00x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Roberto De Zerbi
- Last price
- 49.9%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 99.7¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100 (1.00x)
- Volume
- $24
Alvaro Arbeloa47.5%47.5%— bid, 95¢ askpolled, just now95¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $105 (1.05x)Alvaro Arbeloa47.5%Polymarket 47.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 95¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Alvaro Arbeloa
47.5%
47.5%
— bid, 95¢ ask
polled, just now
95¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Alvaro Arbeloa
47.5%
Polymarket 47.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 95¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Alvaro Arbeloa
- Last price
- 47.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 95¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $105 (1.05x)
- Volume
- $55
Unai Emery45.5%45.5%— bid, 91¢ askpolled, just now91¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $110 (1.10x)Unai Emery45.5%Polymarket 45.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 91¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $110 (1.10x)
Unai Emery
45.5%
45.5%
— bid, 91¢ ask
polled, just now
91¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $110 (1.10x)
Unai Emery
45.5%
Polymarket 45.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 91¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $110 (1.10x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Unai Emery
- Last price
- 45.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 91¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $110 (1.10x)
- Volume
- $39
Regis Le Bris39.5%39.5%0.2¢ bid, 78.7¢ askpolled, just now78.7¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $127 (1.27x)Regis Le Bris39.5%Polymarket 39.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 78.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $127 (1.27x)
Regis Le Bris
39.5%
39.5%
0.2¢ bid, 78.7¢ ask
polled, just now
78.7¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $127 (1.27x)
Regis Le Bris
39.5%
Polymarket 39.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 78.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $127 (1.27x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Regis Le Bris
- Last price
- 39.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 78.7¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $127 (1.27x)
- Volume
- $65
Michael Carrick36.5%36.5%— bid, 73¢ askpolled, just now73¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $137 (1.37x)Michael Carrick36.5%Polymarket 36.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 73¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $137 (1.37x)
Michael Carrick
36.5%
36.5%
— bid, 73¢ ask
polled, just now
73¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $137 (1.37x)
Michael Carrick
36.5%
Polymarket 36.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 73¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $137 (1.37x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Michael Carrick
- Last price
- 36.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 73¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $137 (1.37x)
- Volume
- $53
Gary O'Neil35.3%35.3%0.1¢ bid, 70.5¢ askpolled, just now70.5¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $142 (1.42x)Gary O'Neil35.3%Polymarket 35.3%polled, just nowBest Yes 70.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $142 (1.42x)
Gary O'Neil
35.3%
35.3%
0.1¢ bid, 70.5¢ ask
polled, just now
70.5¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $142 (1.42x)
Gary O'Neil
35.3%
Polymarket 35.3%polled, just nowBest Yes 70.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $142 (1.42x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Gary O'Neil
- Last price
- 35.3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 70.5¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $142 (1.42x)
- Volume
- $8
David Moyes35.3%35.3%0.1¢ bid, 70.4¢ askpolled, just now70.4¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $142 (1.42x)David Moyes35.3%Polymarket 35.3%polled, just nowBest Yes 70.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $142 (1.42x)
David Moyes
35.3%
35.3%
0.1¢ bid, 70.4¢ ask
polled, just now
70.4¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $142 (1.42x)
David Moyes
35.3%
Polymarket 35.3%polled, just nowBest Yes 70.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $142 (1.42x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- David Moyes
- Last price
- 35.3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 70.4¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $142 (1.42x)
- Volume
- $8
Show 10 more outcomesHide 10 outcomes
Marco Rose34.9%34.9%0.2¢ bid, 69.6¢ askpolled, just now69.6¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $144 (1.44x)Marco Rose34.9%Polymarket 34.9%polled, just nowBest Yes 69.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $144 (1.44x)
Marco Rose
34.9%
34.9%
0.2¢ bid, 69.6¢ ask
polled, just now
69.6¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $144 (1.44x)
Marco Rose
34.9%
Polymarket 34.9%polled, just nowBest Yes 69.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $144 (1.44x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Marco Rose
- Last price
- 34.9%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 69.6¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $144 (1.44x)
- Volume
- $119
Mikel Arteta33.3%33.3%0.1¢ bid, 66.5¢ askpolled, just now66.5¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $150 (1.50x)Mikel Arteta33.3%Polymarket 33.3%polled, just nowBest Yes 66.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $150 (1.50x)
Mikel Arteta
33.3%
33.3%
0.1¢ bid, 66.5¢ ask
polled, just now
66.5¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $150 (1.50x)
Mikel Arteta
33.3%
Polymarket 33.3%polled, just nowBest Yes 66.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $150 (1.50x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Mikel Arteta
- Last price
- 33.3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 66.5¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $150 (1.50x)
- Volume
- $8
Keith Andrews29.9%29.9%0.1¢ bid, 59.6¢ askpolled, just now59.6¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $168 (1.68x)Keith Andrews29.9%Polymarket 29.9%polled, just nowBest Yes 59.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $168 (1.68x)
Keith Andrews
29.9%
29.9%
0.1¢ bid, 59.6¢ ask
polled, just now
59.6¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $168 (1.68x)
Keith Andrews
29.9%
Polymarket 29.9%polled, just nowBest Yes 59.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $168 (1.68x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Keith Andrews
- Last price
- 29.9%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 59.6¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $168 (1.68x)
- Volume
- $8
Andoni Iraola29.1%29.1%0.1¢ bid, 58.1¢ askpolled, just now58.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $172 (1.72x)Andoni Iraola29.1%Polymarket 29.1%polled, just nowBest Yes 58.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $172 (1.72x)
Andoni Iraola
29.1%
29.1%
0.1¢ bid, 58.1¢ ask
polled, just now
58.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $172 (1.72x)
Andoni Iraola
29.1%
Polymarket 29.1%polled, just nowBest Yes 58.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $172 (1.72x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Andoni Iraola
- Last price
- 29.1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 58.1¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $172 (1.72x)
- Volume
- $8
Daniel Farke19.6%19.6%0.1¢ bid, 39.1¢ askpolled, just now39.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $256 (2.56x)Daniel Farke19.6%Polymarket 19.6%polled, just nowBest Yes 39.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Daniel Farke
19.6%
19.6%
0.1¢ bid, 39.1¢ ask
polled, just now
39.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Daniel Farke
19.6%
Polymarket 19.6%polled, just nowBest Yes 39.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Daniel Farke
- Last price
- 19.6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 39.1¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $256 (2.56x)
- Volume
- $8
Fabian Hurzeler3.8%3.8%0.2¢ bid, 7.4¢ askpolled, just now7.4¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,351 (13.5x)Fabian Hurzeler3.8%Polymarket 3.8%polled, just nowBest Yes 7.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,351 (13.5x)
Fabian Hurzeler
3.8%
3.8%
0.2¢ bid, 7.4¢ ask
polled, just now
7.4¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,351 (13.5x)
Fabian Hurzeler
3.8%
Polymarket 3.8%polled, just nowBest Yes 7.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,351 (13.5x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Fabian Hurzeler
- Last price
- 3.8%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 7.4¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,351 (13.5x)
- Volume
- $533
Sergej Jakirovic3.3%3.3%— bid, 6.5¢ askpolled, just now6.5¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,538 (15.4x)Sergej Jakirovic3.3%Polymarket 3.3%polled, just nowBest Yes 6.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,538 (15.4x)
Sergej Jakirovic
3.3%
3.3%
— bid, 6.5¢ ask
polled, just now
6.5¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,538 (15.4x)
Sergej Jakirovic
3.3%
Polymarket 3.3%polled, just nowBest Yes 6.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,538 (15.4x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Sergej Jakirovic
- Last price
- 3.3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6.5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,538 (15.4x)
- Volume
- $8
Oliver Glasner2.4%2.4%— bid, 4.8¢ askpolled, just now4.8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,083 (20.8x)Oliver Glasner2.4%Polymarket 2.4%polled, just nowBest Yes 4.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,083 (20.8x)
Oliver Glasner
2.4%
2.4%
— bid, 4.8¢ ask
polled, just now
4.8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,083 (20.8x)
Oliver Glasner
2.4%
Polymarket 2.4%polled, just nowBest Yes 4.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,083 (20.8x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Oliver Glasner
- Last price
- 2.4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4.8¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,083 (20.8x)
- Volume
- $8
Enzo Maresca2.4%2.4%— bid, 4.7¢ askpolled, just now4.7¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,128 (21.3x)Enzo Maresca2.4%Polymarket 2.4%polled, just nowBest Yes 4.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,128 (21.3x)
Enzo Maresca
2.4%
2.4%
— bid, 4.7¢ ask
polled, just now
4.7¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,128 (21.3x)
Enzo Maresca
2.4%
Polymarket 2.4%polled, just nowBest Yes 4.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,128 (21.3x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Enzo Maresca
- Last price
- 2.4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4.7¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,128 (21.3x)
- Volume
- $8
Xabi Alonso1.9%1.9%— bid, 3.8¢ askpolled, just now3.8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,632 (26.3x)Xabi Alonso1.9%Polymarket 1.9%polled, just nowBest Yes 3.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,632 (26.3x)
Xabi Alonso
1.9%
1.9%
— bid, 3.8¢ ask
polled, just now
3.8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,632 (26.3x)
Xabi Alonso
1.9%
Polymarket 1.9%polled, just nowBest Yes 3.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,632 (26.3x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Xabi Alonso
- Last price
- 1.9%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3.8¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,632 (26.3x)
- Volume
- $8
Who resolves this market
- Polymarket resolves via:
- UMA optimistic oracle
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Pierre Sage
- Frank Lampard
- Matthias Jaissle
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (other / general rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "EPL 2026-27: Which Manager Gets Sacked First?". Pierre Sage leads at 94%. Next is Frank Lampard at 49.9%. $1K has traded across 20 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by May 31, 2027.
This market will resolve according to which English Premier League manager is fired first during the 2026-27 season. If the listed manager is the first manager to be officially fired, dismissed, or sacked by their respective Premier League club during the 2026-27 season, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If multiple managers are fired on the same calendar day, resolution will be based on the earliest official announcement time. If a manager resigns, mutually agrees to part ways, or departs for another job, this will not count as being fired, and that will not qualify as "Yes" for this market. If no Premier League managers are fired by May 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official club announcements or official Premier League communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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